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Posted By
: S. Balakrishnan
bala_hi_2005@yahoo.com
29/04/2010

Weight Handicapping With Your Own Ratings

   

Weight Handicapping With Your Own Ratings
                        &
Selection of Best Bets on weights with Previous Best Race





CONTENTS


1.1        Weights in Handicap Races
1.2        Weight in Terms Races
1.3        Ratings Reflect Potential Abilities of Horses
1.4        Illustration of Evaluation of Terms Races with Handicap Ratings
1.5        Running Pattern of Winning  Horses
1.6        Pace Wins the Race
1.7        Fast Breaker versus Fast Finisher
1.8        From Lengths to Kilos
1.9        Evaluation of Winning Performances  and Revision of Ratings with your own Ratings
1.10        Evaluation of Handicap Races with Comparative Weight Ratings
1.11        Illustration of Evaluation of Handicap Races with Comparative Weight Ratings




Weights in Handicap Races

The rules of racing generally specify the minimum lowest bottom weight and the minimum lowest top weight that may be allotted in all handicap races.

It also specifies the weight range in each class and the number of kilos overlapping between one class to another, with the weights of the lower class from the point of lowest minimum top weight either above or below or both, overlapping with that of the weights of the next higher class, from the point of the lowest minimum bottom weight either above or below or both.

It also specifies the number of groups or classes in which the horses are classified and the number of kilos adjusted as the equalizer of weights per class on promotion or demotion from one class to another.

Ratings of the horses are in numerical points where each point is equal to one half of a kilo and the rating related weights of the horses are in kilos corresponding to their individual ratings, on a constant scale of rating related weights with continuous ratings spread over number of classes, as is specified in the rules of racing.

Weights in all handicap races are allotted in kilos, corresponding to the ratings of the horses, on a constant scale of rating related weights, on receipt of entries for a handicap race and adjusted by the handicapper, on a spring scale, as specified in the rules of racing.

The ready reckoner of rating related weights, published by the handicapper, indicates the minimum likely weights the horses may be assigned with in a handicap race as per the individual ratings of the horses on a constant scale of rating related weights. It is a transparent system and there is no secret about it.

For instance, if the rules of racing specifies 50.0 kilos as the lowest minimum bottom weight and 60.0 kilos as the lowest minimum top weight, and if the specified lowest minimum top weight of 60.0 kilos with single point overlapping overlaps with the specified lowest minimum bottom weight of 50.0 kilos of the next higher class, then the weight range in each class is 10.0 kilos in the constant scale of 50.0 – 60.0 kilos.

The equalizer of weights per class, on promotion or on demotion from one class to another, is also10.0 kilos in all classes, since the weights of the horses, go down by that much on promotion from a lower class to the next higher class, and the weights of the horses go up by that much on demotion from a higher class to the next lower class.

If the horses are classified, into five rating related groups or classes and the ratings are in numerical points where one point is equal to half of a kilo each in the constant scale of rating related weights of 50.0 – 60.0 kilos, then the rating band of each of the five rating related groups or classes will be moving progressively, from the lowest rating related group or class of 0-20, 20-40, 40-60, 60-80 and then on to 80-100 and upwards.  And the entire scale of rating related weights is compressed to 20x5=100 points of half of a kilo each or 50 kilos.

Since, the individual ratings of horses are in numerical points where one point is equal to half of a kilo each, the continuous ratings spread over five rating related groups or classes will be from 0 at the point of the lowest minimum bottom weight of 50.0 kilos of the lowest rating related group or class, moving upwards progressively to 100 points at the point of lowest minimum top weight of 60.0 kilos of the highest rating rated group or class.

Thereafter, the ratings continue upwards in the highest rating related class, from 100 points to 100 and above in the same class, if the ratings related weights of the horses so warrants. And in the lowest rating related class the ratings of horses continues downwards from 0 point to below 0 point in the negative figures or in minus points.

In other words, if the ratings are in points of kilos where one point is equal to one kilo, based on the metric system of weights and measures, then the rating band of each of the five rating related groups or classes will move progressively, from the lowest rating related class of 0-10, 10-20, 20-30, 30-40 and to 40-50 and upwards. And the entire rating related scale is compressed to 10x5=50 points of one kilo each.

While the rules of racing specifies the lowest minimum bottom weight, it further specifies that the minimum weight or the lowest bottom weight to be carried in all handicap races shall not be less than the specified minimum bottom weight or the lowest bottom weight, excluding the allowance that which a jockey may claim. However, the handicaps may be framed down to weights, below the specified lowest minimum bottom weight.

This ensures that the lowest rated horse that accepts to run in a race is allotted at least the lowest minimum bottom weight specified in the rules of racing, even if its own rating related weight is lower than the specified lowest minimum bottom weight.

It also specifies the lowest minimum top weight to be carried in all handicap races, and it further specifies, that in all handicap races though the handicapper may handicap horses with higher weights than the specified lowest minimum top weight as per the ratings of the horses on a specified constant scale of rating related weights, it specifies that the weights shall be raised to the specified lowest minimum top weight only, in the event of the weight of the top weighted Acceptor horse, that accepts to run in a race is less than the specified lowest minimum top weight and then the weights of all other horses down the line in that event shall be raised relatively.    

This is so, in order to ensure, that the highest rated Acceptor horse in a rating related class that accepts to run in a race is at least the lowest rated horse of that rating related class and is allotted at least the lowest minimum top weight specified in the rules of racing and then the weights of all other horses down the line are raised relatively at the acceptance stage, in the event of the rating related weight of the top weighted acceptor horse, is less than that the specified lowest minimum top weight.

The rules of racing also specifies, that there will be no lowering of the rating related weights in all handicap races at any stage of handicapping in any class on a constant scale of weights, unless specified otherwise in the rules of racing or in the terms of conditions of the race. The weights will only be raised so as to meet the criteria of lowest minimum top weight.

This ensures, horses weighted as per their ratings above the specified lowest minimum top weight on a constant scale of rating related weights, get no deliberate lateral drop of weights by lowering the rating related weights in a rating related class at any stage of handicapping, unless specified otherwise in the rules of racing or in the conditions of the race.

It is so, because, the outer limit of the system of multi point overlapping of weights above the lowest point of lowest minimum top weight by a few kilos, effectively minimizes the menace of weight raise at the handicap stage and at the acceptance stage of a race, by increasing the weight range of a class by that much in a constant scale of rating related weights.

And that together with the system of multi point overlapping of weights below the point of lowest minimum top weight by a few kilos, indeed, makes it good for larger fields and the movement of horses in two consecutive classes both ways easy.

Both these measures in turn attempts to ensure that most horses in most handicap races run with basic minimum weights assigned as related to their individual ratings on a specified constant scale of rating related weights.

While, it minimizes the menace of weights raise and avoids weights lowered below the point of the outer limit of the specified lowest minimum top weight in a rating related class at the handicap stage and at the Acceptance stage, it also promptly avoids the unpleasant situation of higher class horses running in the lower class with lower weights than they are required to carry on a constant scale of rating related weights if weights are lowered and the lower class horses running in the same class with lower weights than they are required to carry on the constant scale of rating related weights. And that significantly improves the quality of the races, although the choice of running the horses, in either of the classes is left to the owners and trainers themselves.

For, if the basic minimum weights of the horses weighted as per their individual ratings below the point of the specified lowest minimum top weight in a rating related class on a constant scale of rating related weights are lowered without equal drops in the ratings of the horses, that many kilos of lateral drop in weights represent self penalty on all the horses on the ground, that does more harm in precept and practice, than the systemic weight penalties on a constant scale of rating related weights in the given weight range of a class or a class band.

Hence, the arithmetical perception, if the weights of the horses, weighted as per their ratings exceeds the specified lowest minimum top weight in a rating related class or a class band, when the weight of the lowest rated horse weighted as per their ratings in a given race is above the specified lowest minimum bottom weight of that rating related class and the so specified lowest minimum bottom weight does not overlap below the point of the lowest minimum top weight of the next lower class, if the weight of the bottom weighted horse so weighted as per their ratings are lowered relatively to the extent of the specified lowest minimum bottom weight of that class and other weights equally, where the top weighted horse is allotted at least the specified lowest minimum top weight  and the weight of the bottom weighted horse so lowered does not go below the specified lowest minimum bottom weight of that rating related class so specified, the ratings of the horses effectively remain unchanged in a lateral adjustment of weights, because the weight differentials between the horses in the field of a given race remain the same and only the actual weights allotted to them as per their ratings are lowered equally, in order to lighten the burden of weights on all the competitors weighted as per their ratings above the specified lowest minimum top weight in a rating related class is a kind of unethical misconception.

It is precisely so, for, the impact of basic minimum real weight as per the ratings of the horses on a constant scale of rating related weights and the rating related weight differences on horses in a given rating related class band and the weight range of a class are not entirely two different things and that can never ever be de linked and diluted at any stage of handicapping.

But such controversial lateral adjustment of the weights is valid and legitimate in the highest rating related class   or class band where the weights continue upwards beyond the given weight range of a rating related class, in the wisdom of another school of thought and perception, and so endorses framing of few races lowering the weights of the horses weighted above the given weight range of a rating related class or a class band.
Yet, if the handicapper on his indiscretion indicates, that the rating related weights of the horses have been lowered by three kilos at the handicap stage in a given race as per the rules of racing, it effectively implies that the horses are handicapped in the next higher class on a spring scale and the rating related weights of the horses have been raised by seven kilos in the higher class, assuming that the equalizer of weights per class on promotion or demotion from one class to another is ten kilos in a given scale of rating related weights, for in a combined class, if a part of the equalizer is weights lowered in the lower class, the other part of the equalizer is weights raised in the higher class and so weights lowered by three kilos in lower class implies weights raised by seven kilos in higher class. Thus, the horses so weighted are handicapped in the immediate rating related higher class by raising the rating related weights as is specified in the rules of racing to meet the criteria of lowest minimum top weight in the higher class, though the given race has been framed in the lower class.

