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Kingfisher Ultra Indian Derby

By Hunter | 29-Jan-2018
Handicaps are out. Prevalent Force and Manifold are joined by Lady in Lace. Also, from Kolkata come Sana and Aggregated. Then, there is Selfie Star.
My choices for winning are Prevalent Force or Lady In Lace. Safer bet could be Selfie Star for place.
Let the discussion begin on this very important race in our racing calendar.
It would be nice if owners like Mr Vivek Jain and trainers/ jockies could also share their views for our edification and enlightenment.

Hunt happily....
Post Your reply

56 Replies

Sandy said ...

04-Feb-2018
Kudos to Mistry's for Their Incredible Doosra....

Among the Above Bunch of Horses, Manifold Looks Formidable. Tracking well at Mumbai. Danger to it could be Lady in Lace (which was tried first time at 2400 mts and """"""Rochester""""""""" too)

Ramesh.r said ...

03-Feb-2018
Hello everybody. Very difficult to pick a winner. I like Manifold as my first choice and Aggregated to follow.

Vinay Malakpet said ...

03-Feb-2018
Lady in Lace will surely win

Prodigal said ...

02-Feb-2018
Every body is taking about PF and LIL. In my view the race is between ZENON and MANIFOLD.LIL will not be in first three.ZENON has systematically prepared for this race for the last six months.The owners have another horse named ZENON by great filly Jaqline in u.k. and that horse is doing well there.So i think owners like the name Zenon and confidant about this chances in the big race.
Regards

Sandy said ...

02-Feb-2018
For Last Year Indian Derby,

Shroff and Ameeta were very Disappointed with the Withdrawal of Mathaiyus.

This year Connections were Targeting their Filly for Indian Derby.

Enough Hype has been Created for Prevalent Force and Lady in Lace.
------------------------------------------------------------------
Do you Remember Last Year in form Horse SERJEANT AT ARMS ??..

Every one Knows that it wont stay 2400 mts. and still it started as favourite in Indian Derby. but what was the Verdict ??.

----------------------------------------------------------------
Prevalent Force 2400 mts run was Dubious with Weak Field...
Lady in Lace didn't travel 2400 meters at all...

Dharmesh said ...

01-Feb-2018
Lightly raced and still unexposed ZENON from ace trainer Pesi Shroff’s yard first caught the eye hitting strong form line in Bangalore summer derby finishing on well fifth behind Manifold ( Indian oaks winner), Castlebridge ( Indian 2000G winner), Olympia Fields, Kangra ( Bangalore oaks winner).
Since then he has raced only twice and has won both of his starts at a mile and a quarter. He has shown vast improvement with each victory and has been systematically prepared for this race. He is bred to stay and will certainly relish the derby trip and is my personal strong fancy for the Indian derby 2018.

Regards

Azim said ...

01-Feb-2018
GUYS PLS DON'T LOOK BEYOND
1)MULTIDIMENSIONAL/PREVALENCE

2)CHINESE WHISPER/SEA SPRAY

3)MULTIDIMENSIONAL/DHAWIAH

WILL FINISH IN THE SAME ORDER MANIFOLD CAN NOT BEAT LADY AND PREVALENT ...

Hyderabad Challenger said ...

01-Feb-2018
Zenon one horse race :-)

Starone said ...

01-Feb-2018
Gentlemen / Ladies

Why no one can see beyond what looks like a formidable force of trio / quartlet. There can be and always is an outsider hidden, waiting to pounce upon the so called biggies. One thing is sure it is a very open affair as there is hardly any consensus, which leaves enough scope for bookies to confuse the punters in the ring. I forsee that all the top 4 ( LIL, PF, Manifold & Aggregated) would be backed one by one and the odds would fluctuate violently. Numerology wise if you see past record maximum times horse at no. 10 has won or placed. Viewsssssssss

**isaac Ali** said ...

01-Feb-2018
When Suraj says all will have to beat PF''''
Then Suraj will track PF all thru'

Mad Max said ...

31-Jan-2018
@ Larry
You said ..Moving on to Manifold and Selfie Star, I wonder what the connections are up to; not a single track since the last run.

@ Sandy
You said...Among the Above Bunch of Horses, Manifold Looks Formidable. Tracking well at Mumbai.

My query to both of you?
How can you both diffeer on a simple matter - one say Manifold has track works, other say Manifold is tracking well.

