tipping part 2By raghavan | 12-Sep-2019
This site is mainly for horsetalk members to give their tips, with or without additional reasoning, comment.
Of course race related, (some times non related too) trivia, humor etc are also welcomed!
But, of late, I am seeing some tips by some body who claims himself a veteran in race tipping. His sample tips are:-
1) favorites of race no 2, 6 & 8 may not win.
2) Astro says, favorites of race no 4 & 5 looks to be false favorites. May not win!
3) Favorite of race no-3 may win, but favorites of race no-7 & no-8 may not win etc.
A good number of such so called astro numero predictions will prove right. The beauty is, even if they prove wrong, our tipster has only said "may lose". Very rarely he comes with statements that this or that favorite will lose.
Friends, I feel that it does not require a great knowledge to say staements like favortes will lose in race 3,4 & 5. In fact, without caring to even look at he race card, runners, jockeys name etc, I can say that all favorites from race 1 to race 8 will lose! Most of the times, (around 70%) my prediction will prove correct. Sometmes 80% to 90% will prove correct. But, will that make me a good tipster?
Suppose, the probable odds are 60ps, 75ps or 90ps, on a favorite. I say it is false favorite! In that case, I am duty bound to give you the name of the horse which I consider a threat, which horse may win. It does not require genius of Einstein to predict that favorite loses.
And the second thing is using the word "favorite"! We all prefer to see the horse name; at least race number & horse number. There may be two horses with almost same odds. OR there may be three horses with odds 3, 3.25, 3.50. As per cctv display, X may be favorite now & in next minute Y may be favorite etc.
The person who considers himself a veteran, master in astro predictions, etc should stop playing to the gallery! He should specify the name of the horse likely to win. Anyone can say "This horse will fail". But, we prefer to see in this site the name of winning horse.
If, one can not point out the winner, he should remain silent. Heavens will not fall; there will be no earthquake! A tipster should do justice to his experience, knowledge. He should not bombard this site with good for nothing buffoonery. He says he warns the punters! Such warnings not necessary. Either spell out winners (or those which finish in place), or remain silent. For decades, horse talk members survived without such stupid statements like "favorites will lose".
Favorites will lose as a routine matter in most of the races. The bookies are not fools to offer 80ps, evens etc on a dead certain winner. Favorites may score in 33% of races only. Even if that 33% to click, punters can claim themselves lucky.