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The Pennywise Plate !

By Mad Max | 10-Sep-2017
First 3 races are very tricky, hence I try a race which I have reasonable confidence.

THE PENNYWISE PLATE:
FINAL CHOICE:
8-BIG SUR-WIN
(Take it as Day's Best)
-----------------------
Night Odds (Indiarace) Forest Fairy 16/10, Big Sur 3/1, Nelsons Blood 4/1, Domination 3-1/2)

Comments:
>Favourite Forest Fairy is going class up after an easy run last time out, but the time she clocked I doubt not par for a Class-III horse. Hence Ignored.

> Nelsons Blood is a perfect miler, maximum a place chance.

> Domination's numbers are not good enough to win, but he is better than Glorious Eyes.

> Et Voila won twice - one each in Bangalore and Hyderabad without Tounge Strap or Right Hind High Heels, today wearing both. Hence ignored.

> At last BIG SUR, came out of maidens after a fiercely fought win over Rochester. Rochester recently won R.76 Wadia Trophy (Gr-3), beating Simmons Rays, Whereas Simmons Rays earlier beaten Goldies Pet (R.14), eventually Goldies Pet won a Class-3 race in R.85. It shows BIG SUR is a good horse ready to strike. In Mumbai it won without Toungue Strap and CNB, but in Bangalore trainer used above accessories, today he removed so called equipments, hence I hope BIG SUR run a good race today. Moreover, In Bangalore it finished 3 lengths behind SANA, and Sana recently lost to Windsor Forest by Head in The Kolkata Fillies Trial Stakes. Other point is SANA was ridden by Dashrath Singh on both occasions, and same jockey has been assigned to ride BIG SUR today, means DS and Trainer might have assessed BIG SUR's potential in R.166 (Bangalore), So overall BIG SUR looks a Cinch today.

THE COL KAIKHUSHROO MANECKJI BHARUCHA MEMORIAL TROPHY DIV-2
7-STUNNER (14/10)
(Another Good bet for the day)

This race will witness two speedy horses fighting each other from start to finish. Ascension and Stunner both have blinding speed, but a witty PSC with his experience can ward of the challenge of Ascension. SK Sunderji's ward Ascension was first favourite in its last two runs. In both occasions he fooled the public by adding TS & CNB equipments in R.No.6. In R.No.65 he removed TS and retained CNB. Today he removed CNB as well and retained RDB which he uses on Ascension from the start. So can we trust such a trainer? Now look at Stunner, R.39 ran Even money favourite and failed by 2-1/2 lengths to Loire (Loire won again yesterday). Subsequently in R.No.65 it was second favourite, Dallas added Toungue Strap and removed Aluminium shoes from the Hind Legs, and if you see the results the winner was only 1-1/2 lengths better. Same accessories retained, and I hope this time STUNNER is in a more comfortable position.

Good Luck to all !
Post Your reply

22 Replies

Striker said ...

10-Sep-2017
Awesome

Surya said ...

10-Sep-2017
DEAR M.M SIR,
BIG SUR 10K @2.5 = + 24,000
VIJ' EMP 10K @3 = + 29,000
+53,000

STUNNER 10K @1.80= -11,000
LIKE WISE 5K @6/1= - 5,500
LIKE WISE PL = -11,000
-27,500
TOTAL = +25,500. THANKQ SIR.

Bkd said ...

10-Sep-2017
@ Mad Max,

I hate to go against you but to be fair to myself and to others..here's my take.

Race#5
--------
Big Sur: May be tried for place..but not Win! Looks to be somewhat jaded.

Forest Fairy: Why is Santosh, an apprentice, been assigned since he will not be able to take any advantage of the 2.5Kg allowance....as his higher body weight will not allow him any handicap leeway.

There are other contenders as well..Et Voila, NELSON'S Blood etc..who could also spring a surprise??

But for me...it is DOMINATION, which in all probability, will dominate the proceedings. Last time out a favourite...slowed off...yet finished a flying second from a hopeless psition at the bend. With additional 200m to travel, will be hard to beat.Morning exercises have been quite impressive too.. MY DAYS BEST.


Race#7
-------
Apparently, Stunner had necked out Ascension in their last clash. But don't overlook the interference that Ascension had to overcome, and that too as the favourite in that race.
Quite clearly, the equation ought to change now if there is no unforeseen mishap.

ASCENSION should therefore rise above Stunner!

All the best MM...enjoy the purple patch!

Regards,
BKD

Bkd said ...

10-Sep-2017
Wah wah...well done!

Crk said ...

10-Sep-2017
Dear Mad Max,

As far as I am Concerned you are GM (Genius Max). Your All-Round knowledge about all aspects of racing is admirable, more so, since you are so selfless about sharing it in this forum. I would seriously suggest that you should write a book on Racing, with special emphasis on Indian Racing. I am quite sure, it will be a hit.
Thanks.

Love_horse_racing said ...

10-Sep-2017
@ arc

Big Sur raped the field.

