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The Idar Gold Trophy

By Larry | 02-Sep-2017
Hi guys,
Just thought I'd continue with the workings for a terms race, just the way I did yesterday.
The calculations tell me that Jack Frost is a point better than Colombiana, and Temerity is 6 points adrift of Colombiana.
Looking at the race otherwise too, Al Shamsher is totally outclassed out here, and of the remaining three, it's only Temerity and Jack Frost who have won over this distance.
So, considering all of this, I think Jack Frost should prevail.
Once again, this is purely based on calculations based on some calculations based on ratings and weights that somebody evolved a few years ago, and it's not always necessary that reality goes hand in hand with theories and calculations, so apologies in advance in case Jack Frost loses.
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10 Replies

Raviraj said ...

03-Sep-2017
Mad max you claim to reside in bangalore. Bet on tote only. Also mentioned multiple times to bet only on jackpot. Forecast. Exacta. Shp.thp.avoid win place.
Today 40/100 favorite you will bet . Is that duplicity on your part. Are you doing with illegal bookies. Morally not wrong. How you will justify betting on such low odds.

Jerry. said ...

03-Sep-2017
Temerity will certainly Win so also will Yanna Rascala!!

Yesterday, sorry I didn't have time to Post but had splendid Treble(see my FB post)

Today I like Doubles: 2-1 onto 3-6 Ad. SInghs Double and 7-7 onto 8-1(upset) Coojis Double. Note 8-1 was favorite against New England who won 3 races after that.

All the Best.

Shaps said ...

03-Sep-2017
Temerity in the normal circumstances, should anyday win the race, in this set.

But, a big but. Is Pesi today reliable like before ??????

He has become the club's and bookie favorite boy.

He is now-a-day's, wantedly confusing and ruining the ordinary racing public.
The same racing public who stood with him shoulder to shoulder in his troubled day's.

Still because of the HYPE that his reputation and ward's created, all his horses become very hot favorites. This is where he is taking advantage and smashing the punters.

Raj said ...

03-Sep-2017
There is a limit to be optimistic.

Good luck.

Stop Fooling Punter said ...

03-Sep-2017
The problem with C''NA is his slow start last time after a mock race,took a level start.
His records show has never run two races in the same manner.

Temerity every thing has been written already but ist run in Pune [mock race of 1600 mtrs] At theses odds out of reach of most of us.

Jack frost enjoys an advantage over C''NA wt.wise and distance wise hence a safe SHP place bet.

T''rity carry too much of class and has also won in such low odds.

So a safer bet Jack frost place for me

Autonomy said ...

02-Sep-2017
@larry

Good luck

Wow said ...

02-Sep-2017
Idar cup is the most jinxed race in the history of racing. Normally the favorite gets beat. Evan the great Elusive Pimpernel has been beaten in this race so I agree Jack Frost at a price has a chance.

Racebro said ...

02-Sep-2017
The whole logic behind eating Temerity is no one can question about the loss as she will be first time on the track this season.

Secondly, P Shroff is expert in getting the favorite horse beat. I am unable to recollect the horses names.

If Temerity to get beat it will be in the hands of Colombiana.

Why not take a chance??

Varun said ...

02-Sep-2017
The son of KINGDA KA - BREEZE AND I SHOULD ROMP HOME TOMORROW BEATING COLUMBIANA, I THINK TEMERITY WILL NOT FINISH THIS RACE L, MAY THE BEST HORSE WIN GGWP

Mad Max said ...

02-Sep-2017
Pace of the race will decide the outcome of this race.
However I will back TEMERITY only. Today we have seen the riding of Imran Khan on Dancing Prances. Poor and Pathetic, no judgement whatsoever. I never back his horses, No Columbiana, No Jack Frost, only TEMERITY for WIN.