The handicapper allots the weights as per the ratings of the horses on a specified constant scale of rating related weights on receipt of entries for a handicap race in a rating related class and adjusts the same on a spring scale as specified in the rules of racing in all handicap races. And, if the weights are raised or lowered at any stage of handicapping on the specified constant scale rating related weights, he indicates the same at all those stages of handicapping, either separately or cumulatively, along with the ratings of the horses and weights assigned to them in all such races.

Weight differentials between the top weighted horse and the weights of other competitors in a handicap race precisely indicate the difference in ratings between the horses in kilos. And that difference in weights equalizes their chances with each other and when such differences in weights between the top weight and their own are added to their weights the weights will be level weights for all competitors and so are differences in the ratings.

These ratings and the rating related weights of the horses in a given race are based on over all performances of the horses and their potential abilities as is perceived by the handicapper with respect to the race level, field quality and the distance of the race. And thus the relationship between class, condition and the distance of the race are always kept in view.

    The aim of rating adjustment in horse racing is to level the playing field and equalize the chances of all horses in winning the race where the Winner remains competitive and the Beaten Horses have rating adjustments     where necessary to make them all the more competitive. In effect a horse is represented by its rating and its merit on weights is as good as its ratings. Thus the relative abilities of horses from different classes and different ages can be compared easily and effectively.
    
In other words, by measuring the true ability of the horses which is what is regarded as normal form and expressing it in a figure, horses can be matched against each other and the playing field leveled. The measure the handicapper uses is weight. And when such burden of weights are allotted as related to the ratings of the horses on a constant scale of rating related weights, as specified in the rules of racing, it equalizes the chances of every horse by matching their potential abilities as is perceived by him.

The pedigree, age, current condition, class ratings, the rating related weights and the actual weights carried by them, are all taken into consideration. Besides these fundamentals, the distance of the race, the texture of racing strip, the pace of the race, the fractional times and the final time recorded by the horses for that race, the kind of speed and the class established over the final part of 600 or 400 meters of a race, all of which together demonstrates the potential ability of the horses to win a race at a particular distance and their suitability to other distances are also taken into consideration.

A handicapper works on the assumption, that most horses are inherently consistent and reproduce their best form for periods at a time, if not all the time. A good handicap is when there are plenty of runners in the field and no short-priced favourites. In short an open race.

After sufficient number of qualifying runs each and every race horse starting from the age of three is assigned a numerical rating by the Handicapper. The ratings are in points of half of a kilo each.

It is revised post race every time after a run in a race.  And the revision of ratings of the horses is based on the assessment of the performances of the horses and their potential abilities as is perceived by the Handicapper.

It is not what they have achieved, but how they have achieved that, that matters most in the assessment of their performances and their potential abilities.

In other words, no handicapper ever increases the ratings of a horse, unless the horse beat other horses that had such ratings and ran well enough to justify the increase. Similarly, a handicapper never ever decreases the ratings of a horse, unless the horse is beaten decisively or ran poorly in a race indicating a decline in its form.

Weights in Terms Races
    
Terms Races with Level Weights are the kind of races in which the weights carried by all the horses are the same. And except for the sex allowance granted to fillies and mares there is no provision for claiming any other allowance in all kinds of Terms races.

Terms Races with Penalties for the number of races won or the amount of money won or the grades of races won or with penalties for several such combinations are the kinds of races in which the weights and penalties to be carried by the horses are prescribed in the conditions written by the Racing Secretaries.

Terms Races with Allowances for Non-Winners of a races or different periods of time or non-winners of certain number of races are the kind of races in which the weights to be carried and the allowances to be claimed by them are prescribed in the conditions written by the Racing Secretaries.

Terms Races for Mixed Age Groups are the kind of races in which the weights and the penalties to be carried by the horses of different age groups are prescribed in the conditions written by the Racing Secretaries based on the scale of weights for age and class of the horses.

Terms Races are framed with greater imaginations and more and more innovative skills by the Racing Secretaries, who dishes out races to cater to the needs of various types and classes of horses that are more competitive and interesting. But the weights to be carried by the horses eligible to run in such races are assigned by the Handicapper as prescribed in the conditions written by the Racing Secretaries.

However, the horses that run in such Terms Races are the same horses that has run in some of the races already and has been classified with ratings by the Handicapper, except perhaps the two year old horses and the three year old horses, those are rated only after they have won a race or run in certain number of qualifying races and are rated normally after the first of the calendar month of May or June every year.
The current handicap ratings of the horses that reveals the exact margins between the horses are indicated by the handicapper along with the weights allotted to them in such Terms Races and this helps in evaluating the ratings and the rating related weights such horses would have carried, if such Terms races were run as handicap races with such weights as is allotted to them in such Terms event.

Such assessments of weights would in turn reveal the comparative capabilities of the horses and their chances of winning the race with such weights, because weights in Terms Races are allotted as prescribed by the conditions written by the Racing Secretaries irrespective of the individual ratings of the horses.

In other words, the individual ratings of the horses and the rating related weights, that may be allotted to them in handicap races, holds the key to find their comparative weight ratings as related to the weights allotted to them in such Terms Races while evaluating the chances of all horses to win the race with such allotted weights.

For instance, take the weight of the top weighted horse weighted as per the terms of the race and if any sex allowance has been given, add the same to the assigned weights. Assign the ratings as related to such weights on the constant scale of rating related weights. Find the difference in weights, between the top weighted horse and the weights allotted to all other horses in that field, and then deduct those differences from the scale ratings, so assigned to the top weighted horse, if the ratings are in points where one point is equal to one kilo and if the ratings are in points where one point is equal to half of a kilo, then deduct twice the amount of such differences. And what you get is the line ratings of all the horses from the scale ratings of the top weighted horse.

Then find the difference in the ratings between the individual handicap ratings of the horses before the race and the line ratings of the horses on the scale as related to the weights assigned in the given race.

If the individual rating assigned by the handicapper is less than the line rating, it represents the over weights that horse will be carrying and if the individual rating is more than the line rating it represents the weight advantage of less weight to be carried by the horse in that race.
        
Alternately, take the weight of the top weighted horse weighted as per the terms of the race and the rating as related to the weights assigned on the constant scale of rating related weights. If any sex allowance has been given add the same to the assigned weights.

Find the difference in weights between the top weighted horse and the weights allotted to all other horses in that field. And then add that differences so arrived to their individual handicap ratings if the ratings are in points where one point is equal to one kilo. And if the ratings are in points where one point is equal to half of a kilo then add twice the amount of such differences.

The horse with the highest figure so arrived indicates the best amongst them on weights on the basis of comparative weight handicapping and the other figures in the descending order indicates all other horses in that order in that event, if such Terms races are run as handicap races.

If the individual rating assigned by the handicapper is less than the scale rating of the top weight it represents the over weights that horse will be carrying over the scale rating of the top weight and if the individual rating is more than the scale rating of the top weight it represents the weight advantage of less weight to be carried by the horse over the scale rating of the top weight.    
    
    Ratings Reflect Potential Abilities of Horses

The fundamental basis of form is focused around weight. Weight Ratings are precisely designed to represent a horse’s potential ability. These ratings are not based on the ability of the horses on the ground of any particular race but are reflections of overall recent form of the horses.

Two year old horses that generally start racing in November of a calendar year and won at least once or ran at least thrice anywhere in their carrier are allotted a rating based on their performances on the first of January next when they turn three year old horses every new calendar year.

The starter ratings for un raced two year old horses that turn three year old and for three year old unrated horses that have not run three times in their carrier are also fixed on the first of January every new calendar year.

That generally continues to be the same as in November last when they started racing as two year old horses and the same is revised at the beginning of every new racing season until they turn four years old horses based on the time of the year that helps them match their gradual physical growth.

The significance of raising the ratings and the rating related weights of the horses that won or finished close to the winner of a race with their comparative performances and their potential abilities shown in that race is only to equalize the chances of all horses that ran in that race.

Such additional burden of weights may affect only the running time of the horses that is penalized for winning the race or running close to the winner of that race but in no way nullify their class and condition. While other horses that ran in that race, if they have reached their winning mark, they may show up in equal measure or better and that confirms how well they are handicapped.

In other words, the weight concessions given to inferior horses and the weight penalties imposed on better horses, do not always cancel the more fundamental factors like distance, class, condition, pace and jockey in the running of a race. And it is more so, when the actual weights carried by the horses, in relation to their ratings on a constant scale of rating related weights is more or less close to their pivotal weights.

However, the quantum of increase and decrease in the ratings and rating related weights, depends upon the policy and the guidelines prescribed by the stewards of the racing clubs, for they have to cater to the local needs even while the official handicapper is given a free hand in his assessment of the performances of the horses and their potential abilities to equalize their chances at his best.

The revised ratings of the horses are known after a run in a race and the likely weights that may be allotted to a horse in a given handicap scale of rating related weights is known instantly. It is very much helpful to trainers, owners and professionals in preparing their horses for a race and to enter them accordingly. And it also helps in making the work of the handicappers very easy.    

Horses with same ratings are generally assumed to have the same ability. Assume, for instance, A and B are rated the same in a race. And if A beat B gaining in the stretch run and at the finish or won easily or won going away A may be allowed to retain its former ratings and be given full credit for that win and its ratings be adjusted based on the assessment of its potential ability. B may be allowed to retain its ratings for finishing second within certain number of lengths or be given additional credit for gains in the stretch in terms of lengths or running positions or passing over other horses or both and finishing close to the winner within certain number of lengths.

