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Mumbai Racing - 11/3/2018

By Dustintorry | 10-Mar-2018

Race 1: AUGUSTUS CAESAR (1)

Analysis: This horse finished second in its first career start over the same distance and was a beaten favourite.

- Beaten favourite in its last race.
- Had a good rest of more than 45 days.
- The horse finished second in today's distance.
- The horse posted a five and six furlong workouts recently which is a good sign of fitness.
- Neeraj was partnering her for the first time and he rides again today.

Race 2: CONGRESSIONAL (2)

Analysis: This horse finished second in today's class and distance on fourth January. It is ridden today by jockey P.Trevor (top jockey).

- Good in the recent workout.
- Course and Distance winner.

Race 3: CELESTIAL LIGHT (2)

Analysis: This horse have a clear advantage in terms of running with better types. Running after a good rest and tracking well.

- Recent winner.
- Same jockey
- Stepping up in class.
- In form and well rested.
- Good in the latest workout.

Race 4: JULIO CESARO (3)

Analysis: This horse has the benefit of previous experience in this maiden set and the horse is adding blinkers today.

- Fast workout.
- Adding Blinkers.
- Gets the benefit of previous experience.

Race 5: ARTUS (4)

Analysis: This horse has won easily over nine furlongs in the lower class. I feel that this horse has the ability to get this ten furlong trip.

- Good Pedigree / Dosage.
- Recent workout.
- Going from a better draw.
- Jockey / Horse partnership.

Upset: LA MAGNIFIQUE (1)

Race 6: B FIFTY TWO (1)

Analysis: This horse is giving biggest weight concession to the rest of the runners and is top in rating. Pulled off an upset beating Temerity (ran second to kangra in the invitation cup). So B fifty two has the class and stamina to tackle this set.

- Class advantage,
- Top jockey.
- Recent winner.
- In form and well rested.
- The horse posted a seven furlong workout recently which is a good sign of fitness.

Upset: SUPREME GENERAL (5)

Race 7: CHAPLIN (2)

Analysis: This horse has won in his last run in a spectacular manner. Running in the same class again.
Should run well.

- Course / Distance / Jockey Combination.
- Going from a better draw.
- Sprint races usually favour inside posts.
- They have the shortest distance to run.
- Good Pedigree / Dosage for the distance.

All the best.....

Post Your reply

37 Replies

Dharmesh said ...

11-Mar-2018
@ Godzilla sir

Yes it was indeed one of my rarest bad day at Mumbai races and I accept it. I always try to give my best but sometimes you end up doing mistakes by selecting wrong ones and I think today i did few mistakes. Anyways there is always tomorrow. Cheers !!

Regards

Godzilla said ...

11-Mar-2018
Dharmesh sir

Your studies and picking winners were outstanding. However, I agree my picking winners has been shabby. I picked up all your choices and played. Perhaps this is one of the rare off days you had which unfortunately descended one me too. Continue the wonderful work.

Regards.

Spotology said ...

11-Mar-2018
6.3 palatial
ONLY THREAT : 1.B FIFTY TWO

Jai Kumar said ...

11-Mar-2018
1 1. AUGUSTUS CAESAR

2 2. CONGRESSIONAL

3 5. MASSIMO

4 3. JULIO CESARO

5 6. KOMANDANT

6 10. THEMIS/9. BIG SUR

7 8. DEMOCRAT/1. VISTANA

G.s.bhatia said ...

11-Mar-2018
Hello everybody

R-1 h-2. Bush tops
R-2 h-3. Ship rock
R-3 h-1. Bottega Louie
R-4 h-2. Between the waters
R-5 h-3. Khartoum
R-6 h-10. Themis. /. Big sur
R-7 h-5. Check mate /. Chaplin

Dharmesh said ...

11-Mar-2018
MUMBAI 11/3/2018

Some promising horses engaged here but going with #4 MERLIN [3.00] to go one better after his solid effort in mock race. This half bred to good type Colombiana will be hard to beat.

#4 GOVERNOR GENERAL [3.30] showed good improvement to finish 2nd this track last start. He looks suited by the step up in distance and is the one to beat. Appeals on weight.

Highly regarded and sparingly races #1 BOTTEGA LOUIE [4.00] came up short in classic events but looks progressive in handicaps. Her gallant effort in her last handicap event where she went down to Cambridge in stewards room was notable. She looks to have a class edge on her opposition and will be tough to beat despite conceding weights.

#3 JULIO CESARO [4.30] has speed and with blinkers on should give a sight from the good gate and gets his chance to break through after finishing on board in his past two starts. This doesn't look a strong race.

