The A C Ardeshir Trophy (Grade 3)
Terms Race for Horses, 4 years old and over.

(a) Weight for 4 years old, 48.5 kg;
(b) Weight for 5 years old and over, 50 kg.
(c) Allowance 1.5 Kg to Fillies

Penalty Clauses:- After April 30th 2014,
(1) Winner of a Grade 3 race or a race of value Rs. 5 lakhs or over (other than a Graded Race), 1.5 kg. Or of 2 or more such races, 2 kg

(2) Or of a Grade 2 race or a race of value Rs. 10 lakhs or over (other than a Graded Race), 3 kg. Or of 2 or more such races, 4 kg

(3) Or of a Grade 1 race or a race of value Rs. 20 lakhs or over (other than a Graded Race), 6 kg. Or of 2 or more such races, 8 kg

(4) Additional Penalties : After 30th April 2016, winner of a race of value Rs. 5 lakhs or over 2 kg.

(5) If the top weighted acceptor is below 59 kg., it shall be raised to 59 kg and the weights of other acceptors shall be raised relatively.

As per the above declared terms in the Prospectus, the basic weight of four horses should be as follows:

1. B FIFTY TWO-50 KG (5 YR GELDING)
2. JACK FROST -50 KG (6 YEAR GELDING)
3. MRS.PATMORE-48.5 KG – ALLOWANCE =47 KG (4 YEAR OLD FILLY)
4. LONDON-48.5 KG (4 YEAR OLD COLT)

WEIGHT RAISED IS ONLY 4 KG., IT MEANS THE PRESENT WEIGHT AS PER THE TERMS SHOULD BE AS FOLLOWS:

1. B FIFTY TWO-59-4 KG RAISED = 55 KG
2. JACK FROST -59-4 KG RAISED = 55 KG
3. MRS.PATMORE-59-4 KG RAISED = 55 KG
4. LONDON-52.5 KG-4 KG RAISED = 48.5 KG

NOW LOOK AT THE PENALTIES GIVEN TO EACH HORSES BY THE OFFICIAL HANDICAPPER;
1. B FIFTY TWO-50 + 5 KG = 55 KG
2. JACK FROST -50 + 5 KG = 55 KG
3. MRS.PATMORE-47+8 = 55 KG
4. LONDON = 48.5 KG (NO PENALTY)

NOW I ANALYZE THE PENALTIES ARE WHETHER IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE TERMS ADVERTISED IN THE PROSPECTUS BELOW:

1. B FIFTY TWO won a Race valued above Rs 5 Lakhs only once, hence 1.5 Kg, (26.03.2016 – Jacqueline Double Stakes). Refer Penalty Clause-1 above.

2. It won a Grade 2 Race on 12.2.2017 – The Eclipse Stakes of India valued over Rs. 10 Lakhs), hence 3 Kg Penalty (Refer Penalty Clause-2 above).

3. Now Add the Penalties to basic weight 50 Kg + 1.5 Kg + 3 Kg = 54.5 Kg. But it is running with 59 Kg, it means the Weight Raised is 4.5 Kg, not 4 Kg as published in the Race Card? RWITC Handicapper should answer this question.

4. RWITC Handicapper should answer one more question why B.Fifty Two has not been penalized 2 Kg as per the penalty clause-4 above, as it won a race valued over Rs.5 Lakhs after 30th April 2016, i.e. precisely on 12.02.2017. Why I insist this Penalty on B Fifty Two because the official handicapper has added this 2 Kg penalty to Mrs. Patmore. Explained more against Mrs. Patmore below.

5. In the case of JACK FROST, it has won Gr.3 The Southern Command Trophy (Gr.3) on 13.09.2015 and incurred 1.5 Kg penalty as per penalty clause-1 above, and 3 Kg. Penalty as per Penalty Clause-2 above, since it won C.N.Wadia Gold Cup (Gr.2). So its weight should have been 50+1.5+3 = 54.5 Kg, however it is running today with 59 kg, it means total weight raised is 4.5 Kg and not 4 Kg as published in the Race Card.

6. Mrs. Patmore basic weight is 48.5 Kg – Allowance 1.5 kg = 47 Kg. It won 1000 Guineas in Mumbai this season (a Grade 1 Race) hence it has got 6 Kg Penalty as per Penalty clause-3 above. Since this win was after 30th April 2016, it has got additional penalty of 2 Kg as per penalty clause-4 above. So it got total penalty 47+6+2 = 55 Kg. This penalty has not applied to B FIFTY TWO for unknown reasons? Why? Surprisingly only 4 Kg raised at acceptance stage to Mrs Patmore. Once again the official handicapper made the goof up.

7. LONDON has not won any graded race or any race valued over Rs. 5 lakh, so it is running with basic weight of 48.5 Kg + 4 Kg weight raised.

Note:
B FIFTY TWO – 2 Kg penalty waived off by the handicapper, it shows it is clearly ahead of JACK FROST in this race. So this horse is in the FIGHT today, WITH MRS. PATMORE possibly the RUNNER-UP berth is in his custody, if not an upset.

MRS. PATMORE – Grade -1 Winner this season over the present distance should win this race easily.

LONDON – In the Indian Derby Mrs Patmore 152.68 and Germanicus clocked 152.82. In the Hyderabad Derby Germanicus clocked 149.15 and London clocked 150.07 (4-3/4 lengths behind), so it is clear MRS.PATMORE is better despite giving 6.5 Kg to London.

Only question is whether B.FIFTY TWO can upset Mrs. Patmore ? In racing anything possible, Mrs. Patmore should not break level, Loses few lengths at the start, breaks a blood vessel, becomes lame, in such cases B FIFTY TWO can win this race.

Note: Races are not run according to my whims and fancies. But it is a fun to study and present the facts naked in front of you all.

SELECTIONS:
MRS. PATMORE-WIN
B FIFTY TWO - UPSET

Your opinions please !