If A won gaining in the stretch run only because B finished tired in the stretch run A may retain its former rating and be given full credit for winning the race. B may be dropped in the ratings for being beaten decisively or ran in such a way suggesting a decline in condition.

In a truly run race, by the same reasoning, if each of the first three finishers went into the race with the same rating the winner would retain its former rating and get full credit for gaining in the stretch run and winning the race. And the ratings of second and third finishing horses are reevaluated. And if it was a close finish and the two horses ran extremely well they might retain their ratings and be reevaluated on the basis of their performances in terms of gains in lengths or running positions or passing over other horses in the stretch or both.

The horse that ran third may retain its ratings for finishing third and running within certain number of lengths from the winning horse or may be revaluated for gaining and finishing close third to the winner. And other horses, that ran true to their form and finished unplaced as fourth or worse than fourth, may be dropped suitably by a few points.
    
A length of a horse, though it varies, is generally assumed to be equivalent to 16 parts of a second, where a second is a measure of 100 equality divided parts and one second in turn is considered as equivalent to 6 1/4 lengths of a horse. This is the same as five lengths per second and a second in turn is equal to 60 parts of a second.

Therefore the length of a horse is considered as equivalent to 1 Kilo or 2 points of half of a kilo each. And 6.1/4 lengths of a horse in turn is considered as equivalent to 6.25 kilos and that in turn is equal to 100 equally divided parts of a second.

For example Horse A and Horse B ran in a race of 1600 meters both carrying the same weight. Horse A decisively beats Horse B by 2 lengths. Horse A therefore puts up a performance superior to Horse B by 2 lengths. The difference of two lengths is the equivalent of 2.00 kilos or four points of half of a kilo each.

If the ratings of the horses before the race and after the race were not the same, if it to be adjusted, how should they be adjusted. And to make that decision the handicapper generally looks at the ratings of ALL horses that ran in that race and not just the ratings of A and B.

The task of the handicapper is to adjust the ratings. For that the handicapper first looks at the Ratings as they were before the race and checks was Horse A’s rating before the race also was 4 points higher than the one of Horse B.

Then he will look for the performance of a horse that finished within a few lengths or certain number of lengths behind the winner, the horse whose recent form has been consistent and reliable. And that becomes the KEY LINE HORSE, the horse whose rating is used, as a benchmark, for revision of ratings.

A good example of this is the performance of Horse A when he beat Horse B over 1600meters.A few experts in the panel of handicappers were of the opinion that Horse A has not been properly penalized, based on the show of its performance and potential abilities.

And that the rating of Horse A should have been increased by eight points, based on the ratings of the key line horse and its performance and potential, instead of the four points of half of a kilo each raise the handicapper has raised.    
If the reasoning of taking a line through Horse B is used then A’s rating should have been increased to at least the level of Horse B’s rating. That is what the race showed. If Horse A’s rating is raised to that level then the ratings for all other runners in the same race must follow suite, because, they are after all, linked together through the lengths-behind-the-winner calculation.

In this case, it meant, that not only A’s rating would have gone up dramatically but most of the other runners in the race as well and that is not correct. Then the only logical conclusion could be that Horse B ran below his best and should not be used as the key line horse.

The handicapper decided, in this case, that the more likely candidate for Key Line Horse honours was third finisher Horse C. If Horse C ran to his ‘normal’ form and showed its potential best at the finish then most of the horses in the field appeared to do the same. Horse ‘A’s rating increase was, therefore, based on beating Horse C and not on beating of Horse B.

This example, illustrates what is probably the most common mistake made by many, as many people assume that when a horse wins a race, it must have its rating automatically increased, be penalized. And it is just not correct.

IT ALL DEPENDS on the KEY LINE HORSE, the horse that finished within certain number of lengths of the winner as second or third or fourth, the benchmark horse, whose rating is used for revision of ratings of all horses.

The winning horse could well have won easily and ran below his rating, in which case, it would be wrong to increase its rating. If a penalty, for winning was given automatically based on beaten lengths or final time recorded by the horses, then it could be that several of the beaten horses might also have to go up because of their lengths-behind-the-winner relationship that makes no sense.

In handicapping, there is no such thing as arbitrary or standard penalty. It is only Re-assessment of the performances of the horses to achieve optimum competitiveness. And the purpose of revision of ratings is to equalize the chances of all horse on a constant scale of rating related weights and that is the name of the game.
        
If A beat B by 2 lengths and B beat C by 2 lengths, then A must beat C by 4 lengths, that which is simple arithmetic. Therefore, C is given 0 point, B is given 4 points, and A is given 8 points to level their ratings.  And other horses down the line are dropped in ratings by a point or two or three points based on their performances and their form cycle.

Ratings reflect potential abilities of the horses. And in level weight races the horse with the highest rating is more likely to win and if he does not it may be one or more of other reasons like unsuitable distance or poor jockeyship or the other intentions of the stable etc.

And in handicap races when the weights are allotted as per their ratings on a constant scale of rating related weights and adjusted by the handicapper as per the rules of racing it is a dead heat of all horses on weights.

But remember it is not that simple and so easy to assess and ascertain the performances of the horses in a race.

The winner beats the handicap and hence its rating is revised upwards based on its margin of victory and merit besides the kind of performance of the key line horse, the horse whose rating is used as bench mark for revision of ratings and the number of lengths it finished behind the winner.
The ratings of second and third finishing horses are adjusted based on the kind of finish and their proximity to the key line horse that finished within certain lengths of the winner, the horse whose rating is used as bench mark for revision of ratings.

In handicap races it can be assumed that the winner has beaten the handicap and its performance will not be used by the Handicapper as the yardstick to rate the race. Sometimes second or third or even fourth placed horses will be rated as having beaten the handicap.

As such, he will base his race assessment, on his interpretation of the performance of the line horse. And adjustments to ratings of other horses will be relative to these horses and with overall consideration of a horses rating profile.

Many times the beaten margins are very deceptive for the riders save the horses for another day. Some times the winner would have won but may have run below its ratings. Sometimes the horses that placed second or third may have run so much better than its ratings. And its rating may have been revised upwards and the winner would have retained its rating.
 
Technically the rating of the winner would have been revised upwards, only because, it has been adjusted upwards, based on the increase in the ratings of the second or third horse, the horse whose rating has been revised upwards.
 
Sometimes, as in level weight races or in set weight races, where the weights are allotted by the handicapper as per the terms and conditions of the race written by the racing secretaries, the increase in the rating of such a horse that finished as second or third, may even be higher than the increase in the rating of the winning horse or some times there may be no increase at all in the rating of the winning horse.

As such everyone should have his own technique of assigning a rating to every horse and calculate the chances of every horse on weights in a race with a comparative weight handicapping system even if it is just to understand why the market at the book makers betting ring looks so wrong according to your figures.

It is a continuous exercise that attempts to eliminate the weight differentials, as a decisive factor in the outcome of a race, as the weights for handicap races are allotted as related to the ratings of the horses on a constant scale of rating related weights and adjusted by the handicapper on a spring scale as per the rules of racing.

The dictum is higher the rating of a horse the better the horse on ratings. And higher the figure on comparative weight ratings the better the horse with lower ratings on weights. That explains the success of rating related comparative weight handicapping systems. In other words, distance, class, condition, pace and jockey are invariably so decisive in the running of a race, that the effects of small differences in weight become less and less exact in the final outcome of most races, than that of the rating related handicap weight formulas that claims to attempt constantly to equalize the chances of all horses in a race..

Illustration of Evaluation of Terms Races with Handicap Ratings

Since the individual ratings of all horses are indicated in the Race Day books amongst other things besides the weights to be carried by them in such Terms races, the procedure to evaluate the chances of all horses to win that event, on the basis of comparative weight ratings that may be derived for all horses in that event has become easy.

In level weight races, the horse with the highest rating is more likely to win and if he does not, it may be one or more of other reasons, like unsuitable distance of the race or texture of racing strip or pace of the race or other racing incidents like crowding of the field, going wide, interferences or slow start etc or poor jockeyship or the other intentions of the stable etc.

And in handicap races, where the weights are allotted as per their ratings on a constant scale of rating related weights and adjusted by the handicapper as per the rules of racing, it is a dead heat of all horses on weights.

Weight differences between the top weighted Horse and the weights of other competitors down the line in a handicap race, precisely indicates, the difference in ratings between the horses in kilos.
    
And that difference in weights equalizes their chances with each other for when such differences in weights between the top weight and their own are added to their weights the weights will be level weights for all competitors and so are differences in the ratings

In set weight races, the weights are allotted by the handicapper as prescribed by the racing secretary, and the ratings of the horses must therefore take into account, the effect of such assigned weights, while assessing their performances and adjusting the ratings of such assigned weights.

Also it is necessary to find the comparative weight ratings of all horses as related to the weights allotted to them in such Terms races based on their individual ratings and the rating related weights that may be allotted to them in handicap races.

Take the finish positions of the horses and deduct the beaten lengths in terms of kilos where a length is equal to two points of half of a kilo each from the weights carried by them.

And then factor in distance factor for adjustment of descending speed. That gives the actual weight performance of all horses against the winner.

And there after raise the weights of all horses by the amount of actual weight penalty given to the winner in terms of kilos based on the rating of the key line horse, the bench mark rating, for revision of ratings of all other horses.    

