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Back to listsMysore 22/10/2017 Deaby Day Selections
By Svkraju | 21-Oct-2017My top bets are
1race 1 0asis breeze should win from 4 star binder
3race 7 Passing fancy good ew bet
6race 11 Elfinix or 4 korol
7race 2 Castle Bridge days best. Romantic Star shp.
8race 7 Nicaragua place.
card is tricky. play safe. limit your bets.
all the best
42 Replies
Sun said ...
23-Oct-2017It was 3.2
Ravi Kumar said ...
22-Oct-2017Thanks in advance.
Ravi
Sun said ...
22-Oct-2017For a long time I also carried the impression that Timing Analysis is not the right method and many people on this forum opined that the final time clocked in a race depends on Pace of the race which varies from race to race.Inspite of this people like Ruchi talk about Speed Ratings and were successful in providing some good selections.
Coming to the topic of 10th September timings of Pune,they are not highly exceptional.I normalise Timings to Lowest Class,1600 Mtrs Distance and at PNR of 3.The average for the day of Winners of all Handicap races is 1Min 38.55 Secs which is comparable with the average of 1 min 38.6 secs of 17th Sept.On both days there were no false rails.As of now I have not been able to take into account False Rails variations.It is often said Rodometer is used to fix the Starting Gates at current distances but my observation is that they do make a difference.
For tomorrow's Hyderabad races I will come with top 3 contenders for 2/3 races.
Thanks.
Vampsvenom said ...
22-Oct-2017========================
FOR ME I LIKE 2 SAFE BETS
[RACE-3][2] LUNAR STORM
[RACE-6][4] KOROL
REGARDS
VAMPSVENOM
Praveen said ...
22-Oct-20172- 3 flash time
3- 3 limato
4- 8 czar rule
5- 4 excolence
6- 6 mystic music
7- 6 romantic star
8- 12 revereberating
9- 3 matteo
Mahesh Reddy said ...
22-Oct-2017Sunder said ...
22-Oct-2017Ninad said ...
22-Oct-2017Svkraju said ...
22-Oct-2017Just now i saw your selections. I like Secret Touch and Elfinix for ew.
Have a great day
Tony said ...
22-Oct-2017ALL THE BEST TO ALL RACE LOVERS.
Racebro said ...
22-Oct-20171-10 FUTURE BRIGHT - By Artie Schiller.
2-3 FLASH TIME - 1:24:46 2nd over 1400m with same jockey.
3-2 LUNAR STORM - By Declaration of War, tracking well.
4-12 OPENING ACT - This is my DAYS BEST.
5-14 SECRET TOUCH - 1:24:64 4th over 1400m, now going at 10kg less.
6-2 SPEED HAWK - Mystic Music can beat SH. Careful.
7-2 CASTLEBRIDGE - Will win start to finish, Kambaku Shp.
8-13 ULTIMATE GLORY - By Manduro
9-3 MATTEO - Last run with Shahnawaz, now VR+
All the Best!
Svkraju said ...
22-Oct-2017Thanks for your detailed reply. But for me, when selecting a horse i prefer the class of the horse is more important than timings.
One example i will try to give an idea, how timings diverts us. On 10 sep pune the timings of each winner is less than 2 seconds as per my notice. There may be something wrong on that day time keeper. If we consider that perticular day timings, then all our money should go to the drain.Can WILD FIRE running time for 1000m touches at least 58 seconds?. No.
I strictly follow only three basics. they are 1. CLASS 2 PREPARATION AND DISTANCE SUITABILITY 3 CONNECTIONS INTENTIONS.
THANK YOU AND ALL THE BEST
Sun said ...
22-Oct-2017I just finished analzsing RNO 5 the top 3 contenders are
Veni Vidi Vici Secret Touch and Majestic Queen.
My choices
RNO 5 Veni Vidi Vici
6 El Fenix
7 Kambaku Shp
Best of luck to all.
Pr@naidu said ...
22-Oct-2017R 1# 10 FUTURE BRIGHT win
5 ALEEF shp
R 2# 11TRUST ME BOY or
10 SANS FRONTIERS
R 3# OPEN RACE...
2 LUNAR STORM Place
R 4# 9 CZAR RULE win, 2 ADRIPHOS or
5 ROYEL REIN shps
R 5# 8 VENI VEDI VICI win,
1 CLASS ABOVE shp
R 6# 11 ELFENIX or SPEED HAWK
R 7# 2 CASTLE BRIDGE
R 8# 9 MASTERS GLORY or 8 DESART GILT
R 9# 2 FELIX LEGION win,
14 ITALION STALLION shp
My JP Selection ........