#3 KHARTOUM [5.00] finished his race off nicely when runner-up at mile trip resuming last start. Fitter second-up and still plenty of scope for improvement stepping up to the mile and a quarter.
#4 ARTUS had the run of the race to win stylishly last start at 1800m. Second horse ( Finest Moment) has won demolishing his opposition since so on that form line he can give this a shake.

Bangalore challenger #2 ESCALA [5.30]
stays strongly and comes to this with winning form. Go well again with Suraj flown in for only mount.
#9 BIG SUR ran a good race in much stronger grade (Indian Derby) last start. If he can hold his spot in the first half of the field he can upset. Has age and weight in favour.

#5 CHECKMATE [6.00] comes off outstanding wins at his last two starts here. Hard to go past.

Days Best: CHECKMATE
Days Best Value Bet: GOVERNOR GENERAL

BEST OF LUCK.

Rrajesh said ...

11-Mar-2018
1ST : augustus caesar benefit of run though Merlin is full brother to aggragrated .....
2ND : governor general .... at 50 kilos its worth a chance ....
3RD: LEAVE BOTTEGA LOUIE
4TH : whitewalker.... last race was not interested ...2nd n 3rd horses were of same owner
5th: lay khartoum...la magnifique and artus can win
6th: lsy themis...big sur will run a good race
7th : Days best DEMOCRAT...PLACE CERTAINTY

ALL THE BEST
suggestions and guidance will be appreciated

Starone said ...

11-Mar-2018
B Fifty Two is going to win the main event..... even though the odds are drifting higher....

Dominic said ...

11-Mar-2018
MUMBAI RACES 11.03.18

R-1-MERLIN (4)

R-2-CONGRESSIONAL (2)

R-3-BOTTEGA LOUIE (1)

R-4-BAYMAX (1)

R-5-KHARTOUM (3)

R-6-SQUARE MOON (4)

R-7-CHECKMATE (5)

Jwc said ...

11-Mar-2018
1) 1. AUGUSTUS CAESAR, 4. MERLIN

2) 4. GOVERNOR GENERAL, 2. CONGRESSIONAL

3) 1. BOTTEGA LOUIE, 5. MASSIMO

4) 6. WHITEWALKER, 3. JULIO CESARO

5) 1. LA MAGNIFIQUE, 2. HAPPY BIRTHDAY

6) 10. THEMIS, 9. BIG SUR

7) 5. CHECKMATE, 2. CHAPLIN

Tiger said ...

11-Mar-2018


1) MERLIN

2) CONGRESSIONAL

3) BOTTEGA LOUIE

4) BETWEEN THE WATERS

5) KHARTOUM..........................................DAYS BEST BET

6) THEMIS

7) CHEKMATE


HORSES HAVE EVERY PROBABLE CHANCE TO WIN:

1) MERLIN
2) KHARTOUM
3) CHECKMATE


TIGER"................................................................

Abhay...pune said ...

11-Mar-2018
DEAR GODIZILLA.
R NO-5 MY DAYS BEST SELECTION H NO-5-HONOARABLE EYES

H NO-1-LA MAGNIFIQUE-Top weighted demoted 4year old speedy filly,winner over 1400mts in last MUM season in 3year old maiden race,very poor show in BANG & MUM in class three,now running over extended trip with heavy penalty.

H NO-2-HAPPY BIRTHDAY-6year old gelding,class five winner over 1800 & 1600mts,very poor show in class four,now running with very tough company.

H NO-3-KHARTOUM-Unlucky 4year old gelding,on his both start he finish 2nd now carry 2kg extra,not easy for win.

H NO-4-ARTUS-Notable winner in last run in class five over 1800mts but now promoted & running over extended trip,i think she need this run.

H NO-6-KOMANDANT & H NO-7-OLLYBOY-Out of form 7 & 6 year old horse.

H NO-5-HONOURABLE EYES
In r no-171 after interference notable close 2nd over mil trip,in last run easy 6th by 5.25ls with 55kg from 8th position,now running over extended trip with half kg down.

Ramiyer said ...

11-Mar-2018
Today out of 7 races I hope 5 races will be won by so called top jockies.A drab and dull card where favourites may dominate.accirding to one of our senior htian .Iam nominating three winners for Sandesh,1 for Trevor and Jodha.one each for j.chinoy.and Bhavani singh. Hope all these people run well.

Bkd said ...

11-Mar-2018
Hello Everyone,

Here are my MUMBAI Selections of 11th March'18.