Stop Fooling Punter said ...

31-Jan-2018
Selection after declarations but one thing has totally foxed me.

I cannot find a single track work of Aggregated at all after his Cal run.
Has he been tracked at night to hide from all of us.
Doe some one have any info on it?

Thanks

Sandy said ...

31-Jan-2018
@starone

First of all Manifold Didn't Get a Clear Run in that Race.

Soon after the Start it has hit the Front, kept in 2nd position and then
in the Straight it hit the front. It didn't get a Clear Gallop which forced the Ruffina to enter the Rail followed by lady in Lace and Blocked it in the Front. Later Windsor Forest Blocked it from Outside, Making it to Finish 4th.

if you see both Race no 58 (1600) mts and Race no 101 (1600 mts). This filly has hit the front and outpaced by the Outsider in the Last 100 Meters.

In Both Occasions its Lady in Lace !.

If you see her Runs in Banglore Derby (2000) & Mumbai Oaks (2400), it was in 4 or 5th Positions and Started Galloping in the Last Furlongs.

Connections have to Answer the Running Strategy..

Zeddzzz. said ...

31-Jan-2018
Gentlemen Good Evening.
Acceptances Are Out.
Time To Announce The No Hopers First.

My No Hopers List Iz Az Followz :-

- Aggregated, Big Sur, Grand Passage, Perfect Star, Rochester, Daffodil, Sana And Themis.

- Main Players :-

- Prevalent Force, Zenon, Lady In Lace And Manifold.

Now I Will Try To Give Reason And Shortlist Further.

---Prevalent Force :- No Doubt He Won 6 Races On The Trot, But The Beaten Brigade Waz Of Almost No Class. So For Me He Iz Out Az Winner. But Sure He Will Finish 3rd Or 4th.


---- Zenon :- He Iz Burning The Track, Quite A Hidden Horse, Every Possibility, He Will Be In 1, 2, 3.

------ Lady In Lace :- Lion Hearted Filly. Did Nothing Wrong Until Now. All Her Wins Are Smashing And Better Than The Previous Only. Only In MUM 1000G She Got Extended 90 Percent. Her First Run That Waz. If She Stays The Trip, Will Fight Every Inch Of Ground. A Possible Winner Or Runner Up.

Manifold :- Confirmed Stayer, Her Bangalore Derby Win Waz Quite Impressive. The Other Two Runs Deccan Fillies And MUM 1000G Were Fake. Az They Tried Start To Finish Tactics, Which Are Not At All Herr Style. Now Back To Her Best Favourite Distance. Will Run A Very V Bold And Impressive Race.

All The Best To All Contestants And Their Connections.
Let The Best Horse Win.

Raj said ...

31-Jan-2018
Manifold will WIN by at least 2l clocking 2.28+ if only with Neeraj .
Rochester,Bigsur, Daffodil,Themis are there to have little fun and so also paddy with 2 donkey.He can sip a beer in club and go home this time.
At least 8 horses have NIL chance.
Manifold
LIL
PF
Should be the order.

Can't wait for odds to Manifold.

Ravi Gowande said ...

31-Jan-2018
From the 12 shortlisted 6 as under
1) Prevalent Force
2) Lady in Lace
3) Manifold
4) Aggregated
5) Rochester
6) Perfect Star
Based on my Pedigreestar system if the trend is for the favourite to win then winner may emerge from first 4 who have already performed earlier if the trend is for upset then 2 who can upset. Once the jockeys are declared then will give my personal choice but I think Prevalent force will win.
Ravi Gowande
Pedigreestar

Acchu said ...

31-Jan-2018
Lady in Lace.(Play in any odds and enjoy bet......)

Starone said ...

31-Jan-2018
Would request one and all to watch the second last run of Manifold, where she is 4th after windsor forest. Manifold in the last 100 m tries to shift from railing gets blocked by two front runners & windsor forest. Idea was to assess the finishing speed. anyone who can read the run may elaborate..pls

Sampson said ...

31-Jan-2018
Prevalent Force slept through Chennai Derby (slow pace) and was woken up by Srinath and won by 8+ lengths...Simply outstanding horse...will win the Indian Derby/ Invitation and all other entered races without a sweat.

Good Luck

Starone said ...

