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Back to listsThe Squanderer Trophy - Class 1 Handicap
By Kk Lanka | 08-Jul-2017
This CLASS I handicap attracts me as there are many good horses and most likely we get good odds.
I tried to SPOT the winner of this race using the method of elimination.
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1) who are Jokers in the pack?
7) PEARL REWARD and 11) SALADIN
2) a. Out of the remaining field, which are the younger horsers?
3.RAFA 4.DROPS OF JUPITER 10.MICHAELA
b. Were any of those younger horses SAME CLASS SAME DISTANCE WINNERS?
IGNORE if they are NOT.
3.RAFA
3) Out of the remaining field, any apprentice jockey/s riding who has/have NO
WINS this season for the current distance +/-200 and in the same class or
above? If so, mention and eliminate them.
8. SPEED HAWK (RAYAN AHMED) and 9. ACE BADRAAN (NAZERUL ALAM)
4) Out of the remaining field, which horses do NOT have run benefit this
season? Elimante them.
NONE
5) From the remaining field, order the horses according to their current
rating.
1. INTEGRATED(84) 2. TOPSPOT(84) 3. RAFA(79) 5. BARACCHUS(76) 6.AYRTON (72)
6) Calculate the projected timings of the above horses taking into account of
their previous Weights, Distances, PN and FR. Re-order them according to
their projected timings for today's weight, distance (at par PN and FR)
3.RAFA 5.BARACCHUS 1.INTEGRATED 2.TOPSPOT 6.AYRTON
7) Now, re-order them according to their jockey's merit (winning %) in current
season.
2. TOPSPOT (Suraj) 3. RAFA (Trevor) 5. BARACCHUS (Sandesh) 1. INTEGRATED (Srinath) 6. AYRTON (John)
8) From Steps 5, 6, and 7, recalculate the order of placings by summing up
their positions respectively.
RAFA - 2 + 1 + 2 = 5
TOPSPOT - 1 + 4 + 1 = 6
BARACCHUS - 3 + 2 + 2 = 7
INTEGRATED - 1 + 3 + 4 = 8
AYRTON - 4 + 5 + 5 = 14
Most probably, the horse that topped in the above table is THE WINNER. YOU CAN PLAY IT BIG.
(Never forget to hedge it with SHP or 2nd choice place if available in the ring.)
According to me, RAFA is a CLEAR WINNER followed by TOPSPOT and BARACCHUS in the same order.
All the best.
I tried to SPOT the winner of this race using the method of elimination.
-------------------------------------------
1) who are Jokers in the pack?
7) PEARL REWARD and 11) SALADIN
2) a. Out of the remaining field, which are the younger horsers?
3.RAFA 4.DROPS OF JUPITER 10.MICHAELA
b. Were any of those younger horses SAME CLASS SAME DISTANCE WINNERS?
IGNORE if they are NOT.
3.RAFA
3) Out of the remaining field, any apprentice jockey/s riding who has/have NO
WINS this season for the current distance +/-200 and in the same class or
above? If so, mention and eliminate them.
8. SPEED HAWK (RAYAN AHMED) and 9. ACE BADRAAN (NAZERUL ALAM)
4) Out of the remaining field, which horses do NOT have run benefit this
season? Elimante them.
NONE
5) From the remaining field, order the horses according to their current
rating.
1. INTEGRATED(84) 2. TOPSPOT(84) 3. RAFA(79) 5. BARACCHUS(76) 6.AYRTON (72)
6) Calculate the projected timings of the above horses taking into account of
their previous Weights, Distances, PN and FR. Re-order them according to
their projected timings for today's weight, distance (at par PN and FR)
3.RAFA 5.BARACCHUS 1.INTEGRATED 2.TOPSPOT 6.AYRTON
7) Now, re-order them according to their jockey's merit (winning %) in current
season.
2. TOPSPOT (Suraj) 3. RAFA (Trevor) 5. BARACCHUS (Sandesh) 1. INTEGRATED (Srinath) 6. AYRTON (John)
8) From Steps 5, 6, and 7, recalculate the order of placings by summing up
their positions respectively.
RAFA - 2 + 1 + 2 = 5
TOPSPOT - 1 + 4 + 1 = 6
BARACCHUS - 3 + 2 + 2 = 7
INTEGRATED - 1 + 3 + 4 = 8
AYRTON - 4 + 5 + 5 = 14
Most probably, the horse that topped in the above table is THE WINNER. YOU CAN PLAY IT BIG.
(Never forget to hedge it with SHP or 2nd choice place if available in the ring.)
According to me, RAFA is a CLEAR WINNER followed by TOPSPOT and BARACCHUS in the same order.
All the best.