Race 1 Win#1-AUGUSTUS CAESAR

Race 2 Win#3-SHIPROCK (Forecast:3-2)

Race 3 Win#1-BOTTEGA LOUIE

Race 4 Win#2-BETWEEN THE WATERS (Forecast:2-3)

Race 5 Win#4-ARTUS (Forecast:4-3)

Race 6 Win#1-B FIFTY TWO

Race 7 Win#1-VISTANA
-----------------------------------------
JACKPOT POOL RACES -3,4,5,6,7

1 / 2,3 / 3,4 / 1,10 / 1,4........160/80 Hyd
------------------------------------------------
VALUE BET: BETWEEN THE WATERS (4-2)

TWO-GOOD: SHIPROCK (2-3) & ARTUS (5-4)

DARK'UN: B FIFTY TWO (6-1)
---------------------------------------
Have fun!

Thanks & Regards,
BKD

Aditya Singh said ...

11-Mar-2018
Themis and Checkmate appeal a lot....good for their respective bunches

Rakesh Menon said ...

11-Mar-2018


MUMBAI
**********
1-4 MERLIN
2-2 CONGRESSIONAL
3-1 BOTTEGA LUOIE
4-6 WHITEWALKER
5-3 KHARTOUM
6-2 ESCALA
7-4 FAIR WARNING

Abhay...pune said ...

11-Mar-2018
MY SELECTIONS

R NO-1-H NO-4-MERLIN
3year old maiden race,working extremely good track with attractive mock race over 1400mts where he finish very easy close 2nd.

R NO-2-H NO-2-CONGRESSIONAL
Ignore last run,in r no-102 good 2nd to too good NEW ENGLAND over same dist,working good on track with same jockey.

R NO-3-H NO-1-BOTTEGA LOUIE
Run advantage with better company in 1G & OK,winner over 1400mts in same class with 53kg now only 1.5kg up,fluent track work.

R NO-4-H NO-3-JULIO CESARO
3year old maiden race,speedy,working extremely good on track.

R NO-5-H NO-5-HONOURABLE EYES
Proper class four gelding,in r no-171 after intrfrence notable close 2nd with 53.5kg,in r no-207 easy 6th by 5.25ls from 8th position over 1400mts now running over extended trip,half kg down.

R NO-6-H NO-10-THEMIS
B/w 4year old filly,good 2nd to too good MANIFOLD,easy 5th in DR,impressive track work.

R NO-7-H NO-5-CHECKMATE
Fluent winner in his last two start,now promoted,running with same jockey,working extremely good on track.

DAYS BEST R NO-5-H NO-5-HONOURABLE EYES

BEST OF LUCK...

Aditya Singh said ...

11-Mar-2018
Play Checkmate (especially for my brother Ashish)

Godzilla said ...

11-Mar-2018
ramiyer

You are in the habit of stalking my posting and raising questions, which I like.
Look first two runs of HE it was placed 11th and 10th. Subsequently it ran in 20-46 class and ran close second i.e. 3/4th length behind the winner with low handicap. The odds were 12/1. Perhaps owners money was not in the horse I thought.

Subsequently in a 1400 metre Race it was placed 6th with the same jockey astride, which indicated the horse is not upto the mark. Neither me nor Trevor is reponsible for the horses poor show.

You are in the habit of raising questions and fall under DOUBTING THOMAS category to me. Instead I would like you to come up with useful articles.

Ramiyer said ...

11-Mar-2018
1.BUSHTOPS.
2.CONGRESSIONAL.
3.BOTTEGA LOUIE.
4.JULIO CEASERO.
5.KHARTOUM.
6.THEMIS.
7.STAR CONRADE.

Ramiyer said ...

11-Mar-2018
Dear Godizilla.
In one of your earlier thread you advocated to punish trevor for honourable eyes for pulling and said it would have won by many lengths.Now you say that it doesnt have multidimension qualities.

Azim said ...

11-Mar-2018
RACE 1 : AUGUSTUS CEASER / MERLIN

RACE 2 : GOVERNAL GENERAL / CONGRESSIONAL

RACE 3 : BOTTEGA LOIUE

RACE 4 : WHITE WALKER / BAYMAX

RACE 5 : KHARTOUM / LA MAGNIFIQUE

RACE 6 : ESCALA / THEMIS

RACE 7 : CHECKMATE / CHAPLIN

HAVE A GOOD DAY

Dilip Keshari said ...

11-Mar-2018
Keshari Horses Selections based on mathematical calculations that uses multiple variables to rank each horse. The maximum score is 100 and 0 is the minimum.

MUMBAI SCORE
RACE.1 1. AUGUSTUS CAESAR 89
4. MERLIN 77
RACE.2 2. CONGRESSIONAL 73
4. GOVERNOR GENERAL 61
RACE.3 5. MASSIMO 83
1. BOTTEGA LOUIE 71
RACE.4 3. JULIO CESARO 71
6. WHITEWALKER 59
RACE.5 3. KHARTOUM 89
5. HONOURABLES EYES 63
RACE.6 10. THEMIS 89
9. BIG SUR 68
2. ESCALA 50
RACE.7 5. CHECKMATE 94
2.CAPLIN 83
4. FAIR WARNING 60
DAYS BEST:- ( 7-5 CHECKMATE )

Godzilla said ...

