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The Amazing Grace Trophy: Pune 19th August

By Hunter | 18-Aug-2017
The Amazing Grace Trophy, to be run over 1200M, is a race for Class 1 horses. There are five horses entered. Brynhill and St Andrews are the prime contenders here.

ANALYSIS:

St Andrews was considered a classic prospect and did well over longer distances. Winner twice over 1400M, he runs over as 4-y-o for the first time (his victory over 1200M in his debut race is ignored).
He beat Brynhill by 1.75 lengths in Mumbai over 1400M, while in receipt of 9.5 kg.
In his lung-opener in Pune over 1400, he finished 6.5 lengths ahead of Brynhill, when both horses ran at level weights. On account of this performance, St Andrews's rating went up from 98 to 101, while that of Brynhill's came down from 107 to 105, thus resulting in net handicap advantage of 2.5 kg to Brynhill.
St Andrews has age on his side, being a four year old, while Brynhill is almost old enough to be his father at 8 years.

Brynhill's favoured distance is 1200M.
He has run amongst and beaten the best of the sprinters.
He has won The Amazing Grace Trophy last year
I would assume that his and St Andrews' run in Accolade's race was not a true run and the handicapper has thus showered Brynhill with 2.5 kg advantage.
In this small field, Brynhill will try to hit the front and stay there, thus in the short Pune straight putting the onus squarely on the horse coming from behind.


CONCLUSION

Distance and handicap favour Brynhill, while age and class (?) favour St Andrews. Brynhill will hit the front and could well stay there all the way, with wily Srinath in the saddle.
I believe it's not Brynhill's race to lose, but it's St Andrews' race to win. The latter has to come from behind over this shorter distance and catch Brynhill. Can Imran Khan do it?

WINNER

I'll stick to the proven sprinter Brynhill.

Happy hunting....
Post Your reply

13 Replies

Stop Fooling Punter said ...

19-Aug-2017
it is my humble request to many here please do your home work.

Harvey in mock race was 8 out of 10 many lts behind even the last track was bad Yet we kept on chanting about him.A 8yr olds f beats him should b a n abject lesson to many.
You cannot win money without study. Today no upsets and all well backed horses came of given by some one or the other here.

Svkraju said ...

19-Aug-2017
@ MAD MAX

THANKS AGAIN FOR YOUR CAUTION. WENT ON ROLL BET FROM WE BREAK THE RULES TO ST ANDREWS.

Dilipabd said ...

18-Aug-2017
HARVEY will lift
Amazing grace cup
Because Trevor's fav horse was
Amazing grace not only for that reason good horse Harvey will win

Goodbad13 said ...

18-Aug-2017
Valentino to upset if Harvey is not race fit

Professor said ...

18-Aug-2017
HARVEY is the right choice

Raj said ...

18-Aug-2017
Brynhill? I can t believe someone can fancy an 8 year hold horse which may drop dead before crossing wire.Its being run to get subsidy.

Even it comes @4th position it will be a miracle.

Good luck to those who are falling for daughter and father trap.

Valentino has no initial speed and St Andrews will romp home in style.

St Andrews days best and easiest catch. But no one will make money on this bcz of cramped odds. I won't give beyond 60/100.Big punters go after this.

Chancepedance said ...

18-Aug-2017
Brynhill has excellent chance

ST Andrews may not even place.

Svkraju said ...

18-Aug-2017
@ DEAR MAD MAX

THANKS FOR YOUR CAUTION. IF HORSE IS FIT ENOUGH AT LEAST 80% IT WILL WIN BY A GOOD MARGIN. MYSELF TAKE DECISION AT THE RACE TIME.

THANKS ONCE AGAIN

Mad Max said ...

18-Aug-2017
@ SVKR

Dont touch Turning Point.

Chenoys-Imran Khan double possible with
St. Andrews & Oracle. In Oracle's race just he has to beat Heroine.

Thank you.

Svkraju said ...

18-Aug-2017
DEAR FRIENDS

PLAY MY DOUBLE TURNING POINT TO ST ANDREWS AND GO HOME. NO IFS AND BUTS.


ALL THE BEST

Mad Max said ...

18-Aug-2017
My 2 Penny on this race !

The Chenoys put Srinath on Brynhill simply to twist punters attention towards Brynhill. Father-Daughter duo need "SOME" good odds that is the reason they assigned a lesser mortal - A.Imran Khan on St.Andrews, and the 'Showman' on Brynhill.

The Best horse in this field is ST.ANDREWS. Now 200m less to go, the Mistrys will have no difficulty in annexing this Trophy.

5. Valentino - My go start to finish, may fizzle out in the last furlong.

4. Harvey - Speediest animal in the field, provided he shows last year form. But he is coming after a set back. Skipped Mumbai season and now running after 10 months. Before winning it has to prove racing fitness on track. Hence need this run badly even if it is on form.

3. Staristocrat - this horse is being used by the trainer to prepare other horses in the yard, like Columbiana, Unforgettable You, both students won recently, and do you think it is the turn of the Coach himself now? I dont find any reason.

1. Brynhill - Can it sustain to hang on at the end for the second place?.

FINAL CHOICE:
ST. ANDREWS-WIN

Stop Fooling Punter said ...

18-Aug-2017
I agree with you the race is for this stable now which one they go ,will be seen only in the ring.
However I prefer ST,Andrews as this horse has a future, where as Brynhill has.none.

A classic horse not much difference between 1200 and 1400 mtrs.

Harvey can win if the jockey runs long with it not on it

Shaps said ...

18-Aug-2017
It could neither be BRYNHILL nor ST ANDREWS.

Harvey could lift this trophy, if good intentions are there.