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BREEDERS CUP 2013 – SATURDAY

By Anil Mukhi | 01 Nov 2013 |


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Yesterday's piece covered the card for Friday's racing at the 2013 Breeders' Cup World Championships at Santa Anita in Arcadia, California, a suburban municipality in Los Angeles County, USA.

Today's piece examines the card for Saturday, November 2nd, which is the concluding – and more exciting – day of the weekend carnival. Racing is so competitive that not a single runner is quoted in advance at odds on – the shortest price being "Evens" on Wise Dan. This is as it should be. Last year the average winning odds on this very day were 8.3 to 1 and only 3 favourites obliged in 8 Breeders' Cup events.

Note that IST is 12-1/2 hours ahead of Pacific Daylight Time (PDT). "PP" stands for Post Position and represents both the card no. and draw no. Odds refer to pre-race forecasts by experienced assessors and can change dramatically by post time depending on the wagering.

BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE FILLIES, Gr.1, $2,000,000, 2YOF, 8-1/2 fur., 12:05 p.m. PDT
 
PP   HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1   ARTEMIS AGROTERA  Michael Hushion  Jose Lezcano  3-1
2   ROSALIND  Ken McPeek  Joel Rosario  8-1
3   DESIGNER LEGS  Dallas Stewart  Joe Talamo  30-1
4   SECRET COMPASS  Bob Baffert  John Velazquez  6-1
5   RIA ANTONIA  Jeremiah Englehart  Javier Castellano  30-1
6   CONCAVE  Doug O'Neill  Mario Gutierrez  15-1
7   UNTAPABLE  Steve Asmussen  Rosie Napravnik  5-1
8   SCANDALOUS ACT  Kathleen O'Connell  Eduardo Nunez  8-1
9   SWEET REASON  Leah Gyarmati  Alex Solis  5-2
10   SHE'S A TIGER  Jeff Bonde  Gary Stevens  6-1

Sweet Reason (by Street Sense) looked the pick of the juvenile fillies in the USA when recording a pair of facile victories at the upscale Saratoga meet. Her balloon was somewhat deflated by the enormous Artemis Agrotera (by Roman Ruler), who re-opposes here, in the Frizette Stakes at Belmont Park. The pair faces the more experienced She's A Tiger (by Tale Of The Cat), who with Gary Stevens up will have every chance. There is nothing on form between the last-named and Secret Compass (by Discreet Cat) and it is from this quartet that the winner will emerge.

BREEDERS CUP FILLY & MARE TURF, Gr.1, $2,000,000, 3YO+FM, 10 fur. T, 12:43 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 DANK  Sir Michael Stoute  Ryan Moore  5-2
2 ROMANTICA  Andre Fabre  Maxime Guyon  6-1
3 TIZ FLIRTATIOUS  Marty Jones  Julien Leparoux  7-2
4 ALTERITE  Chad Brown  John Velazquez  10-1
5 LADY OF SHAMROCK  John Sadler  Victor Espinoza  20-1
6 MARKETING MIX  Tom Proctor  Gary Stevens  7-2
7 LAUGHING  Alan Goldberg  Jose Lezcano  8-1
8 EMOLLIENT  Bill Mott  Mike Smith  12-1
9 QUSHCHI  Graham Motion  Edgar Prado  20-1
10 KITTEN'S DUMPLINGS  Mike Maker  Joel Rosario  10-1

Neither Sir Michael Stoute nor Andre Fabre would have sent their wards so far unless they had a decent chance at landing the spoils. Dank (by Dansili), beaten only once this year, already has American experience, having taken the Gr.1 Beverly D Stakes by open lengths earlier this term. Other consistent rivals include Laughing (by Dansili), unbeaten in 4 efforts this season which included a win over Tannery, who franked the form in the Gr.1 E.P. Taylor Stakes in Canada last week, Tiz Flirtatious (by Tizbud), whose 2013 tally is 4-from-5 and Marketing Mix (by Medaglia d'Oro), runner-up in 2012.