11-Mar-2018

Punter

Honourable Eyes has not lived upto expectations. Probably it may win in lowest class i.e. Class B with lowest handicap. It has no Multidimension qualities. The owner is probably cheated or taking us for a ride. It should have broken the shackles by now. The day it breaks the shackles, it will make the punters to wear them.

Againstodds said ...

11-Mar-2018

2 2 Congressional

3 1 Bottega Louie

5 3 Khartoum

6 5 Supreme General

7 2 Chaplin

Dseetharamarao said ...

11-Mar-2018

RACE N0.2 / CLASS 1 / 80 & ABOVE / 1400 M

SN0.1 CELTIC PRINCE 7YO / R 100 HAVING A CLASS.

Munesh said ...

11-Mar-2018
3 Good Bets Today


51 LA MAGNIFIQUE

65 SUPREME GENERAL

74 FAIR WARNING

GOOD LUCK.

T.r.s said ...

11-Mar-2018
T.R.Subramanian .
My Selection for Mumbai Race 11-03-2018
For Safe betting Races selected are-Race no -
Pls play win & shp

Race-1 AUGUSTUS CAESAR-1

Race-2 GOVERNOR GENERAL-4

Race-3 CELESTIAL LIGHT-2

Race-4 WHITEWALKER-6

Race-5 KHARTOUM-3

Race-6 ETERNAL SUNSHINE-8

Race-7 CHECKMATE-5 KHARTOUM-3

Day's Best:Race-
Good Luck to All

Dseetharamaraod said ...

11-Mar-2018

RACE N0. GRADE 2 / 4YO & OVER / 2400 M

SN0.1 B FIFTY TWO 6YO GRADE 2 WINNER RECENTLY 1ST CHOICE

SN0.2 ESCALA 5YO UPCOMING TO GRADE 3 2ND CHOICE

Punter said ...

10-Mar-2018
Dear Godzilla,

Sir you had mentioned in one of the threads that Honourable Eyes can go up to distance and can win.

So does it have any chances tomorrow to win???

Kolramsri said ...

10-Mar-2018
First race should be avoided .1 2 4 5 are inter connected . Anyone from this 4 can win. No idea what is the adjustment?

Godzilla said ...

10-Mar-2018
Mumbai Selections

1st Race .. MERLIN

2nd Race .. CONGRESSIONAL

3RD Race .. BOTTEGA LOUIE

4TH Race .. NATIVE PRINCE

5TH Race .. LA MAGNNIFIQUE

6th Race .. SUPREME GENERAL [Days Best]

7th Race .. FAIR WARNING

Suraj said ...

10-Mar-2018
Merlin
Congressional
Artus
Checkmate
Are for Tom Augustus Caesar best Lay of the day...

Krish said ...

10-Mar-2018
1 MUM 1 AUGUSTUS CAESAR 4 MERLIN

2 MUM 3 SHIP ROCK 4 GOVERNOR GENERAL

3 MUM 2 CELESTIAL LIGHT 4 GRANDE VITESSE

4 MUM 6 WHITEWALKER(Day's Best) 3 JULIO CESARO

5 MUM 7 OLLY BOY 4 ARTUS

6 MUM 4 SQUARE MOON 1 B FIFTY TWO

7 MUM 5 CHECKMATE 2 CHAPLIN

Good Luck for Big Win!

Godzilla said ...

10-Mar-2018

Dustintorry

I am going to attend tomorrows Mumbai Races:

Only three bets:

MERLIN ...Will open the account with a bang. Dam side too good.


CONGRESSIONAL

and

SUPREME GENERAL .. Days Best for me. No Excuses. Bhawani Singh will triumph on the horse.

Good luck to you Sir and everyone.

Starone said ...

10-Mar-2018
1st race watch out for Merlin who has tracked well and shares same pedigree as that of Aggregated and Columbiana....bound to win in this bunch at good odds...
besides watch out for Pesi's horses ... Khartoum & Checkmate even Massimo can upset...

Vinodrocks said ...

10-Mar-2018
Mumbai Selections 11-03-2018

1-1-AUGUSTUS CAESAR
2-2-CONGRESSIONAL
3-3-VICE ADMIRAL
4-6-WHITEWALKER
5-7-OLLY BOY
6-9-BIG SUR
7-1-VISTANA

Good Luck!!!!!!!