@ MadMax

Awesome....keep it up and god bless.


Jabz.

Rrajesh said ...

10-Sep-2017
followed madmax and dharmeshsir and played big sur
and followed bkd sir s tip domination in place
thank you you guys are just terrific

Arktouros said ...

10-Sep-2017
@ Mad Max you are doing great

But today i feel forest fairy won't lose the race

My day best bet Forest Fairy

In race no-7

Malavika should upset my small bet on Malavika



Kumar_blore said ...

10-Sep-2017
The Pennywise plate:my Choice is horse no7 Domination.
Reasons:1)was running for the 1st time after being gelded in its last run.
2)could have easily won last time,but got interfered badly so lost a certain race.
3)owners will be keen to recover their losses,so place looks certain for me.
4)blazing the tracks

In the other race my Choice is horse no4 Ascension.met some formidable contenders in most of its runs,if not for a check would have easily passed stunner.very nicely poised today,with a weak set should finally come out victorious.

Prabakar said ...

10-Sep-2017
@ Mad Max,

BigIGSUR -WIN I will agree with you.

ASCENSION -WIN
ASCENSION will easily beat STUNNER

Regards,
Prabakar.

Legend said ...

10-Sep-2017
Ascension will win by distance. Thanks

Ayyarnet said ...

10-Sep-2017

In my opinion FOREST FAIRY will have weight advantage over others and possibly win the race.

Best of luck to all

ayyarnet

Abhay...pune said ...

10-Sep-2017
Ignore h no-1,5,6

H NO-2-ET VOILA
Winner in HYD & BANG,very poor show in MUM in class three with NEERAJ

H NO-4-GLORIOUS EYES
Class four winner over 1400mts only,no show in class three over mile trip,place chance.

H NO-7-DOMINATION
Speedy,winner in 3year old maiden race over 1200mts,in last run failed favorite where he finish good 2nd in class four,now promoted & running with very tough company.

H NO-8-BIG SUR
Very ordinary show in BANG in class three,in r no-134 just manage to win by nk in 3year old maiden race.

H NO-9-FOREST FAIRY
Favorite notable winner in 3year old maiden race by 2ls now this is her first run in class three over mile trip,i think she need this run.

MY SELECTION
H NO-3-NELSONS BLOOD
Start to finish notable winner by 1.75ls in r no-11,in last run after interference he finish good 3rd with 57kg now carry same weight,working extremely good on track with N.S.PARMAR who ride today

THANKS...

Bharath Raj said ...

10-Sep-2017
DAY's best :BIG SUR.

Sun said ...

10-Sep-2017
@Mad Max,
This time your choice is Placed first on Timing with my system.I project Timing for this race at PNR 3.9 which was the reading yesterday.The first 3 horses are
Big Sur 9863
Eternalinspiration 9905
Neslsons Blood and Glorious Eyes 9931
Best of luck for your choice Win margin may be 2 to 2.5L

Affinity said ...

10-Sep-2017
win:1.SUSSEX PRIDE
SHP:8.Big Sur

Surya said ...

10-Sep-2017
FOLLOWED BY M.M SIR

Arc said ...

10-Sep-2017
No body is tired of countering @RP. Every body has a lucky stint then the wheel comes down. just like the great vamanan.
Today I continue to counter and shout from top of ROOF.
Both will fail.
ASCENSION WILL SIMPLY RUN AWAY FROM THE FIELD.
BIG SUR wont be in the fight at all
ETERNAL INSPIRATION and the CRANKY VOLNTIS will be in the thick of things. We all have seen the burst of the lazy VOLANTIS. I can still recall once in race (21) at Mumbai it was last till last 150 mts , 150 mts mind you in all sorts of traffic problems and once it saw the day light ZOOMED away.
BIG SUR to finish ahead of NELSONS VBLOOD/GLORIOUS EYES/VOLANTIS/ETERNAL INSP and FOREST FAIRY I feel our friend has had a MAD dream??????

Rp said ...

10-Sep-2017
Today i dont think anybody will counter your analysis...all must be tired ...

you win like castlebridge......

you are like god for small punters like me....keep posting..if you start paid
services i am your first member

Aaron said ...

10-Sep-2017
MM sir,

East or West you are the best

Churn&earn said ...

10-Sep-2017
Goodmorning All,

The first two races are really tricky so will avoid it. 3rd race I feel it will be an easy business for M. Narredu with KRAMER.

THE PENNYWISE PLATE: Winner picking is bit tough as haven't seen Forest Fairy run 1600 mtr so safe bet will be to play Glorious Eyes's place (not in night odds)

THE COL KAIKHUSHROO MANECKJI BHARUCHA MEMORIAL TROPHY DIV-2

I also agree with Mad Max's theory but feel Ascension is speedier then Stunner and could have over passed Stunner easily in R.No.65 but could not due to interference. so my choice - Ascension

Radnitz1010 said ...

10-Sep-2017
mad max sir,
i am a strong follower of your choices.
pl also give hyd also.