8 1 7/ 11 2/ 2 / 9 8 / 2
All the best.....
Pr@Naidu
Ramiyer said ...
22-Oct-20172.11.Trust me boy.
3.7.Passing fancy/Lunar storm.
4.8.Alvarez/Royal rein.
5.9.Beyond Thankful/Chase the ace.
6.2.Speed hawk.
7.4. Spot light.
8.1.Prize finder.
9.10.Amazing.
Jayakumar said ...
22-Oct-2017
Race no 6 is quite open
But After deatil analysis aftet loosing certain ground at the gates Korol finished close 3rd to castle bridge in first run mysore this season now well prepared and tracked with Sadveek which beaten bangalore horses and today winner too , good gate practice ,now distance raised for 1600mts ,So korol will fight with speed hawk and win the race
Final choice
6 4 Korol win
Rrajesh said ...
22-Oct-2017but the scary part is these trainers and jockeys
as mallya has no interest left in racing and in india the jockeys and trainers can take advantage and make a killing by not winning
i know some people might argue no its the derby ...a prestigious race
but these jockeys and trainers dont bother for a feather in their hat
castlebridge is going to be my good bet of the season ...just hope it runs on merit and wins
Rahul Ps said ...
22-Oct-20171: vroom vroom
2: trust me boy
3: CELESTIAL STORM
4: czar rules
5: dreamliner
6: AMBITIOUS REWARD
7: ROMANTIC STAR
8: first step
9:
Honneru said ...
22-Oct-2017R 2 H 5 Venus Star (chance) / {H 7 Pikachu / H 10 Sans Frontiers}
R 3 H 2 Lunar Storm (win) / H 4 Loveisintheair (place)
R 4 H 11 Goodwill Warrior (upset) / {H 3 Cherie Amour / H 10 Indian Fury}
R 5 H 4 Excelonce (win) / H 3 Dreamliner (place)
R 6 H 2 Speed Hawk (win) / H 5 Gusty Wind (place chance)
R 8 H 1 Prize Finder (win) / H 13 Ultimate Glory (place)
R 9 H 2 Felix Legion (chance) / H 1 Clouds (place)
Sai said ...
22-Oct-20174_14 YELLOWZONE EACHWAY
5_7ENTHRALLING EACHWAY
7_1APACHE SUNRISE WIN
8_7NAGARJUNA WIN,PLACE
Tiger said ...
22-Oct-2017WILL "CASTLEBRIDGE" BREAK THE MYSORE DERBY RECORD TODAY?
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
THE ANSWER IS HE SHOULD.
CASTLEBRIDGE IS THE FINEST ANIMAL WITH TREMENDOUS FORM. HE IS ONE OF THOSE HORSE WHERE TRAINER HAS PUT ALL HIS EXPERTISE, SKILLS AND HARD WORK. CASTLEBRIGE IS SHOWING HIS GOOD TURN OF FOOT TIME TO TIME. I EARLIER MENTIONED IN MY WRITING THAT HE IS THE MAJOR CONTENDER FOR INDIAN DERBY-2018. CASTLEBRIDGE IS IMPROVING DAY BY DAY.
AFTER HIS NARROW LOST FROM MANIFOLD IN BANGALORE DERBY, TRAINER BHARAT SINGH HAS KEPT THIS HORSE NEARER TO BANGALORE, DIDNOT TAKE RISK OF TRAVELLING, KEEPING IN MIND MYSORE 2000 GUINEAS ND MYSORE DERBY. IN MYSORE 2000 GUINEAS CASTLEBRIDGE SHOWED SUCH A FANTASTIC SHOW WON BEATING INFORMED TURF STAR BY 8nd HALF LENGTHS. TODAY HE IS THE HIGHEST RATED ANIMAL IN THE FIELD. ALTHOUGH THE AVARAGE RATING OF THE FIELD IS 75, BUT THIS ANIMAL IS FAR SUPERIOR THAN THESE AVARAGE RATING ANIMALS.
THE COURSE RECORD IS OF ICE GLACIER WHICH IS 2.01.32, I HOPE THIS TIME CASTLEBRIDGE WILL BREAK THIS RECORD ND WE WILL SEE CASTLEBRIDGE EARLY IN MUMBAI SEASON JUST LIKE SERGEANT AT ARMS.
---------------------------
OTHER HORSES FOR THE DAY ARE:-
2) PIKACHU
4) ADRIPHOS
6) SPEED HAWK
8) PRIZE FINDER
UPSET-NAGARJUNA.