Now take the weight of the top weighted horse and also the ratings of the top weighted horse after adjustment of weights based on the key line horse.
.
Then deduct the weight difference of other horses down the line in terms of rating points from the rating of the highest weighted horse and find the line ratings of all the other horses from the ratings of the top weight. Note the difference between the original ratings before the race and the ratings after the race and find the difference between the pervious rating and today’s line rating.

The difference between the highest figure and the individual figures so arrived for other horses, indicate in points the weight differences that may be carried by them in that event, if such Terms races are run as handicap races.

Hence add that to their individual ratings. And that would be the actual ratings of the horses in relation to the weights carried by them in that event.



Illustration Chart of Evaluation of Terms Races with Handicap Ratings

(For explanations - Refer Key Below)
1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9
A    103    59.0    59.0    0    100-60.5    103-60.5    +3    6
B    115    57.5    59.0*    0    100-66.5    115-66.5    +15    2
C    111    57.5    59.0*    0    100-64.5      111-64.5    +11    3
D    100    56.5    56.5    2.5    95 -59.0     105-61.5    +5    5
E    86    55.0    55.0    4.0    92 -52.0      94 - 56.0    -6    10
F    89    55.0    55.0    4.0    92 -53.5    97 - 57.5    -3     8
G    107    55.0    55.0    4.0    92 -62.5    115-66.5    +15    1
H    100    53.5    55.0*    4.0    92 -59.0     108-63.0    +8    4
I    94    53.5    55.0*    4.0    92 -56.0     102-60.0    +2     7
J    80    53.5    55.0*    4.0    92 -49.0         88 - 53.0    -12    12
K    80    53.5    53.5    5.5    89 -49.0       91 - 54.5     -9    11
L    84    53.5    53.5    5.5    89 -51.0    95 - 56.5    -5    9

Key:
1    Names of the Horses
2    Handicap Ratings of the Horses where one point is equal to one half of a kilo
3    Weights assigned to the horses in kilos
4    Weights after adding the sex allowance, if any
5    Weight Difference between the top weight and the weights of other horses as per the weights shown in column 4. Top weight may also be a assumed one for easy comparison with one race to another
6    Ratings after deducting the weight difference shown in column 5 in points of ratings corresponding to weights in column 4 where the top weight of 59.0 kg is equivalent to 100 points of half of kilo each and corresponding weights as related to ratings of each horse given in column 2
7    Ratings after adding the weight difference shown in column 5 in points of ratings to the handicap ratings of horses shown in column 2 and corresponding weights on a level weight of lowest top weight of  59.00 as related to the ratings of 100 points
8    The difference between the rating allotted to the individual horses in column 6 and the individual handicap ratings of the horses shown in column 2 will be the weight advantages and disadvantages carried by the horses in terms of handicap  ratings which may in turn show the weight difference in kilos if converted to weights as per the scale.
9    The Highest rated Horse in column 7 indicates the best in weights and others in the descending order indicate the next best in that order. Similarly the highest rating beneficiary in column 8 indicates the best in Weights and others in the descending order indicate the next best in that order.
10    Such horses may be Best Bets in the order indicated in column 9 if they are in good condition and qualify on all other vital factors. However rating adjustment must be made while comparing with the previous best race for weights carried then and to days weight by deducting the weight difference in points of rating if less weight was assigned in the previous best race and by adding if more weight was assigned in the previous best race. Thereafter plus or minus your own ratings for performances in that race.
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Courtesy: Spot the Winner with Success

Alternatively treat the highest figure so arrived as the handicap rating of the top weighted horse and then based on that rating, the ratings of all other horses are to be assigned in the descending order corresponding to the weights allotted to other horses in that event irrespective of their individual ratings.

Illustration chart of Evaluation of Terms Races with Handicap Ratings
(For explanations - Refer Key Below)
1     2     3     4     5     6         7     8         9
A     103     59.0    59.0     0     103 -100     115     12 (+3)     6
B     115     57.5     59.0*     0     115 -100     115     0 (+15)     2
C     111     57.5     59.0*     0     111 -100     115     4 (+11)     3
D     100     56.5     56.5     2.    5 105 -95     110     10 (+5)     5
E     86     55.0     55.0     4.    0 94 -92     107     21 (-6)     10
F     89     55.0     55.0     4.    0 97 -92     107     18 (-3)     8
G     107     55.0     55.0     4.    0 115 -92     107     0 (+15)     1
H     100     53.5     55.0*     4.    0 108 -92     107     7 (+8)     4
I     94     53.5     55.0*     4.    0 102 -92     107     13 (+2)     7
J     80     53.5     55.0*     4.    0 88 -92     107     27 (-12)     12
K     80     53.5     53.5     5.    5 91 -89     104     24 (-9)     11
L     84     53.5     53.5     5.    5 95 -89     104     20 (-5)     9
Key :
1    Names of the Horses
2    Handicap Ratings of the Horses
3    Weights assigned to the horses
4    Weights after adding the sex allowance, if any
5    Weight Difference between the top weight and weights of other horses as per the weights shown in column 4. Top weight may also be a assumed one for easy comparison with one race to another
6    Ratings after adding the weight difference shown in column 5 in points of ratings where one point is equal to 0.5 kgs to the handicap ratings of horses shown in column 2. Also shows  (=/-)  on the constant scale of rating related weights
7    The highest rating figure arrived in column 6 is to be allotted to the highest weighted horse in column 4 as its rating and other ratings down the line to be allotted in the descending order corresponding to their weights after deducting the weight difference between the highest weight and the weights of other horses shown in column 5 in points of ratings where one point is equal to 0.5 kgs from the rating of the top weighted horse shown in this column that which will be the individual ratings of other horses for the weight assigned in this race.
8    The difference between the rating allotted to the individual horses in column 7 and the individual handicap ratings of the horses shown in column 2 will be the overweighs carried by the horses in terms ratings where one point is equal to 0.5 kgs which may in turn show the weight difference in kilos if converted to weights as per the scale
9    The Highest rated Horse in column 6 indicates the best in weights and others in the descending order indicate the next best in that order.
    Similarly lowest overweight in column 8 indicates the best in Weights and others in the ascending order indicate the next best in that order.
    Such horses may be Best Bets in the order indicated in column 9 if they are in good condition and qualify on all other vital factors.
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                Courtesy: Spot the Winner with Success
        Running Pattern of Winning Horses

There are five important calls or points in a race. And Aces indicate or show that the horses that were in lead at all those five important calls or points of the race. The winning margin or the beaten lengths at the winning post shows how easily and convincingly the horse has won or finished close to the winner of the race.

Horses that showed Five Aces AAAAA is the kind of horses that took the lead right from the starting point to the finishing wire or the winning post and established their lead at all those five important calls of a race and won its last race.

Horses that took the lead from the point where most horses are settled, that is after traveling of about 200 or 400 meters from the starting point and won its last race, show Four Aces AAAA, that indicates that the horses were in lead at all those four important calls or points of a race, from the point where most horses settled in a race to the winning post and won the race.

Horses that ran behind the pace, took the lead from the pre stretch call or the point where the backstretch ends and the stretch run begins after the final turn to the winning post which is about six hundred meters from the winning post and won its last race show Three Aces AAA and indicate that the horses were in lead at the pre stretch call, stretch call and at the winning post..

Horses that ran behind the pace, improved gradually, passing over other horses in the front in the stretch run, took the lead from the mid stretch that which is about 400 meters from the winning post or at the stretch call which is about 200 meters to the winning post and won its last race show Two Aces AA and indicate that the horses were in lead both at the stretch call and winning post.

Horses that ran behind the pace, improved gradually passing over other horses in the front in the stretch run, advanced to be second or third at the stretch call which is about 200 meters to the winning pos and won its last race show a Single Ace A and a Double Diagonal.

A Diagonal represents the last three races of a horse. And a Double Diagonal improvement confirms, that with each race of its last three races, the horse ran closer and closer to the pace at the pre stretch call of his third race back, stayed with it longer and longer, gained by lengths in the stretch run to be second or better at the stretch call and at the final call or the winning post and won going away.

The first Diagonal, at the winning post must show that the horse gained in lengths or ran comparatively better at the finish call of its last race than at the stretch call of it’s next to last race. The Second Diagonal, at the stretch call must show that the horse gained in lengths or ran comparatively better at the stretch call of its last race than at the pre stretch call of it’s next to last race. The Second Diagonal without the First Diagonal has no value.

Pace Wins the Race

Racing strategy is entirely a matter of pace. That which is generally determined by the running pattern and the relative running positions of the horses at all the important calls of a race, besides the speed or the time recorded at all those important calls of the race.

The winning horse whether he won by a nose or going away, it establishes its superior class and current good condition ,which together represents the potential ability of the horses, in winning a race at any particular distance and their suitability to other distances..
If he is a front runner, it establishes that nothing else was able to keep up with him in the early stages of the race even if there were other front runners, and that he had plenty of energy left for the stretch run and for the final sprint to the winning post.

If he prefers to run behind the pace, it establishes that he gained in the stretch run and outclassed the field decisively, in his final sprint to the winning post or was helped by the presence of two or more front runners, which ran out each other, clearing his path to the winning post.

Sprint races are won or lost, in the first six hundred or eight hundred meters of the race, that is from the starting point to the pre stretch call or at the point the stretch run begins that which is known, as the first segment of the race, where the running time or fractional times of the race are normally faster than the final six hundred or four hundred meters of a race.

Longer races are won or lost in the second six hundred meters of the race, that is from the next point after the starting point, that which is after traveling about 200 hundred or 400 hundred meters of the race, depending upon the pace and the distance of the race to the pre stretch call or at the point from where the stretch run begins, that which is known as the second segment of the race, and is the same as the first segment of sprint races, where the running time of the race are faster than that of the final 600 or 400 hundred meters to the winning post of a race.

