Indiarace.com - india's first & foremost horse racing portal

Topic Details

Back to lists

The Monsoon Cup Calcutta 2017

By Sportyy | 11-Oct-2017
Hello Everyone
Calcutta Monsoon Cup 2017
Just checked out this race in which out of the 6 runners running - 5 have ran on the same day [20th September 2017 ]

Shivalik Showers won 1800m clocking 1.57.37
Cadman won 2000 m clocking 2.14.22 and the 3 runners ran behind it all inside 1.01 secs [Rewalding -Shourisha -No more Politics ]

History of Monsoon Cup from 2009
Arkotouros won this cup in 2009 with C-ALFORD
Unleashed won this cup in 2011 from Arkotouros [C-ALFORD ]
Unleashed repeated the win again in 2012 again from Arkotorous -C-ALFORD
Malpensa won it from Arkotorous [C-ALFORD] in 2013
Malpensa repeated its win winning from Artesia in 2014
Artesia won this cup in 2015 from fly like the wind [C-ALFORD ]
Shivalik showers won this cup in 2016 [C-ALFORD]

So as per the above stats it does say the owners & trainers like to chase the same cup for 2-3 years in sucession ..along with jockey Alford who seems to have a special liking for this cup winning it 3 times & coming 2nd twice out of 6 attempts since 2009 ... .

My take on this race is
Shivalik Showers will be tried & in contention [fighting line ] with Shourisha
Vijay singhs Cadman shud be the lay bet for the day if fav or joint fav
No more politics has twice ran in earlier years[2015-2016] Monsoon cup & came
4th can be eaten in place
if odds are above 3 to one for Shivalik Showers -
Slam place 80% & 20% WIN as with its main jockey back C-Alford shud be in 1-2


Cheers
Sportyy


Post Your reply

8 Replies

Manish said ...

11-Oct-2017
Sportty

May be when Alford won, trainer was vijay Singh. We took this race as jockey fav. But it could trainers fav.

Sportyy said ...

11-Oct-2017
@ Ravi
Buddy i specified if odds are around 3 to one -i will be playing each way .. 80-20 ,im normally a punter who eats horses and once a while does a write up if i see a analysis
Nobodys perfect -
But that does not mean i will stop writing or predicting
We all live to punt another day and what i wrote was something that i shared ,not that i boasted it was certainity or days best ...
i dont see indiarace night odds as most of the times odds open differently
i'll still say laying is better than punting ...thats how im surviving in this sport ...
Cheers

Ravi said ...

11-Oct-2017
@SPORTY,

Please don't feel otherwise but after 40 plus years in racing I have concluded NO AMOUNT OF SMARTNESS works in this field. You studied and studied and got a pattern and concluded that connections, horses, owners go for MONSOON CUP DOUBLE. What happened.
SHIVALIK SHOWERS did not even come in paying place.
its as if the Bookies saw your smart work and ..... rest is history.
YOU JUST CANT BEAT THIS GAME

Blade Runner said ...

11-Oct-2017
Shivalik showers will run at evens, might close odds-on, wonder what results your betting plan at 80% for place on shivalik showers will reap?

Make it good, shivalik showers, shouldn't lose.

Manish said ...

11-Oct-2017
Didn't u see the night odds?

Its 80p favourite.

Svkraju said ...

11-Oct-2017
@ DEAR SPORTTY


PLEASE NOTE THAT IF SHIVALIK SHOWERS ODDS ARE MORE THAN 5/4 THEN IT WILL LOOSE DEFINITELY. ACCORDING TO ME THE ODDS WILL BE BELOW EVENS. NO OTHER CONTENDER CAN TOUCH ITS TAIL.


ALL [ HANDICAP, FORM , RATINGS, CLASS, AND DISTANCE ] FAVOURS SHIVALIK SHOWERS.


ALL THE BEST

Zeddzzz. said ...

11-Oct-2017
Hi Sportyy.

Reference To The Topic,Your X-Cellent, Detailed And Very Informative Post.
For Me Shivalik S Iz A Very V V Clear Winner. No Doubt In My Mind.
Cadman Will Sure Finish 2nd.
My Big E W Bet On S S And Again Big Place Bet On Cadman.
Hope To Get Decent Odds.

Thanks For Your Write Up.
All The Best And Take Care.

Raj said ...

11-Oct-2017
Shivalik Showers may win by atleast 5 L,start to finish.