ALL THE BEST.
TIGER"....................
Ravi Gowande said ...
22-Oct-2017Ravi Gowande
Pedigreestar
Sun said ...
22-Oct-2017In other post yesterday you asked why OR how I picked Taqdeer ka Badshah overlooking many other worthy contenders.
To be frank I don't analyse a race taking all aspects like drcheenu,Mad Max etc who study very deeply considering many aspects.My selections are completely Calculations based.Till recently I used to analyse by Ratings and I have my own Rating system which matches most of the times with Handicappers.The problem with this analysis is that the A/DA among contenders is very narrow leading to lot of confusion.A is advantage to horse ie my Rating is higher than Official Rating vice versa DA.
Of late I switched to Timing analysis where I try to project estimated times of contenders for today's race normalised to the current Class and Distance of Race based on this I select after looking at Age group and the Distance suitability of the horse.For example yesterday Sadeek was first among the contenders so also TKB but it failed.The second horse here was Justice Angel.I find the system works but when you have horses from many centres it is really difficult because as we see Timings at Mysore are unbelievable.
For today as of now I could analyse 2 races and the top 3 contenders are as below
RNO 6 60+ Class Fair Game El Fenix and Speed Hawk
7 Derby Obviously Castle Bridge Romantic Star Turf Star and Kambaku.
If I analyse another race I will post here the top 3.
Thanks for your interest.
Rakesh Menon said ...
22-Oct-2017Makes handicap debut in lower class.Dam produced many quality sprinters but this one has been a disappointment so far.No doubt whythis one landed in dubious stables.Faces weaklots here.Can sprint well.Tracking impressively
2-10 SANS FRONTIERES//2 SPINNING CHAKRAM
Ignore last run of Sans frontieres.Now gets Top rider.Spinning chakram is winner of 6 races.given some runs.Can upset
3-2 LUNAR STORM//10 PERFECT HORIZON
Lunar storm is tracking well.Is down a lot in scales..dont ignore Perfect horizon who can upset .
4-5 ROYAL REIN//14 YELLOWZONE
Open race.Both of them got equal chance to upset.
5-5 RECKLESS//14 SECRET TOUCH
Reckless has the handicap to win but folding up after bend regularly..now john to assist maybe tried.Secret touch also due to earn.
6-2 SPEED HAWK//4 KOROL
Speed hawk is a Consistent runner with fine form .dont ignore korol who can surprise
7-6 ROMANTIC STAR
Castlebridge will be universal choice.But run in kingfisher derby against manifold creates some doubt in my mind.Distance issue.Romantic star didnt got a proper rest before fillies and eventually finished 2nd to manifold.She broke a blood vessel against Apache.But last run had brought her on..she again running soon.Master trainer Paddy is making the mistake again or he knows his horse is in pink condition.I think he knows his ward well ..DAYS BEST
8-8 DESERT GILT//7 NAGARJUNA
Desert gilt ran a forward race over a mile last time.now distance is ideal.Watch race time odds on Nagarjuna.if backed gud chance
9-14 ITALLION STALLION
Ignore last run.Earlier ran a gud 2nd.Tracks are positive
Vikram Shekar said ...
22-Oct-20177- 2 Castlebridge
All the best...
Victor said ...
22-Oct-20172.pikachu
4.alvarej
5.dreamliner
6.al fenix
7.apache sunrise
8.reverbarating
9.clouds
Syed said ...
22-Oct-2017i request you to please leave racing forever
well wisher
Jerry. said ...
22-Oct-20171 - 1, only 1 GP after nearly 2 months, still Suraj takes mount, should Win.
2 - 10, Days 2nd Best, massive switch Rider, working attractively.
3 - 2, like 1/1 only GP, but Trainers handicapped Double. None have form etc.
4 - 14, well handicapped, working well with swimming also. Should Win.
5 - 14, again well handicapped, impressive work with swim. 4 must improve to win.
6 - 12, E/w as joc is not too reliable, otherwise well handicapped.
7 - 2, Days Best. 5 SHP.
8 - 8 from 5 & 3.
9 - 8 can win, 3 can upset or whatever is backed down.
Play Safe with Reduced Bets for Odds!!
Abhay...pune said ...
22-Oct-2017R NO-1-H NO-1-OASIS BREEZE
R NO-2-H NO-7-PIKACHU
R NO-3-H NO-10-PERFECT HORIZON
R NO-4-H NO-1-AMAZING DESIRE
R NO-5-H NO-4-EXCELONCE
R NO-6-H NO-2-SPEED HAWAK
R NO-7-H NO-2-CASTLEBRIDGE
R NO-8-H NO-1-PRIZE FINDER
R NO-9-H NO-1-CLOUDS
DAYS BEST-R NO-8-H NO-1-PRIZE FINDER
DOUBLE R NO-1-H NO-1-OASIS BREEZE TO R NO-5-H NO-4-EXCELONCE
BEST OF LUCK...