Ultimately, the winning horse establishes that he was able to set or overcome the fastest early pace without tiring too badly and his jockey was able to consume that energy efficiently. This remains true, whether the ultimate winner, is a front runner which leads all the way or a stretch gainer which steams out of the pack in the last jump. If the jockey who rode the horse was able to consume that energy judiciously and efficiently he wins the race decisively.

Fast Breaker versus Fast Finisher

Horses that show gains in the stretch run, though run faster than other horses in the field gaining in the stretch run in the home stretch, they are virtually running less slowly than the other competitors in the race as none of them are moving as fast as they did in the early stages of the race.

This is a reality of descending speed as horses run faster in the early stages or first segment of a race than at the later portions or final segment of a race.
    
Rarely a deviation may happen, even as horses in a race may run faster in the second segment of a race, than they did at the first segment.

Also, that is when the lesser horses start dropping down after traveling certain distance of the race, while likely challengers start moving up in lengths or move up in running position or maintain their running position, passing over other horses in front that drops down.

Horses are known to travel at the winning post of a race at a normal speed of 6.1/4 lengths per second in races at distances of 1600 meters or more and by a length or more than that per second at much shorter distances while the early pace and the fractional times in the early stages of most races are much faster than that of the final furlong fractional timings due to descending speed factor.

It is generally assumed that a horse gaining in the stretch run, can cover seven or eight or even ten lengths over the leading horse, from the pre stretch call or from final turn to the winning post and four or five or six lengths, from the stretch call or the distance post to the winning post.
The number of lengths, each horse gained in the stretch run from the pre stretch call after the final turn to the stretch or the stretch call, however, depends upon the early speed and the number of lengths the horse was behind the leader at that stage of the race when it stared making its move, and the number of lengths by which the horse has won or beaten by the winner at the winning post.

If a horse gallops easily in the early stages of a race, not extending and not using up precious energy in the early stages, such a horse may come roaring and show their true ability where it matters most in the stretch run or in the later stages of a race in the home stretch. On the other hand, if all the contenders zoom out of starting gate and travel at lightening speed in the early stages, they may slow down so dramatically in the last phase of the race and some times much slower than even expectation.    

Sprinters may lose ground in the stretch run, from the pre stretch call or after the turn to the home stretch to the winning post, or fall back in their running position, or maintain their running position. Similarly, routers may gain ground in the stretch run, from the pre stretch call or after the turn to home stretch to winning post, or gain in the running position, or maintain their running positions.

As such, if the horse led at the pre stretch call or stretch call or both and won, while increasing the lead in the stretch run consider the early speed and the winning margin. And do not use the stretch gain for the horses of that kind while assessing the true ability of such horses

If the horse led at the pre stretch call or stretch call or both and lost ground in the stretch run while winning the race, consider the early speed and the margin by which the horse led at the pre stretch call or the stretch call and the kind of winning margin at the winning post, while assessing the true ability of such horses.

If the horse led at the pre stretch call or stretch call or both and lost ground in the stretch run and lost at the winning post, consider the margin by which the horse led at the pre stretch call or the stretch call and the number of beaten lengths at the winning post, besides the manner of finish and the stretch gains shown by the winner, while assessing the true ability of such horses

If the horse was not in lead but was second or third or fourth within ten lengths of the leader at the pre stretch call and won the race or finished close to the winner as second or third or fourth within six and quarter lengths, gaining in the stretch run from the pre stretch call, consider the number of lengths the horse was behind the leader at that stage of the race and the number of lengths by which he horse has won or was beaten by the winner at the winning post of the race, while assessing the gains in lengths or losses in lengths that shows the true ability of such horses

If the horse that finished as second, finished within a length or two or less than three lengths, consider that the competition was that much intense and give 2 to 5 points of half of a kilo each while assessing the true ability of such horses. Also if the horse was more than ten lengths behind the leader at the pre stretch call and won the race or finished close to the winner give one or two extra points for the same.

From Lengths to Kilos

The normal speed of a horse as a norm is assumed as 6.1/4 lengths per second where a second is a measure of 100 equally divided parts as most horses tend to cover that many of their own lengths in a second, though they may run faster or slower than that, at the winning post of a race or at any other stage of a race.

Therefore, 6 1/4 lengths of a horse is considered as equivalent to 100 parts of a second and in turn one length of winning margin or beaten margin of a horse is considered as equivalent to 16 parts of a second, three quarters of a length is considered as equal to 12 parts of a second, half of a length as equal to 8 parts of a second, a quarter of a length as equivalent to 4 parts of a second, and less than that a neck and short head together as 3 parts of a second, a neck as equivalent to 2 parts of a second and a head or short head as equivalent to one part of a second and less than that as zero.

Conversely where a second is a measure of 100 equally divided parts, one second in turn is equal to 6.1/4 lengths of a horse, since the horses are assumed to travel on average at a normal speed of 6.1/4 per second and that helps in adjusting the final time recorded by the horses at the winning post of a race.
    
It is a general belief, that one point which is equivalent to half of a kilo of weight in the rating related scale of weights for handicap races, normally slows down a winning horse or a losing horse that finished close to the winner, by half of a length or by 8 parts of a second in effect, where a second is the measure of 100 equally divided parts and one second in turn is equal to 6.1/4 lengths.

In other words, half of a length is equivalent of half of a kilo or one point and 2 points of half of a kilo each or one kilo of weight in effect slows down a winning horse or losing horse that finished close to the winner by one length and 12 points of half of a kilo each or 6.0 kilos of weight in turn slows down a winning horse by 6 lengths which in turn is equal to 96 parts of a second where a second is measure of 100 equivalent divided parts and is equal to 6.1/4 lengths.

Hence, the normal practice is to consider, a quarter of a length of beaten margin of a horse as equal to 4 parts of a hundred 100 of a second where a second is a measure of 100 equally divided parts and in turn a quarter of a length as equal to one quarter of a kilo, half of a length as equal to 8 parts of a second and in turn half of a length as equal to one point of half of a kilo each, three quarters of a length as equal to 12 parts of a second and in turn three quarters of a length as equal to three quarters of a kilo, and one length of a horse as equal to 16 parts of a second and in turn a length of a horse as equal to one kilo of weight or 2 points of half of kilo each.

The horses tend to travel much faster than their competitions at the winning post of a race, but compete with horses that run with higher early speed and also with horses that run with descending speed in the final stages of a race, resulting in faster final time at shorter distances and slower final time in longer distances as the distances lengthen. Hence a weight equivalent for a length of a horse is different in different distances.

In other words, a length of a horse is different in different distances and has different equivalents of weights at different distances. Therefore, the measure of weights per length is different in races run at different distances. The conversion table used by a handicapper may look something similar like this. 1 length = 1/2 kilo@1200M x 4 = 2kilos, 1 length = 1/2 kilo@1400M x 3 =1.5 kilos and 1 length = 1/2 kilo@1600M & over x 2=1.0 kilo.

Normally 1.0 kilo of weight or 2 points each of 1/2 of a kilo of weight slows down the winning horse by a length And 12+1=13 points of 1/2 of a kilo each or 6.1/2 kilos or 6.1/2 lengths tends to level a horse in the races run at the distance of 1200 or less, 12 points of 1/2 of a kilo each or 6.0 kilos or 6 lengths in races run at distances of 1600 or less, 12-1=11 points of 1/2 of a kilo each or 5.1/2 kilos or 5.1/2 lengths in races run at of 2000 and less, And 12-2=10 points or 5.0 kilos or 5 lengths in races run at distances beyond 2000 meters. However 2 points or 1.0 kilo per length may be credited for gains over the winning margin or the gains over the beaten lengths at all distances.

Evaluation of Winning Performances and Revision of Ratings with Your Own Ratings

This is one of those perceptions, that may be different from other general perceptions, but remember, no handicapping system can ever reduce racing to a mechanical system and be successful at all times. Never the less, you must have your own perception and have the patience and determination to follow that system, to be a success over a period of time, ultimately, with your own system.

Two year old horses generally start racing in their own age group sometime in November or so every calendar year. The starting ratings and the rating related weights of the Two year old horses at the beginning of their carrier is fixed as 34 for colts and geldings and 31 for fillies.

The ratings are in points of half of a kilo each and the rating related weights of the horses are on a constant scale of rating related weights in the weight scale of 47.0 -57.0 kgs spread over five rating related classes of 20x5=100 points with equalization of weights of 20 points or 10 kilos per class on promotion or demotion from one class to another class.
            
Two year old horses generally start racing in November of a calendar year and the horses that won at least once or ran at least thrice anywhere in their carrier are allotted a rating based on their performances on the first of January next at which time they turn three year old horses every new calendar year. Horses that won or finished very close are rated in class III rating band of 40 – 60.    

The starter ratings for un raced two year old horses that turn three year old horses and for maiden two year old turned three year old horses that have not run three times are also fixed on the first of January every new calendar year. That generally, continues to be the same as was in November last, when they started racing as a two year old horses. And the same is revised at the beginning of every new racing season based on the time of the year that allows them to gain gradually, their full physical growth.

It could be 34 for three year old colts and geldings and 31 for fillies on the first of January every year where the ratings are in points of half of a kilo each in the weight scale of 47.0-57.0 kilos in each class spread over five classes of 20x5=100 points as is at RCTC, or it could be 28 and 25 in the scale of 50.0-60.0 kilos as is in BTC, or it could be 30 and 27 in the scale of 49.0-59.0 kilos as in RWITC on the first of January every year. And thereafter it could even be 24 and 21 in November, a drop of six rating points, just about two months before it turns four year old horses in January next as was in RWITC and similarly at other racing centers.