BREEDERS CUP FILLY & MARE SPRINT, Gr.1, $1,000,000, 3YO+FM, 7 fur., 1:21 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 RENEE'S TITAN  Doug O'Neill  Mario Gutierrez  30-1
2 BOOK REVIEW  Bob Baffert  Rafael Bejarano  6-1
3 STARSHIP TRUFFLES  Marty Wolfson  Gary Stevens  15-1
4 DANCE CARD  Kiaran McLaughlin  Joel Rosario  8-1
5 TEDDY'S PROMISE  Ron Ellis  Victor Espinoza  6-1
6 ISMENE  Bill Spawr  Mike Smith  20-1
7 SUMMER APPLAUSE  Chad Brown  Javier Castellano  12-1
8 DANCE TO BRISTOL  Ollie Figgins III  Xavier Perez  5-1
9 JUDY THE BEAUTY  Wesley Ward  John Velazquez  6-1
10 GREAT HOT  A.C. Avila  Chantal Sutherland  20-1
11 GROUPIE DOLL  Buff Bradley  Rajiv Maragh  6-2
12 SWEET LULU  Jerry Hollendorfer  Julien Leparoux  8-1

Last year's heroine – the only odds-on winner of any of the Breeders Cup races at the 2012 meeting – Groupie Doll (by Bowman's Band) got a rude shock when beaten last time out, although the fact that she was on Polytrack might have worked to her disadvantage. Her 2013 campaign has been short – 1 win from 3 starts – and though she looks the best on form, she just could be vulnerable to the likes of Book Review (by Giant's Causeway), Dance To Bristol (by Speightstown), Judy The Beauty (by Ghostzapper) – who beat her last time they met – and Sweet Lulu (by Mr. Greeley).

GEICO BREEDERS CUP TURF SPRINT, Gr.1, $1,000,000, 3YO+, about 6-1/2 fur., 2:05 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 JERANIMO  Michael Pender  Victor Espinoza  12-1
2 ROCK ME BABY  Craig Dollase  Joe Talamo  30-1
3 CHIPS ALL IN  Jeff Mullins  Julien Leparoux  5-1
4 RENEESGOTZIP  Peter Miller  Edwin Maldonado  5-1
5 CARACORTADO  Michael Machowsky  Gary Stevens  8-1
6 BOAT TRIP  Michael Pender  Rafael Bejarano  8-1
7 TIGHTEND TOUCHDOWN  Jason Servis  Javier Castellano  12-1
8 HANDSOME MIKE  Doug O'Neill  Mario Gutierrez  30-1
9 CAPO BASTONE  Todd Pletcher  Joel Rosario  8-1
10 HAVELOCK  Darrin Miller  James Graham  10-1
11 SPRING TO THE SKY  Bruce Brown  John Velazquez  30-1
12 MIZDIRECTION  Mike Puype  Mike Smith  4-1
13 DIMENSION  Conor Murphy  David Moran  12-1
14 UNBRIDLED'S NOTE  Steve Asmussen  Corey Nakatani  8-1

Another attempting to repeat is Mizdirection (by Mizzen Mast), but her getting drawn wide, out with the washing, in 12 might impact her chances. That said, she is 5-for-5 on the unique Santa Anita 6.5 furlongs turf course and although not seen since failing over a yielding Belmont track in June is ready and primed. She faces the same rivals who placed behind her last year, Unbridled's Note (by Unbridled's Song) and Reneesgotzip (by City Zip), the last-named being in scintillating form. Capo Bastone (by Street Boss) is being switched to turf for the first time, a daring experiment on such a big stage.

BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE, Gr.1, $2,000,000, 2YO, 8-1/2 fur., 2:45 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 SMARTY'S ECHO  Anne Smith  E. T. Baird  20-1
2 DANCE WITH FATE  Peter Eurton  Rafael Bejarano  8-1
3 MEXIKOMA  Rick Mettee  Alan Garcia  12-1
4 NEW YEAR'S DAY  Bob Baffert  Martin Garcia  8-1
5 BOND HOLDER  Doug O'Neill  Mario Gutierrez  8-1
6 TAP IT RICH  Bob Baffert  Mike Smith  6-1
7 CLEBURNE  Dale Romans  Corey Nakatani  12-1
8 CONQUEST TITAN  Mark Casse  Eurico Da Silva  30-1
9 RUM POINT  Doug O'Neill  Edwin Maldonado  30-1
10 WE MISS ARTIE  Todd Pletcher  Javier Castellano  8-1
11 MEDAL COUNT  Dale Romans  Robby Albarado  20-1
12 DIAMOND BACHELOR  Patrick Biancone  Julien Leparoux  12-1
13 HAVANA  Todd Pletcher  John Velazquez  5-1
14 STRONG MANDATE  D. Wayne Lukas  Joel Rosario  6-1

Almost every year, trainer Todd Pletcher has a high-class juvenile primed for this event and this year is no exception. Attempting to replicate last year's victory for the  Coolmore/Pletcher/Velasquez combine, which came through Shanghai Bobby, is Havana (by Dunkirk) but he has drawn the awkward 13 hole in the starting gate. Local hope Bond Holder (by Mineshaft), with his late running style, can exploit any chinks in the favourite's armour. As Strong Mandate's schooler is the most successful in Breeders' Cup history, it's worth keeping the son of Tiznow  in mind as well.

BREEDERS CUP TURF, Gr.1, $3,000,000, 3YO+, 12 fur. T, 3:25 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 VAGABOND SHOES  John Sadler  Victor Espinoza  15-1
2 TEAKS NORTH  Eric Guillot  Martin Garcia  30-1
3 TWILIGHT ECLIPSE  Tom Albertrani  Julien Leparoux  20-1
4 LITTLE MIKE  Dale Romans  Mike Smith  6-1
5 SKYRING  D. Wayne Lukas  Luis Saez  30-1
6 TALE OF A CHAMPION  Kristin Mulhall  Joe Talamo  30-1
7 THE FUGUE  John Gosden  William Buick  3-1
8 POINT OF ENTRY  Shug McGaughey  John Velazquez  4-1
9 INDY POINT  Richard Mandella  Gary Stevens  9-2
10 BIG BLUE KITTEN  Chad Brown  Joe Bravo  6-1
11 MAGICIAN  Aidan O'Brien  Ryan Moore  8-1
12 REAL SOLUTION  Chad Brown  Javier Castellano  8-1

If there is a "good thing" at this year's meeting, it is The Fugue (by Dansili) in this race for which she has been carefully targeted. Of course sometimes good things can get beat but logically it could only be tactical issues or a nightmare trip that would compromise her chances here. Point Of Entry (by Dynaformer) is returning after an enforced absence of 147 days caused by a fracture and shapes as the principal opposition to Lord Andrew Lloyd Weber's filly. And one can ignore only at one's own peril anything ridden by Gary Stevens here – and that happens in this case to be the Argentine ace, Indy Point (by Indygo Shiner). Ultra-consistent Big Blue Kitten (by Kitten's Joy) can add spice to the finish.

XPRESSBET BREEDERS CUP SPRINT, Gr.1, $1,500,000, 3YO+, 6 fur., 4:01 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 JUSTIN PHILLIP  Steve Asmussen  John Velazquez  4-1
2 THE LUMBER GUY  Michael Hushion  Mike Luzzi  12-1
3 GENTLEMEN'S BET  Ron Moquett  Javier Castellano  8-1
4 MAJESTIC STRIDE  Jeff Bonde  Edwin Maldonado  20-1
5 SUM OF THE PARTS  Tom Amoss  Leandro Goncalves  12-1
6 BAHAMIAN SQUALL  David Fawkes  Luis Saez  10-1
7 PRIVATE ZONE  Doug O'Neill  Martin Pedroza  3-1
8 FAST BULLET  D. Wayne Lukas  Joel Rosario  4-1
9 SECRET CIRCLE  Bob Baffert  Martin Garcia  4-1
10 WINE POLICE  Henry Dominguez  Enrique Gomez  30-1
11 TRINNIBERG  Shivananda Parbooh  Rajiv Maragh  8-1
12 LAUGH TRACK  Mark Casse  Mike Smith  20-1