Mp_chennai said ...
22-Oct-2017Race No : 6
Horse no :7-BENEDETTA E/W
Stv,chennai said ...
22-Oct-2017cl iv 20-45-1400
1.CLOUDS
1100 winner,has shown her prowess over longer distances.Ran A forward race in Benedetta's 1400 win.
2.FELIX REGION
On level weights,had finished second to Clouds over 1400 by 4.5 lengths.Now running with 1.5 kgs advantage to Clouds.
3.AMAZING
winner over 1400,third to Kir Royale was a notable effort.Well placed in handicaps now.Jockey engagement a minus point.
4.SAZEE SAN
winner in lower class,might find it tough here.
MY CHOICE-
AMAZING
each way or place is preferable bet.
Svkraju said ...
22-Oct-2017Yes you are correct my choice is NAGARJUNA. Thanks for the correction.
Mahesh Reddy said ...
22-Oct-2017Againstodds said ...
22-Oct-20171 8 Roaring Thunder/ 2 Sky Jasmine
2 5 Venus Star/ 3 Flash Time
3 12 Rare And Famous/ 10 Perfect Horizon
4 12 Opening Act/ 9 Czar Rule
5 8 Veni Vidi Vici
6 11 Elfenix/ 2 Saladin
7 2 Castle Bridge
8 8 Desert Gilt/ 9 Masters Glory
9 1 Clouds
T.r.s said ...
22-Oct-2017Safe Bet for the day:Race no -1-4-5-7-9
Better to play win & shp
Race-1**OASIS BREEZE -1 COFFEE TIME -14
Race-2 FLASH TIME -3 .SANS FRONTIERES -10
Race-3 PERFECT HORIZON -10 OCEANA -6
Race-4** ADRIPHOS -2 CZAR RULE -9
Race-5** CLASS ABOVE -1 EXCELONCE -4
Race-6 SPEED HAWK -2 FAIR GAME -9
Race-7**CASTLEBRIDGE -2 ROMANTIC STAR-6
Race-8 PRIZE FINDER PRINCEAZEEM -2
Race-9**CLOUDS -1 ITALIAN STALLION -14
My Day's Best Race no -7 CASTLEBRIDGE -2
Good luck and All the Best
Vinay Malakpet said ...
21-Oct-2017Speed hawk will win in 6th race...
Samir said ...
21-Oct-2017Estonia said ...
21-Oct-2017S.govindarajan(chennai) said ...
21-Oct-2017Your selection in 8th race
NICARAGUA or NAGARJUNA
please send correct one.
Thank you Dear.
Aravind said ...
21-Oct-2017Bkd said ...
21-Oct-2017Here are my MYSURU Selections of 22nd Oct'17, DERBY DAY.
Race 1 Win#4-STAR BINDER
Race 2 Win#3-FLASH TIME
Race 3 Win#3-LIMATO
Race 4 Win#12-OPENING ACT
Race 5 Win#3-DREAMLINER
Race 6 Win#2-SPEED HAWK
Race 7 Win#2-CASTLEBRIDGE
Race 8 Win#8-DESERT GILT
Race 9 Win#12-WYLDE
----------------------------------
JACKPOT POOL RACES - 5,6,7,8 & 9
----------------------------------
3,4,10 / 2 / 2 / 8,13 / 1,3,12........180/90 Hyd
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DAYS BEST: SPEED HAWK(6-2)
GOOD DOUBLE: OPENING ACT(4-12) to WYLDE(9-12)
---------------------------------------------
Enjoy with CASTLEBRIDGE!!!
Thanks & Regards,
BKD
Krish said ...
21-Oct-20172 MYS 6 MICRON YAACOW 1 STELLA MARI
3 MYS 5 HEIDRUN 3 LIMATO
4 MYS 11 GOODWILL WARRIOR 10 INDIAN FURY
5 MYS 3 DREAMLINER 4 EXCELONCE
6 MYS 4 KOROL 7 BENEDETTA
7 MYS 2 CASTLEBRIDGE(Day's Best) 6 ROMANTIC STAR
8 MYS 3 BAZINGA 1 PRIZE FINDER
9 MYS 2 FELIX LEGION 11 SAZAE SAN
Good Luck for Big Win!
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