All young and improving three and four year old horses that won their last race and demonstrated their ability to gain lengths measured in terms of standard lengths either by leading or running close to early pace or by running behind the pace and gaining lengths or by passing over other horses in the stretch run and winning the race easily or going away be allowed to retain their former rating.

Horses that led or ran close to the leader at the pre stretch call or the stretch call by three lengths or less and winning the race may be credited with a potential gain of minimum 3 lengths or 3 kilos in weight or 6 merit rating points of half of a kilo each, based either on margin of early speed or gains over own lengths in the stretch run, that which is virtual margin of victory over the key line horse, the horse whose rating is the bench mark for adjusting the revised ratings of the horses in a race, where every length of less than 6 1/4 lengths is considered as equal to two points of half of a kilo each on winning the race and establishing its potential ability that may be modified with adjustments for descending speed based on distance and class factors.

Horses that led by more than three lengths at the pre stretch call or stretch call and winning the race gaining in the stretch run be credited with potential gain of Minimum 3 lengths or 3 kilos in weight or 6 merit rating points of half of a kilo each, based on the margin of victory over the key line horse, the horse whose rating is the bench mark for adjusting the revised ratings of the horses in a race, depending on the manner of finish and the victory margin     
            
Horses that ran well, by leading or running close to early pace at the pre stretch call or stretch call or by passing over two or three other horses or by gaining three or more lengths in the stretch run, and finished second within six and quarter lengths of the winner, be allowed to retain its former rating. Then credit that horse that finished second with a gain of just 2 lengths or 2 kilos in weight or 4 merit rating points of half of a kilo each for leading or running close to the leader by three lengths or less at the pre stretch call or the stretch call and placing second within three lengths of the winner, while ratings of winner is raised based on margin of victory and the ratings of the key line horse.
        
If the horse ran close to the leader by more than three lengths and less than six lengths at the pre stretch call or the stretch call and finished second within three lengths of the winner credit the improving horse with a gain of 1 1/2 length or 3 points of half of a kilo each.
    
If the horse ran at the pre stretch call or stretch call by more than six lengths behind the leader, gained two or three lengths and finished second within 3 lengths of the winner, credit the improving horse with gain of 2 points for finishing second gaining two three lengths.

If the horse ran within six lengths or less at the pre stretch call or the stretch call or gained 1or2 length at some point and finished third within 6 1/4 lengths allow the horse to retain its former rating or credit the improving horse with a gain of 1 point or sometimes 2 for finishing third, gaining one or two lengths and finishing third, within six and quarter lengths of the winner.

    For equalizing the chances of all the other horses, other horses that ran true to their form and finished unplaced as fourth or worse more than 6 1/4 lengths off the winner in that race May be dropped by 1 or 2 or 3 points of half of a kilo each.

And the horse that ran third may retain its ratings for finishing third or be credited with one point of half a kilo for finishing within 6.1/4 lengths off the winner or for gaining a length or more in the stretch run and finishing within 6 1/4 lengths of the winner.

If such horses have been running and racing regularly only to keep fit and get trained such horses should not be dropped every time they run in a race.

Also if the winning horse won by a margin of 6.1/4 or more in a race just take the margin of victory over the second horse only as 6.1/4 lengths as there are simply no contest from other horses at the winning post of the race.

For instance, if A and B are rated the same in a race and if A beat B gaining in the stretch run and at the finish and won easily or won going away by two or more lengths and established their potential ability, by beating B the key line horse, A may be allowed to retain its ratings and be given the full credit for that win with a gain of six lengths or twelve or more points where a length is considered as equal two points of half of a kilo each while B may be allowed to retain its rating or be given credit of two or more points for gaining in the stretch and finishing second close to the winner.

If A won gaining in the stretch run by two lengths only because B finished tired in the stretch run A may retain its former rating and be given the full credit for winning the race with a gain of six lengths or twelve or more points while B may be dropped in the ratings by two or three points which is equivalent to half of a length each for finishing second being beaten decisively or ran in such a way suggesting a decline in condition.

In a truly run race, by the same reasoning, if each of the first three finishers went into the race with the same rating, the winner would retain its former rating and get all the credit for winning the race, while the ratings of second and third horses are reevaluated. If it was a close finish and the two horses that finished second and third ran extremely well they might retain their ratings and be reevaluated on the basis of their performances.

Working on that basis, if the winner of the race A went with a rating of 37 and won the race by two lengths, the winner would retain its former rating and be given the full credit of 12 or more points and raised to 49 points or more where one point is equal to half of a kilo each for winning the race by two or more lengths and finishing, 6 1/4 quarters ahead of the key line horse, the bench mark horse ,whose rating is the base for revision of rating.

The second finisher B who went with a rating of 33 may retain its former rating for running close second within six and quarter lengths of the winner or be raised by 4 points to 37 for running close second to the winner, gaining in lengths or passing over other horses in the stretch run, and finishing within three to six and quarter lengths of the winner.

And the rating of the third finisher C who went with a rating of 35 would be anything from 27 to 37 depending on how well it ran or where the race fits into its own form cycle or C may retain its former rating of 35 for finishing third or may be raised to 36 or 37 for finishing well within 6.1/4 lengths gaining in the stretch or may be dropped by 3 points to 32 for finishing poorly.

For the purpose of easy calculations it is assumed, that 16 parts of a hundred of a second is equal to one length and thus 6.1/4 lengths as equal to 100 parts of a second or one second and one length in turn is equal to 2 points of half of a kilo each or 1.00 kilo of weight, three quarters of a length is equal to 3 quarters of a kilo, half of a length is equal to one point of half of a kilo each, and one quarter of a length and less than a quarter of a length is equal to one quarter of a kilo where one quarter of a length may be equal to two necks and one neck is equal to two heads or four noses.

And it is also assumed that the horses are classified into various groups or classes with ratings with a class band of 10 kilos or 20 points of half of a kilo each in each class and with equalization of weights of 20 points or 10 kilos on promotion or demotion from one class to another.

Also the quantum of penalties to the winner and the horses that finished as second or third and drops in weight to other horses that finished fourth or worse than fourth as unplaced depends on the number of horses in the field, the distances of the race, age, and class of the horses, besides the total number of horses in training catering to various rating related groups and classes of horses.

Further, if a horse led from the starting point to the finish or taken the lead from the point next to the starting point to finish leading at all calls and won the race showing five AAAAA or four AAAA credit the winning horse with a gain of additional form points of half of a kilo based on their winning margin as such horses made their own pace and led at all the calls to the winning post and that they need not show gains in the stretch run.

If a horse ran close to early pace as second, third or fourth or worse than fourth but within two or three lengths of the leader at the pre stretch call or at the home turn, gained in the stretch run and at the finish and won showing AAA – AA – A credit the winning horse with additional form point of one half of a kilo each.

If a horse ran close to pace as second, third or fourth or worse than fourth but within four five or six lengths of the leader at the pre stretch call or at the home turn to the stretch call gained in the stretch run and at the finish and won easy or going away at the winning post AAA – AA – A credit the winning horse with additional form points of half of a kilo each.

If a horse ran behind the pace as fourth or worse and less than seven lengths behind the leader at the turn to the home stretch, gained in the stretch run to the stretch call and at the finish and won easy or going away at the winning post then credit the winning horse with a gain of additional form point of Half of a kilo based on the stretch gains and the winning margins over the key Line Horse
Courtesy: Spot the Winner with Success


Evaluation of Handicap Races with Comparative Weight Ratings

To calculate the chances of a horse on weights in a Handicap Race take into account the rating of the horse which represents the ability of the horse and then factor in the effect of weight. So although horse A with a rating of 110 is 5 points better than B running with a rating of 105 he has to carry 2.5 kilos more in weight where one point is equal 0.5 kilos. Therefore, we would add 2.5 kilos or 5 points to the rating of horse B to come up with a rating that takes into account the effect of the weights assigned and similarly work out the figures for other horses down the line in the field. Basically all the ratings are normalized to the highest weight carried in the race.

1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
Horse    Rating    Weight
(kgs)    Rating of A (-) others    Difference In Rating as in 4    Your Own Rating based on the last / previous best race    Comparative Weight Rating    Rank
 A    110    65.0     110-110    + 0    110-4-3+0+0  =  103     103+0+5=108        4
B    105     62.5     110-105    + 5    105+0+4+4-0  =  113     113+5+0=118        2
C    101    60.5     110-101    + 9    101-4-3+14+0 = 108     108+9+0=117        3
D     99       59.5     110-99    +11    92+19-4+ 2+0 = 109     109+11==120       1
E     93      56.5     110-93    +17    88+1-4+0+0    = 85p     85p+17==102        5
Key:
1.    Names of Horses.     
2.    Handicappers Ratings of the Horses.
3.    Weights assigned by the handicapper as related to ratings.
4.    Rating of the highest rated horse entered in the race minus the individual ratings of all the horses that equalize their potential abilities with rating related weights so assigned by the difference between the ratings of the highest rated horse entered in the race and other horses down the line.
5.    Difference between the ratings of the highest rated horse entered in the race and other horses in the race that represent the weight advantage derived in ratings. And when such differences in weights between top weighted horse and their own weights are added to their weights, the weights will be level weights for all the competitors and so are the ratings.

6.    Your own ratings are based on the handicappers’ ratings in their last race or the previous best race plus/minus ratings adjusted by you on your own assessment of their performances in their last race or in their previous best race and their potential abilities as is perceived by you.
    The pedigree, age, current condition, class ratings, the rating related weights and the actual weights carried by them minus over weights of jockeys or plus weight allowances claimed by the jockeys are all taken into consideration.