31-Jan-2018
Manifold should annex the Derby Crown, Perfect Star should follow him. Rest to the forumn.

Larry said ...

31-Jan-2018
At the handicap stage, I reckon the horses that need consideration are
AGGREGATED, PERFECT STAR, LADY IN LACE, MANIFOLD, PREVALENT FORCE, SANA, SELFIE STAR and ZENON.




Aggregated sure comes into the reckoning based on his back to back victories in prestigious races in Calcutta, however, I'm not too impressed by the numbers for long distance on the pedigree charts. Moreover, a mere jump of rating by about 40 points does not mean that he actually belongs to that class, he would have to prove it over time, and I'm sure this is not the race for him to prove that, maybe in the future.
In the Derby, he beat Sana, who, in the previous run, the Oaks, beat a field that had an average rating of half of her rating, so along with Aggregated, I'm knocking off Sana from the list of contenders.




Before I move on, let me put this across, the two horses that show up best on the pedigree charts (at least as per my understanding of the pedigree charts) for this trip are Perfect Star and Zenon.




Moving on, we have Perfect Star. Now I've lost on this one quite a few times, however, I won't be too inclined on ignoring this one here. Has been tracked well, rested well, and if David Allan is on this one, I might be forced to have a more than serious look at this one at race time.



Lady in Lace, now this one surely would be the prime favorite along with Prevalent Force here. Has done nothing wrong up until now, has ticked all the right boxes, is in Mumbai for quite a while, and has more than decent tracks. Surely one of the strong contenders, and surely would be a pick in my JP selection, however I won't be too strong on this one because I see that though she has good stamina pedigree numbers from the Sire side, there's lack of support of those numbers from the Dam side, and for long distance races, I'm inclined to look at the numbers on the Dam side rather than the other way around, I know many out there would scoff at this, but this is something that has worked for me.




Based on the back to back hat-trick victories of Prevalent Force, before the handicaps were out, I thought that the Derby is at his mercy, and then when he wasnt entered for the Hyderabad Derby, I felt all the more strong about this one, thought they were targeting him for the big race, and expected him to be in Mumbai, preparing for the event, however, I notice that he was last tracked on 26th Jan in Bangalore, just one week prior to the race. Just four days to go, and not a track in Mumbai. I don't usually go strong on any horse in such a situation. He might win, but I'm not impressed from the prep angle, should have been in Mumbai by now, and tracked a few times. So I'm sticking my neck out, and saying that PF might get beaten.


Moving on to Manifold and Selfie Star, I wonder what the connections are up to; not a single track since the last run.
It's quite unlikely of Pesi not to be tracking a horse that most would believe has the best chance amongst his lot. I'm purely ignoring these two based on lack of preparations.

Finally, I move on to ZENON. I did mention earlier that this one has the best pedigree numbers for stamina, along with Perfect Star, and this is the one that gets my vote for this race. I have no doubts about the horse's staying abilities, and based on the prep work for this horse by Pesi, I feel this is the one that he would target to annex this Derby. Probably, after the race, people might blame Pesi for using the Doosra technique, but much before the race, it seems to be quite evident who he might go all out on. Just a small concern that makes me toss up between ZENON and PERFECT STAR is the fact that Zenon has run the last two races in handicap races. I'm not saying that horses having run in handicap races cannot win the Derby, but knowing Pesi as a shrewd trainer, one who sure would be aware of the potential of this one, I wonder why he didn't restrict him over just terms races. Maybe the two losses in Bangalore might have made him have some doubts.

All said and done, my first choice is ZENON, followed by Perfect Star.

Vishal said ...

31-Jan-2018
Strictly between Lady in Lace and Prevalent Force.

Cheers
Vishal

Raj_delhi said ...

31-Jan-2018
@ Mad Max
Re Suraj Narredu's ownership of LIL, I am sure you are aware of benaami ownership.
Also bear in mind that Suraj was champion jockey in Malakpet for years, before he moved on to national stage. He was the retained jockey for KSV Prasad Raju for more than one season.

Tarun said ...

31-Jan-2018
Dear Friends,

The Derby result would be limited between these 4 horses:

Lady In Lace / Prevelent Force/ Rochester/Zenon

My Fancy to lift the Cup would be Lady In Lace.

Warm Regards
Tarun

Vinodrocks said ...

31-Jan-2018
First choice Sana. Perfect star is the upsetter

Mad Max said ...

