Short introduction: Been into racing for over two decades now (, started as an apprentice gambler at the age of 17 ,never fancied or gambled on favs, never exceeded a budget of max 5k per race, have tried handicapping, understanding the betting trend, intermediate connection between few owners and trainers , tips from insiders, even numerology and vaastu, but still ended up burning my hard earned monies...
Racing has always been a mystery for me or rather a puzzle.
I guess , what we (Punters) have to understand is that there are only three sets of people who rule this industry - a)Trainer B) the bookie c) the owners everything revolves around them....poor jockey's are mere spectators (most of the time) - it's all about, how the above three folks manipulate and try to confuse Punters day after day ...the trend is never the same...keeps changing every race day. They never allow anyone to conclude on their tactics - keeps changing :) please read my posts carefully and read between the lines as much posiible.
Since the HOT topic is on the recently concluded 1000 guinees Mumbai race day. I will start with my first of the "stories"
Story 1 ) walk into the course, thinking that the race will be a three way finish between Cupid, dragaonmoss and romantic eyes...angel coin as an outsider (longer odds) - odds to be onithe range of even to 15/10 for Cupido and 3/1(70 for place) and 5/1 (even for place) for the the other two. But then, what I saw when I stepped in, was completely in contradiction.
Cupido - hot fav - odds on.
Dragaonmoss - was offered at 16/10 for place later reduced to 12/10
Romantic eyes - opened at 14/10 place increased to 2/1 for place.
The horse which was getting gambled was Cristo Boss with the odds tumbling down for both win and place.
While i had read the Card rightly , and expected trevor aad Rodney to be on board, I started doubting my own abilities looking at the odds offered for place and was confused for a moment...the thought process process was quite simple ....when you know these horses are gonna hit the board why offer such lucrative odds for place...I just glanced around the bookie stalls and everyone were helter skeltor to play Cristo BOSS which was the rage....apart from the Fav .
Smelled something fishy, since never fancied Cristo BOSS even for place ( knowing the connections/their trend. and here the horse was getting gambled for WIN.
Race time: I panicked . Though, was certain that romatic eyes or dragaonmoss would place for sure and that i would start my day with 5k place on either of these horses, I got relectunt simply looking at the mouth watering odds
Thoughts changed, started assuming, but the good thing is I started looking for potential horse which can finish on board Purely basis the odds ( mind it ONLY ODDS) - looked at the place odds (old habbit) for the remaining horses, angel coin was offered at 6to one for place while sweeping Move stood out as all the small book makers had placed it at 3 to one for place and the big ones at 4 to one. Had just fee secs to place my bet and i jumped into play it at 4/1 for place 2k ....the only thought was why just 3 to one when we have couple of sure shot horses offered at 2 to one ...well what happened after that was again a MYSTERY which got unfolded only after the race.
Will drill into the details tomorrow .....