    Besides these fundamentals, the distance of the race, the texture of racing strip, the pace of the race, the fractional times and the final time recorded by the horses for that race, are also taken into consideration, which together demonstrates the potential ability of the horses to win at a particular distance and their suitability to other distances in terms of speed and class established over the final part of 600 or 400 meters of a race.

7.    Comparative weight ratings based on your own ratings as calculated in column 6 plus the difference in ratings of the horses as in column 5 minus overweight carried by the riders or plus allowances claimed by the riders.

8.    Ranking of Horses based on comparative weight ratings with the highest figure representing the best in the field on weights and followed by others in the descending order in that order.

There are many more methods but always find the one that is easy to follow and the one which you understand the most. For some people weight rating is irrelevant but it is a useful exercise to undertake to get to know your horses. From this they can move on to other fundamentals of race selections like speed ratings, pace ratings, Bookies odds, last minute fluctuations in the odds etc.
__________________________________________________________________________
        Courtesy: Spot the Winner with Success
Illustration of Evaluation of Handicap Races with Comparative Weight Ratings

If we have a field of five horses in a race over 2000m, where each horse is racing off with rating related handicap weights, we may have the following weights based on a rating related scale of weights in points of half of a kilo each on a constant scale of rating related weights.

It is assumed, that the horses are classified into various groups or classes with ratings, with a class band of 10 kilos or 20 points of half of a kilo each in each class plus overlapping of 5 points or 2.5 kilos over and above the lowest point of lowest minimum top weight of 60.00 kilos in each class, and thus the weight range in each class is 25 points corresponding to the rating related weight scale of 50.0 - 62.5 kilos in each class.

Here, a length of a horse is generally considered as equal to four points of quarter of a kilo each, three quarters of a length as equal to three points of quarter of a kilo each, half of a length as equal to two points of quarter of a kilo each, and a quarter of a length and less than that is equal to one point or quarter of a kilo each, where a second in turn is a measure of 100 equally divided parts.

As such one length in turn is considered as equal to 16 parts of a second, three quarters of a length as equal to 12 parts, half of a length as equal to 8 parts, a quarter of a length as equal to 4 parts, a long neck or a neck plus a short head together as 3 parts, a neck as equal to 2 parts, a head and a short head as equal to 1 part of a second, and finally a nose is equal to 0 point. And therefore, six and quarter lengths sums up to a total of 100 parts of a second, where a second in turn is a measure of 100 equally divided parts.
    
It is so, even though the normal practice is to consider one point is equal to half of a kilo or four points are equal to 2.0 kilos while one quarter of a length is evaluated as equal to one point or 0.5 kilos and one length is evaluated as equal to four point or 2.0 kilos and one length in turn as equal to one fifth of a second where a second in turn is a measure of sixty equally divided parts. And that makes it one length is equal to 12 parts of a second where a second is a measure of 60 equally divided parts and five lengths as equal to one second
1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
Horse    Rating    Weight
(kgs.)    Rating of A (-) others    Difference In Rating    Your Own Rating ratings based on previous best race    Comparative Weight Rating    Rank
 A    110    65.0     110-110    + 0    110-4-3+0+0  =  103     103+0+5=108        4
B    105     62.5     110-105    + 5    105+0+4+4-0  =  113     113+5+0=118        2
C    101    60.5     110-101    + 9    101-4-3+14+0 = 108     108+9+0=117        3
D     99       59.5     110-99    +11    92+19-4+ 2+0 = 109     109+11==120        1
E     93      56.5     110-93    +17    88+1-4+0+0    = 85p     85p+17==102        5
Key:
1.    Names of Horses.
2.    Handicappers Ratings of the Horses.
3.    Weights assigned by the handicapper as related to ratings.
4.    Rating of the highest rated horse entered in the race minus the individual ratings of all the horses that equalizes their potential abilities with rating related weights so assigned by the difference between the ratings of the highest rated horse entered in the race and other horses down the line.
5.    Difference between the ratings of the highest rated horse entered in the race and other horses in the race that represent the weight advantage in ratings.
6.    Your own ratings based on handicappers ratings plus/minus ratings adjusted on your own assessment of the performance of the horses in its last race or in its previous best race, current condition. Rating of other participants, variations in track conditions, false rails etc.
7.    Comparative weight ratings based on your own ratings as in column 6 plus the difference in ratings of the horses as in column 5 minus overweight carried by the riders or plus allowances claimed by the riders.
8.    Ranking of Horses based on comparative weight ratings with the highest figure representing the best in the field on weights and followed by others in the descending order in that order.

To calculate the chances of a horse in a race on weights we have to take into account the rating of the horse which represents the ability of the horse and then factor in the effect of weight. So although horse A with a rating of 110 is 5 points better than B running with a rating of 105 he has to carry 2.5 kilos more in weight where one point is equal 0.5 kilos. Therefore we would add 2.5 kilos or 5 points to the rating of horse B to come up with a rating that takes into account the effect of the weights assigned. Similarly work out the figures for other horses down the line in the field. Basically all the ratings are normalized to the highest weight carried in the race.

There are a number of steps that are to be taken to make sure of an accurate rating:
1.    The first is to evaluate a horse’s true mark of ability. Here try and establish a horse’s ability under its ideal conditions that defines theoretically a horse’s ability by the rating at which it can win off in a competitive handicap.
2.    Adjusting the true mark for other participants:  The class of a race is no indication of how well a horse is handicapped. A winner of a race of Rs.1,00,000 by 3 lengths is not necessarily better handicapped than a short head winner of a Rs.70,000 race. It all depends on how well handicapped the other horses are in the race. Class is important because a classier horse can repel more challengers but the area of a race class does lend itself only to speed handicapping. Useful animals that win are great but Un-genuine animals are however more. Hence a true opportunity is here to adjust the true mark of ratings.
3.    Adjusting the true mark for race conditions: All of the above assumes a horse is racing in its ideal conditions. Let’s say this race is 2000m in soft ground on a fast and quick track. Hence assign a rating for this race based on a previous performance under the conditions. Many times adjustment for false rails is to be made.
Further:
(a)    Always try and assign a race horse a True weight adjusted rating in the race conditions and make selections based on your own ratings calculated on the basis of past performances.
(b)    Always look out for good claiming jockeys and other plus points.
(c)    Always think about how the race will be run.
(d)    Always look for proof of performance and non-performance when assigning ratings and also look for improvements in subsequent workouts.
(e)    Horses raised in the weights for performances under different conditions are vulnerable returning to different conditions under which they were previously unsuccessful.

Example of Horse A: In its last race A beaten by 2 length into 3rd place off a mark of 110.     110                           
Its true mark should be 106 because if he had been running off that mark he would have won that race for he would have been 4 points or 2 lengths closer to the winner. A=110-4=                    106
The winner of that race racing off 96 had been beaten off that mark by 3 lengths in his previous three races. Therefore the winner`s true handicap mark may be 93.  So not only Horse A was beaten by 2 lengths but was beaten by a horse that was carrying 3 points more than his true rating warranted. Therefore adjust downwards the rating of A by 3 more points   A= 106-3= 103                                                     
Horse A is a really solid performer under the conditions - all conditions are alike to him and hence no adjustment.103
Further he has an excellent claiming jockey on board which reduces his weight carried by 5 points. Rating unchanged at 103 but race weight reduced. Rating of A = 103 + 5 points Weight Allowance for the rider being an apprentice= 108. As A is the top weight there is no weight advantage in rating and hence his comparative weight rating is also 108. 108
Horse B: B in its last race led in the stretch run and beaten by 1 length into second off 105.   105
This appears to be a good effort and is a winning rating because without one other horse that won he would have won that race The Handicapper has kept him in the same mark of 105 and let us also do so and keep him at105.

The winner has gone on to be beaten by a short head in another good race carrying 1.5 kgs or 3 points more. So adjust the rating of B upwards by 2 points more than 105 as he lost to a horse who could then win off a higher mark. That’s 105+2= 107.                                                               107
Furthermore Horse B made a bad mistake at the last race costing him a length which he would have won otherwise. Hence increase the rating of Horse B by another 2points even if it is not four points. Horse B: 107+2=109                                                        109
He has not run on this ground before. But a look at his form shows that his soft ground form was 15 points higher than his firm ground form.  Take into account the potential improvement although it`s not guaranteed. This is more of an instinct than science.  Hence increase the rating of B by 4 points.  Rating of B: 109+4= 113p.                                                                                             113
Horse C: In its last race C got beaten by 10 lengths into 4th off 101.                                         101
That gives it a rating mark of 101-4=97 or much less than that or he should not be persisted with any rating until he runs a good race if it was running only for getting trained and is getting dropped to a level where he can win based on a previous win or close finish on board.                             97
Further he was beaten convincingly in a poor race. He just seems out of form and he wasn`t eased down. And therefore adjust his rating further downwards by 3points for poor showing 97-3=94. 94
He has not raced in to days conditions in his last 4 races. Last 2 runs can be forgiven because it was over 2400m. In fact for a known non-stayer running on a stiff track last time was a good performance. 3rd race back he was tired and fell. 4th race back he ran a good ½ length second, in a good race, in these conditions off a mark of 108. Further more that was a seasonal reappearance and he was not 100% fit. No option but to give him a rating of 108p with p indicating possibly increased fitness under the conditions. Rating of Horse C: 94+14=108p                                   108p                                                     
Horse D: D Ran with a rating of 92 last time out and won convincingly by five lengths.           92                                                                                                                               
So rate him at 104 and more. In the meantime the handicapper has rated him by seven points more and the way in which won going away he would have definitely carried another 7 points and won by three or more lengths. Hence rate him with 92+12+7=111.                                                   

Though he beat good horses you may still think that he is over handicapped in which case you may deduct four points from the rating of 111-4=107.                                                                        

Last time there was a fast pace and the horse that set the fast pace was not on the board. Earlier to that he had won a hard fought win by half a length when rated 87. He likes the ground and hence credit him 2 more points in rating 107+2 = 109.                                                                      

As there is weight advantage in this race add the difference of 11 points between top weight and its own rating and that would be the12 comparative rating of D in this race 109+11= 120               

Horse E: Horse E won his 4th race back all out by a short head off 88.                                     

