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The Karnataka Sub-area Cup

By Mad Max | 21-Jul-2017
1. Four apprentices have accepted to ride in The feature event of the day and I find none of their mounts warrant any support, all of them will finish out on the board |-|, hence ignored Castle Key, Super Success, Ace Badraan and Dream Star.

2. Now we have some of the leading jockeys out there to give a dry, they are, Srinath, Yash Narredu, Prashant P.Dhebe, Neeraj Rawal, S.John, VR Jagadeesh and P.Trevor. Out of these 7, we can delete two horses - Shivalik Story (prefer short sprint races), and Sir Majestic (Jockey limitations as well as recent form of the horse). Now we have left 5 horses Life Awaits, Champagne, Side Winder, Antananarivo and Krieger.

3. LIFE AWAITS won 5 races so far over 1200m (with plain Aluminium shoes on all four legs). Trainer has now opted for HIGH HEELS in both hind legs.Hence it is difficult to understand the necessity of high heels all of a sudden? Even if it is needed on any circumstances, it is feasible to give the horse one run to relish the trip with heels. Since our hard earned money is involved, we cannot wager on such horses on experiment basis hence ignored.

4. Mumbai import CHAMPAGNE has won five races, ranging from 1000m to 1400m, its story is also same as of Life Awaits, opted HIGH HEELS on both hind legs for the first time. For the same reasons (mentioned in para no.3, I want to leave this horse for good for the time being.

5. SIDE WINDER's career graph is down, and the present form is doubtful, hence ignored for a win, however, can be placed.

6. ANTANANARIVO was beaten by KRIEGER in race no. 57 fair and square, and now gets 2 kg to cover 4 lengths, that is difficult, but not impossible.

7. KRIEGER - Won start to finish easily, now promoted and entered in Class-I race, as the trainer knows the horse well Krieger wont carry top weight in Class-II, and that may be the reason he is running here. I fancy KRIEGER to win this race handsomely from ANTANANARIVO.

FINAL CHOICE:
KRIEGER-WIN
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PS:
Atchut has reminded us on June 29th 2016, and his post in HT says P.Trevor is approaching 1000 wins. Mr. Murtazzzzz replied that P.Trevor has completed around 992 wins. I checked P.Trevor's wins thereafter, 7 wins in Bangalore, and 1 win in Mysore thus he completed 1000 wins. Normally all commentators take the opportunity to 'announce 1000 wins' during commentary if a jockey really achieved it. In Trevor's case, BTC commentator not raised the alarm when Trevor won on Power of God. That means he has not yet completed 1000 wins. May be 1 short, or two short. KRIEGER will add one more jewel to his winning streak. Most probably the magic figure 1000, who knows ?
Post Your reply

17 Replies

Msm said ...

22-Jul-2017
App. Jockey Anthony Raj rode a superb race. Congrats !

Super Success needed better saddle support.

Kumar_blore said ...

22-Jul-2017
Ace badraan has come down a lot in scales,with an apprentice on saddle has bright chance to place at juicy odds.

Bkd said ...

22-Jul-2017
LIFE AWAITS is my first choice...next ANTANANARIVO.

Life Awaits is already a distance winner last season carrying top weight in Cl-1. Further, if you were to discount his previous essay....a lung opener perhaps.... he comes in quite well at his revised handicap and therefore a repeat performance may not be quite out of the blue!

On the other hand, Ramu's horse KRIEGER's(favourite) chances seems to me REMOTE in this company...after all, a class-II winner(beaten Tax Free??)..trying to match strides with a top weighted seasoned Cl-I winner... might simply be asking for too much! I'D RATHER LAY KRIEGER THAN WAGER ON HIM!

Any other horse can also strike but not Krieger....for heaven's sake!

@ Mad Max...strictly my views...of course, I can be proved wrong.
No intention of disrespecting your thoughts.

BOL!

Ramiyer said ...

22-Jul-2017
CHAMPAGNE. Ran with top class sprinters at mwestern India
May be out of form but anytime it can bounce back.

Arktouros said ...

22-Jul-2017
Krieger will won't win lay bet of the day

Larry said ...

22-Jul-2017
@Mad Max

I'd like to repeat the question posted by Golden Allure. Where do we get such information, as regards high heels, and other such change of equipment information that you post from time to time?

Also, I really like your posts, sure makes sense whenever you post something.

Golden Girl said ...

22-Jul-2017
It is Castle Key V/s Life Awaits.If the no whip jockey can do justice to his mount Castle Key should win from Life Awaits.

Mad Max said ...

22-Jul-2017
@ Not an Expert

That's pure maths. 4 Kg allowance is important for a top weighted horse than a better jockey with 62.5 kg.

@ Golden Allure
Go to Race card published by www.bangaloreraces.com, and check OFFICIAL RELEASE on top of that page. Click open the Race Card all information is available there.

Not An Expert said ...

22-Jul-2017
hi madmax,

food for thought ;

any idea why trevor's riding krieger instead of castle key owned by his retainer.

would like your views.

Golden Allure said ...

22-Jul-2017
Your previous selections were spot on, I need to ask you one thing where do you find the change of heels that you have mentioned because the website Has stopped publishing this information, there is no racecard available
In also feel that Kreiger should win this race

Mad Max said ...

22-Jul-2017
@ Shaps
You are doing your ballet or running without high heeled shoes for long and doing it successfully. If you are asked to do it without HH shoes can you able to do it suddenly? I am not totally negating, 10 out of 100 may oblige the trainer, but I am with the 90% that fail.

Stop Fooling Punter said ...

22-Jul-2017
As per me there are 3 horses in contention
Castle key Life awaits and kreiger.

Castle key is a front runner and from draw 3 all the app jockey has t do is to hit the front.He has raced with better class horses.
His main danger Life awaits a 75 class runner.

Kreiger won on 10 june in a average time of 1. 12.54 next race a 60 and above shibhon won in 1.11.88 that shows mission impossible for him to win.

So for me Castle key a clear winner on his last spurt.

Trevor will win Race 2 star line last run an easy second

God Is Great said ...

22-Jul-2017
Tq u for posting ur analysis madmax

Shaps said ...

22-Jul-2017
Just a few weeks ago , had read about a horse running in high heels in a big race. Just can't remember the horse nor the trainer, could be Bharat Singh, not sure, but it was a big race and the horse was among the first three favorites.

Mad Max said ...

22-Jul-2017
@ Hi guys,
Few typographical mistakes in the above article, corrected as below:

Para-1:
Four apprentices have .............WILL FINISH OUT OF THE BOARD (NOT out on the board)

Para-2:
Now we have some of the leading jockeys out there TO GIVE A TRY (NOT dry)

FOOTNOTE:
Atchut has reminded us on 28TH JUNE 2017 (NOT 2016)

Raj said ...

22-Jul-2017
Champagne is the lay bet of entire Bangalore season.
My choice Is also Krieger.No one has better time than this horse.With Trevor I don't see any difficulty.
The joker is super success.

Svkraju said ...

21-Jul-2017
@ MAD MAX

I LIKE CASTLE KEY. MY ONE AND ONLY BEST EW BET FOR TOMORROW ALL THE BEST TO YOUR CHOICE. CASTLE KEY PLACE IS CERTAIN. ANANTARIVO BETTER THAN KRIEGER.LETS WAIT AND SEE