Last year's one-two – Trinniberg and The Lumber Guy – are back for another clash but neither is in the same form as in 2012. Formerly trained in Panama, Private Zone (by Macho Uno) has been second at all his three starts on the Santa Anita track and bids to go one better. He, and the horse he beat in the Vosburgh Stakes last time out, Justin Phillip (by First Samurai) are in great heart and should be in the leading group from the start. Missing in action for 18 months with a sesamoid injury, Secret Circle (by Eddington) returned successfully last month, has been working well, and should be right there.

BREEDERS CUP MILE Gr.1, $2,000,000, 3YO+, 8 fur. T, 4:45 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 NO JET LAG  Simon Callaghan  Mike Smith  8-1
2 SILENTIO  Gary Mandella  Rafael Bejarano  20-1
3 SILVER MAX  Dale Romans  Robby Albarado  5-1
4 OBVIOUSLY  Mike Mitchell  Joe Talamo  10-1
5 OLYMPIC GLORY  Richard Hannon  Richard Hughes  4-1
6 BRIGHT THOUGHT  Jorge Gutierrez  Julien Leparoux  20-1
7 HE BE FIRE N ICE  John Sadler  Victor Espinoza  15-1
8 WISE DAN  Charlie LoPresti  John Velazquez  1-1
9 CRISTOFORO COLOMBO  Aidan O'Brien  Ryan Moore  15-1
10 ZA APPROVAL  Christophe Clement  Joel Rosario  15-1

Who's going to beat Wise Dan (by Wiseman's Ferry), America's best racehorse? Although he was defeated last time out, his loss had all to do with the fact that the race was moved off the grass on to Polytrack due to rain. On his preferred fast going, as he will encounter here, he is an awesome beast. Perhaps the only runner who has displayed ability somewhere in the same ballpark is Olympic Glory (by Choisir), fresh off a big win in England following the application of blinkers. Finally, that colt's paternal half-brother, Obviously (also by Choisir), is another that should be motoring at the finish.

BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC, Gr.1, $5,000,000, 3YO+, 10 fur., 5:35 p.m. PDT
 
PP HORSE NAME TRAINER  JOCKEY  ODDS
1 LAST GUNFIGHTER  Chad Brown  Javier Castellano  20-1
2 PAYNTER  Bob Baffert  Martin Garcia  12-1
3 PLANTEUR  Marco Botti  Ryan Moore  20-1
4 MORENO  Eric Guillot  Joe Talamo  15-1
5 DECLARATION OF WAR  Aidan O'Brien  Joseph O'Brien  10-1
6 MUCHO MACHO MAN  Kathy Ritvo  Gary Stevens  5-1
7 FORT LARNED  Ian Wilkes  Brian Hernandez Jr.  6-1
8 PALACE MALICE  Todd Pletcher  John Velazquez  10-1
9 GAME ON DUDE  Bob Baffert  Mike Smith  8-5
10 WILL TAKE CHARGE  D. Wayne Lukas  Luis Saez  12-1
11 RON THE GREEK  Bill Mott  Jose Lezcano  --
12 FLAT OUT  Bill Mott  Joel Rosario  12-1

The grand finale to the $25 million carnival comes with the Classic, in which 11 are left following the late defection of Ron The Greek due to a quarter crack. Last year's winner, Fort Larned (by E Dubai) is back and in good nick, but perhaps he was a bit lucky to beat Mucho Macho Man (by Macho Uno) in 2012,  and that five-year-old is itching to take revenge. Neither might be able to handle Game On Dude (by Awesome Again) who has not lost in 6 tries since he botched his effort in last year's event. Aidan O'Brien has a modest record (7 wins from 83 starters) at the Breeders' Cup but has boldly pitched in turf star Declaration Of War (by War Front) on the dirt and it would be fitting to see such enterprise rewarded.