31-Jan-2018
@ Subash

Are you in your real sense to say a Jockey is allowed to own a horse in full or part? Please do not spread false information. A trainer can own a horse, however no jockey can. However there may be understanding between trainers/owners and jockeys. Officially it is impossible.

@ HRC/RWITC/TAI
Please conduct an inquiry about this information and clear the doubts of racegoers.

Sagar said ...

31-Jan-2018
Prevelant force , lady in lace and Sana the winner is between these horses, don't waste ur money in playing any other horses.

Don said ...

30-Jan-2018
Wait buddy one more dam horse is THEMIS .IF IT IS IN RACE CARD

Bonzar said ...

30-Jan-2018
Dear friends
Selfi star opted for Bangalore Derby on 11th and for my choice for Derby is Prevalent force

Subash said ...

30-Jan-2018
Suraj will ride LIL as he is a part owner of the horse. PF has come but has beaten ordinary horses. Aggregate and Sana are from Cal which is the weakest center. Rochester is a Phoenix Tower who will find the 2400 too much for him. Selfie is ordinary and at best should run in the last 4.Manifold won a poor oaks but will be in the 1,2,3 Zenon is a shot in the dark if he races straight. Very poor lot of horses so let the best of the worst win.

Godzilla said ...

30-Jan-2018
mak shaikh

Zenons last win was impressive. Tracking exceedingly well. All other horses are also fit for the fray and rearing to go. I would say Zenon has to beat all other horses.

Mak Shaikh said ...

30-Jan-2018
Hie every one.....


If u thinking of all this horses like aggregated...manifold.....prevalent force.... sana.... then i think u all will lose ur bet..... zenon i hand of neeraj rawal is best.... who ever want to win have to beat zenon.... m

Godzilla said ...

30-Jan-2018
Hunter

Let the Declarations be out.

Ashutosh said ...

30-Jan-2018
Hi guys....
Wining derby is all about using stamina of horse at right time all horses are good...

I love lady in lace and her honesty towards her race but only a right jockey can make her win...

She need to have moderate pace till2000...

I personally think selfistar has all in her to win this derby.... so guys try your luck on her....

Any said ...

30-Jan-2018
Only Manifold [pessi=neeraj combination are good in derby].....Best Luck Play safe

Aravind said ...

30-Jan-2018
All most all runners has good experience of about Six or seven races ran and won.but Aggregated just completed its 3rd run.so considering this we must accept it has more stamina than others.It shd win this Derby but one disadvantage in it side is poor timing and beaten brigade were not best classic horses.neverthless it was not is fault not being run with better horses.now he will show his Metal Worth.M.Narredu,S.Narredu,Owners Nanda are all ready to lift This year Indian Derby!!

Savio said ...

30-Jan-2018


Doubtful of this weekend racing in Mumbai syces have gone on strike no track today

Horses are in their only feed given

They are demanding wage increase

Trainers are working to settle the issue specially Trainer Pesi Shroff


Savio

Pavanji said ...

30-Jan-2018
ROACHSTER SURAJ

Sam said ...

30-Jan-2018
Hello folks,
From Hyderabad all the cars,flights,trains and sleeper coach buses will lead to Mahalaxmi race course to have a glance at our beloved beautiful queen "Lady in Lace" and her win. She will hack the field in a record time. On a lighter vein, punters with weak hearts better stay away watching this race. 600 metres to go.., LIL will be in rear end and gives a devastating run from the rear end & wins by 3 lengths. Your thoughts please LIL fans.

**isaac Ali** said ...

30-Jan-2018
very very good runners this time out .But LIL PF SANA will shine out

Sandy said ...

30-Jan-2018
This year Derby Contenders are not So Superior Like Earlier Horses.
Horses Like Be Safe, Desert God, Quasar, ALAINDAIR have set the Bench Mark With Record Timings.
Even Last year Derby Winner Hall of Famer was not so encouraging in Terms of Clocked Record Timings
------------------------------------------------------------

Coming to this year Derby, The Prime Contenders Clocked Timings are :

PREVALENT FORCE - 2:35.68 (South Indian Derby) at 57 kgs
i Feel this is Bit Sluggish. even the 2000 mts record timings are not encouraging.