And one can really assign a mark of 89 only as he was all out                                                    
 
That is the level of form he was capable of but as he is lightly raced and ran green I would expect some measure of improvement. Horse E beat a number of horses running in their first handicap.
The 2 lengths beaten third has run since and was beaten by 6 lengths in a good handicap.
Therefore adjust downward the rating of Horse E by 4 points because the other horse was not on a winning rating and he may even have improved in the subsequent race being lightly raced further devaluating Horse E`s win. However Horse E did win and there could be more.
Hence reduce his rating he has achieved by 4 points but keep the p as improvement is possible. Rating of Horse E: 89-4= 85p.                                                                                                   

He is a young horse, he won last time out and the connections go and have the blinkers on him. He has never worn them before and pulled hard last time on good ground. That`s a worry on the softer ground. His rating becomes 85p?                                                                                             

They think the blinkers will work but he tried hard last time and putting blinkers on a free puller often makes it worse. Rating of horse E remains 85p.                                                             85p

Similarly work out the true ratings of every horse on the ground in advance and keep ready the True Ratings figures for all horses and when they are entered in a race you can just make the comparative ratings within a few minutes and make the selections.
 
1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
Horse    Rating    Weight
(kgs.)    Rating of A (-) others    Difference In Rating + ratings of the previous. best race    Your Own comparative Ratings based on the previous best race    Comparative Weight Rating
+/- actual eights     Rank
A    110    65.0     110-110    + 0+110=110    110-4-3+0+0 = 103     103+5=108        4
B    105     62.5     110-105    + 5+105=110    110+0+4+4-0 = 118     118+0=118        2
C    101    60.5     110-101    + 9+101=110    110-4-3+14+0=117     117+0=117        3
D     99       59.5     110-99    +11+92=103    103+19-4+2+0=120     120+0=120        1
E     93      56.5     110-93    +17+88=105    105+1-4+0+0=102p     102+0=102        5
Key:
1.    Names of Horses.
2.    Handicappers Ratings of the Horses.
3.    Weights assigned by the handicapper as related to ratings.
4.    Rating of the highest rated horse entered in the race minus the individual ratings of the all horses that equalizes the ratings of all horses with the weights so assigned by the difference between the ratings of the highest rated horse entered in the race & other horses down the line.
5.    Difference between the ratings of the highest rated horse entered in the race and other horses in the race that represent the weight advantage derived in ratings.
6.    Your own ratings are based on the handicappers ratings plus/minus ratings adjusted by you on your own assessment of the performances of the horses in its last race or in its previous best race and their potential abilities as is perceived by you. The pedigree, age, current condition, class ratings, the rating related weights and the actual weights carried by them minus over weights of jockeys or plus weight allowances claimed by the jockeys are all taken into consideration. Besides these fundamentals, the distance of the race, the texture of racing strip, the pace of the race, the fractional times and the final time recorded by the horses for that race, are also taken into consideration, which together demonstrates the potential ability of the horses to win at a particular distance and their suitability to other distances in terms of speed and class established over the final part of 600 or 400 meters of a race.
7.    Comparative weight ratings based on your own ratings as calculated in column 6 plus the difference in ratings of the horses as in column 5 minus overweight carried by the riders or plus allowances claimed by the riders.
8.    Ranking of Horses based on comparative weight ratings with the highest figure representing the best in the field on weights and followed by others in the descending order in that order.

Another method for spot play will be, to take the rating of the highest rated horse in the field in a race and treat the same as the rating of all the horses in that race. And then, add the rating of its last race or the previous best race, that which in effect eliminates the adjustment of ratings by the handicapper. Then add to that rating your own additional ratings or deduct the reduction of ratings from that figure based on your own assessment of the performances of the horses.

That gives your own adjusted ratings and the highest figure so arrived indicates the best of the horses in the field and others in descending order in a comparative weight handicapping system. Such horses, qualify for the best bet on weights, if they qualify on all other fundamentals of handicapping.

Yet another easy method is to find the previous best race of the horses in a race to be run today. And add to their ratings in that race, the difference in ratings between the top weighted horses and the assigned weights of all those horses in the race to be run today, in terms of ratings.

Then find the difference between the ratings of the previous best race of the horses and the ratings given to them in today’s event by the handicapper. And add the difference in ratings to that figure if it is more than the ratings in the previous best race or deduct the difference in ratings from that figure if it is less than the ratings in the previous best race. And then the sum total will be same for all horses as is the rating of highest rated horse in the race to be run today.

It is so, because, the handicapper attempts to equalize the chances of all horses in a handicap race and all weights are normalized to the highest rated horse in a race and the weights are assigned as per their ratings according to the rules of racing.

There after add to that figure your own additional ratings Or deduct the reduction of ratings from that figure based on your own assessment of the performances of the horses in their previous best race and subsequent improvements or deterioration in their form as is perceived by you that gives you your own adjusted ratings.

The highest figure so arrived indicates the best of the horses in the field and others in descending order, if they qualify on all other fundamentals of handicapping.

There are many more methods. But always find the one that is easy to follow and the one which you understand the most for some people weight rating is irrelevant. But it is a useful exercise to undertake to get to know your horses. From this they can move on to other fundamentals of race selections like, speed ratings, pace ratings, Bookies odds and last minute fluctuations in the odds etc.
__________________________________________________________________________

Courtesy: Spot the Winner with Success



READY RECKONER OF WEIGHTS AS RELATED TO CONTINUOUS RATINGS
WEIGHTS    Ratings at RCTC from                          Winter 2007-08    Ratings at RWITC from Mumbai Winter 2009-10    Ratings at BTC from Summer 2008
 kgs    I    II    III    IV    V    I    II    III    IV    V    I    II    III    IV    V
47.0 TO 62.5    80 &
Up    60 to 90    40 to 70    20 to 50    0 TO  30    80 &
Up    60 to 86    40 to 66    20 to 46    0 TO  26    80 &
Up    60 to 85    40 to 65    20 to 45    0 TO  25
62.5                                                      105    85    65    45    25
62.0    110    90    70    50    30    106    86    66    46    xx    104    84    64    44    24
61.5    109    89    69    49    29    105    85    65    45    26    103    83    63    43    23
61.0    108    88    68    48    28    104    84    64    44    25    102    82    62    42    22
60.5    107    87    67    47    27    103    83    63    43    24    101    81    61    41    21
60.0    106    86    66    46    26    102    82    62    42    23    100    80    60    40    20
59.5    105    85    65    45    25    101    81    61    41    22    99    79    59    39    19
59.0    104    84    64    44    24    100    80    60    40    21    98    78    58    38    18
58.5    103    83    63    43    23    99    79    59    39    20    97    77    57    37    17
58.0    102    82    62    42    22    98    78    58    38    19    96    76    56    36    16
57.5    101    81    61    41    21    97    77    57    37    18    95    75    55    35    15
57.0    100    80    60    40    20    96    76    56    36    17    94    74    54    34    14
56.5    99    79    59    39    19    95    75    55    35    16    93    73    53    33    13
56.0    98    78    58    38    18    94    74    54    34    15    92    72    52    32    12
55.5    97    77    57    37    17    93    73    53    33    14    91    71    51    31    11
55.0    96    76    56    36    16    92    72    52    32    13    90    70    50    30    10
54.5    95    75    55    35    15    91    71    51    31    12    89    69    49    29    9
54.0    94    74    54    34    14    90    70    50    30    11    88    68    48    28    8
53.5    93    73    53    33    13    89    69    49    29    10    87    67    47    27    7
53.0    92    72    52    32    12    88    68    48    28    9    86    66    46    26    6
52.5    91    71    51    31    11    87    67    47    27    8    85    65    45    25    5
52.0    90    70    50    30    10    86    66    46    26    7    84    64    44    24    4
51.5    89    69    49    29    9    85    65    45    25    6    83    63    43    23    3
51.0    88    68    48    28    8    84    64    44    24    5    82    62    42    22    2
50.5    87    67    47    27    7    83    63    43    23    4    81    61    41    21    1
50.0    86    66    46    26    6    82    62    42    22    3    80    60    40    20    0
49.5    85    65    45    25    5    81    61    41    21    2                        
49.0    84    64    44    24    4    80    60    40    20    1                        
48.5    83    63    43    23    3                                                 
48.0    82    62    42    22    2                                                 
47.5    81    61    41    21    1                                                 
47.0    80    60    40    20    0                                                 
Ratings are in points where 1 point is equal to 0.5 kgs at BTC, RCTC, RWITC & HRC
There is no lowering of weights at BTC & RCTC, unless specified otherwise
Weights as related to ratings of 34 points for C & G and 31 points for Fillies are the starting mark of ratings for
 2/3 yrs old horses at the commencement of their racing carrier at RCTC & 30/27at RWITC & 28/25 at BTC
THE MINIMUM BOTTOM / TOP WEIGHT- 47.0-60.0 AT RCTC, 49.0-59.0 AT RWITC & 50.0-60.0 kg  AT BTC
Courtesy - Spot The Winner With Success

For detailed study, refer the book SPOT THE WINNER WITH SUCCESS by the same author