SANA - Kolkata Derby (2:34.62) and Oaks (2:36.38) both at 55.5 Kgs.
I ruled out this Horse, even if it is a Final Entry.

Aggregated - 2:34.32 at 57 kgs (Calcutta Derby)
good horse, but it Didn't Show a Fluent gallop in the last 100 Meters.

Mani Fold - 2:30.54 at 57 kgs (Mumbai Oaks)
Showed some Improved and better performance than the Others. even the 2000 mts record timings are some what Good.

Lady in Lace - first time at 24000, Need to look for Potential.
but at 2000 mts, Pune Derby Record time was 2:03.33 at 54.5 kgs Slightly longer than Manifold 2:03.21 (banglore Derby) at 54.5 kgs.

Rochester: for 2000 mts has beaten castle bridge in Record time 2:01.14 at 57 kgs which is best so far in this bunch, but does it travel extra 400 meters. it looked some what tired at the final stages.

Zenon: Another Doosra from Shroff's Stable, which he is Confident About,
Track Record at 2000 mts was Improved in last run 2:03.45 at 58 kgs.
Need to see How much it can Improve at 2400 mts.

---------------------------

Among the Above Bunch of Horses, Manifold Looks Formidable. Tracking well at Mumbai. Danger to it could be Lady in Lace (which was tried first time at 2400 mts and Rochester too)

But Manifold Should Tackle all these Horses.

Your Views Please...Cheers.

Balu said ...

30-Jan-2018
rochester will give pride to sunderji with best odds

Anil said ...

30-Jan-2018
Aggregated - Desousaza is ridding good horse and jockey
Prevalent Force - Good Horse

I think inbetween this race should go

Raj said ...

30-Jan-2018
Manifold is the horse all have to beat.

Abhi said ...

30-Jan-2018
Aggregated from M nerradu will ridden by foriegn jockey will win play huge..

Pandit said ...

30-Jan-2018
Dear Friends Suraj is one of the best jockey in india and ofcourse deliberatly sometimes he will drown punters because of Bookies favour.And if he have some share with owner's horses he will win outrightly.

In this context LIL will win handsdown folowed by Prevelent Force,Rochester and Aggregated.Other than this four nothing will be on frame.

Punter friends back on LIL and make money.

Dseetharamarao said ...

29-Jan-2018


TOP CLASS AGGREGATED 4YO

Sam007 said ...

29-Jan-2018
On Paper strictly between Prevalent Force and Lady in Lace.

However keeping in mind outsiders for the derby then we have Aggregated/ Rochester/ Manifold/ Sana and Zenon.

All the best to Horses/ Owners/ Trainers and Punters.

Zeddzzz. said ...

29-Jan-2018
Hi All,
Az Expected Castlebridge Iz Not Participating. Quite Wizely The Connections Of Castlebridge Took A Very Wize n Bold Decision Of Withdrawing Him.

Now On The Subject, The Main Participants (Alphabatically) Are Aggregated, Lady In Lace, Manifold, Prevalent Force And Zenon.

The Above Five Will Take The First Five Positions. Others Will Follow These Five. If Shortlisted, It Shud Come To Again Az Alphabatically, Lady In Lace, Manifold And Prevalent Force With Zenon And Aggregated Az Outsiders.
Let The Best Horse Win Without Any Hard n Badluck Story.
All The Best.

Venkat Hyderabad said ...

29-Jan-2018
Aggregated:won richest Derby so far_95laks.
Manifold: second best..

Jjrr said ...

29-Jan-2018
it"s-AGGREGATED

B.v.s.prasad said ...

29-Jan-2018
Manifold has got his old form in last mum oaks run tremendous gallop at 200 mts to winning post, i dont think so it will be beaten in Indian Derby.

Bhasker said ...

29-Jan-2018
i am surprised by seeing handicaps....no horse from Paddy....

hmmmmm. fight will be 3 to 4 horses..

God Is Great said ...

29-Jan-2018
THE INDIAN DERBY WINNER - PREVALENT FORCE ridden by all time great chiku(ys srinath)

1.PREVALENT FORCE
2.SANA
3.LADY IN LACE/AGGREGATED

Srikanth4889 said ...

29-Jan-2018
Prevalent Force
Lady in Lace
Manifold....
This is the order...which ever way it may go...
None other can compete these ....

Harin Baxi said ...

29-Jan-2018
one horse race...SANA