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Kentucky Derby Saturday May 4, 2019

By Abbas J | 02-May-2019

Hello, All

The complexion of the 2019 Kentucky Derby changed dramatically on Wednesday when the morning-line favorite, Omaha Beach, scratched with an entrapped epiglottis. It was a shocking development just days before the most prestigious horse race in the world and the first leg of the sport's Triple Crown. With Omaha Beach out, the top three favorites in the current 2019 Kentucky Derby odds are all trained by Bob Baffert: Game Winner, who is now the overall 2019 Kentucky Derby favorite at 9-2, Improbable (5-1) and Roadster (5-1). A win by any of the three would give Baffert his sixth Kentucky Derby win, which would tie the record by a trainer that's currently held by Ben Jones. Baffert trained Justify and American Pharoah, the last two Triple Crown winners, and has become one of the most recognizable faces in horse racing. The entire 2019 Kentucky Derby lineup will head to the starting gates for a 6:46 p.m. ET post time on Saturday from Churchill Downs. With such a talented 2019 Kentucky Derby field and a major shakeup following the Omaha Beach injury, you'll want to hear what SportsLine's Jody Demling has to say. He'll help you make the optimal 2019 Kentucky Derby picks.

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling comes into the Kentucky Derby 2019 on a mind-blowing streak: He has hit the Derby-Oaks double at Churchill Downs nine of the last ten years. That means he held a ticket with the winners of the Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks nine times in the last decade.

The Derby is just part of a highly successful betting career for Demling, who also nailed his ninth Preakness winner in 14 years at Pimlico last May. He followed that up by predicting Justify's groundbreaking victory in the Belmont Stakes, as well as calling the winners of the Haskell Invitational, Pennsylvania Derby and Lecomte Stakes, just to name a few. He also hit last year's Arkansas Derby and Louisiana Derby.

Demling absolutely crushed this year's Pegasus World Cup, nailing the superfecta for a $678 payout on a $1 bet. He also hit the superfecta at the Robert B. Lewis Stakes and picked the winner of the Risen Star Stakes in February, War of Will. He also hit the exacta, trifecta, and superfecta at this year's Arkansas Derby, the final Kentucky Derby prep race. Anyone who has followed him is up huge.

Now, with the 2019 Kentucky Derby lineup set, Demling is sharing his picks at SportsLine. We can tell you he wants no part of Roadster, one of the top Vegas favorites at 5-1 Kentucky Derby odds. In fact, he says Roadster doesn't even crack the top five.

Though the Bob Baffert trainee is coming off a gutty half-length win in the Santa Anita Derby over stablemate Game Winner, Roadster ran 38 feet less than Game Winner, who was wide on both turns. On Tuesday, Roadster drew post No. 17 for the Derby, which could lead to a much wider trip than the one he had at Santa Anita. That could spell danger for anyone choosing to pay the 6-1 premium he's commanding.

In addition, Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith passed on the opportunity to ride Roadster in the Kentucky Derby 2019 to jump on Omaha Beach. Smith will be replaced by Florent Geroux, who will be riding Roadster for the first time.

Instead, Demling is high on War of Will, a long shot at 15-1 Kentucky Derby odds. The Mark Casse trainee won the Lecomte and Risen Star Stakes to start the year and stamped himself as one of the top 2019 Kentucky Derby contenders. A physical ailment led to a ninth-place flop in the Louisiana Derby, but Casse says the colt has put that issue behind him. His training at Churchill Downs has seemed to confirm Casse's statements, as War of Will has turned in three straight workouts that were the fastest of any of the 2019 Kentucky Derby horses.

In addition, with the 2019 Kentucky Derby weather forecast calling for rain on Saturday, the track could become sloppy, just as it was last year when Justify outran Good Magic. Not only is War of Will a perfect 1-for-1 on the slop, but the rail at Churchill Downs is the preferred part of the track for those conditions. Leaving from the No. 1 post, War of Will is almost certain to be on the rail and could benefit from Mother Nature's fury.

Demling is especially high on a monumental long shot that would net any backer a colossal windfall. Demling is sharing which horse it is, along with his entire projected leaderboard, over at SportsLine.

Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby? And what huge long shot does Demling say contends? Check out the latest Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling's picks for the Kentucky Derby.

Game Winner - 9-2

Roadster - 5-1

Improbable - 5-1

Maximum Security - 8-1

Tacitus - 8-1

Code of Honor - 12-1

Win Win Win - 12-1

War of Will - 15-1

By My Standards - 15-1   

Tax - 20-1

Vekoma - 15-1

Plus Que Parfait - 30-1

Cutting Humor - 30-1

Haikal - 30-1

Long Range Toddy - 30-1

Spinoff - 30-1

Country House - 30-1

Bodexpress - 30-1

Gray Magician - 50-1

Master Fencer - 50-1

Post Your reply

12 Replies

ravi Gowande said ...

On : 05-05-2019 07:16 am

Maximum Security crossed the finish line first but was disqualified and relegated to 17 spot and Derby was awarded to Country House 2 nd place horse. Interestingly War of Will was the horse which was instrumental in disqualification.

Ravi Gowande

Pedigreestar

Abbas J said ...

On : 05-05-2019 06:57 am

Hello All, Here is the decision for disqualifation of Maxiimum Security horse.

Country House finishes second, wins Kentucky Derby after objection

LOUISVILLE, Ky. — For the first time in the history of the Kentucky Derby, the winner of the race did not finish first.

Maximum Security, sent off as the tepid top choice at 9-2, bolted to the early lead and held it all the way to the wire, seemingly winning the 145th run for the roses, finishing a few lengths ahead of longshot Country House.

However, Country House jockey Flavien Prat filed an objection immediately after the race, claiming Maximum Security impeded the run of another horse. Replay shows Maximum Security did step out from his line near the rail, veering in front of War of Will (who ultimately crossed the line in eighth).

The scene at Churchill Downs was surreal as the three stewards examined footage for more than 15 minutes, with jockeys, horses and their connections standing on the muddied track waiting for an official result.

During the wait, Country House trainer Bill Mott acknowledged that his horse’s race was not impeded (later saying it might have been slightly), but said that if this were a normal race on a Thursday, Maximum Security’s win would be vacated and, as Mott noted, it shouldn’t matter if it’s a Thursday race or the Kentucky Derby, they should all be judged the same.

"If this was a $10,000 race on a Thursday, it's a no-brainer," Mott said.

In the century-plus long history of the race, no horse that finished first has ever had the run overturned. Until Saturday, when the stewards came back with a stunning decision: Maximum Security’s win was overturned.

With Maximum Security disqualified, the victory went to the horse that finished second — Country House, which went off at 65-1, the second-largest longshot in the history of the race. Only Donerail at 91-1 in the 1913 Derby had longer odds.

Code of Honor wound up second, followed by Tacitus.

Prat said afterward that while Country House was not contacted directly by Maximum Security, his horse was hit on the hip by another horse on the left hip, causing him to lose “momentum.”


Flavien Prat on Country House, left, races against Luis Saez on Maximum Security, third from left, during the 145th running of the Kentucky Derby horse race at Churchill Downs Saturday, May 4, 2019, in Louisville, Ky. Maximum Security was disqualified and Country House won the race. (AP)

VIN I said ...

On : 05-05-2019 06:32 am

KENTUCKY DERBY RESULT

1st H.no. 20 COUNTRY HOUSE 

2nd H.no. 13 CODE OF HONOR

3rd H.no. 8 TACITUS

Have a nice day All of U

Abbas J said ...

On : 05-05-2019 04:57 am

Hello All, After disqualification of Maxime Security due to objection of Jockey horse # 1 and steward inquiry,  65/1 horse country House who come second and got the winner spot . Here is detailed results with payouts of Kentucky derby Race 12 at Churchill downs.

Race 12 - Kentucky Derby Presented By Woodford Reserve - FIN - Post Time: 7:48 pm
#    Horse    Jockey    $2 WIN    $2 PLACE    $2 SHOW
20    Country House    Flavien Prat    $132.40    $56.60    $24.60
13    Code of Honor    John Velazquez    
$15.20    $9.80
8    Tacitus    Jose Ortiz    

$5.60
5    Improbable    Irad Ortiz, Jr.    


16    Game Winner    Joel Rosario    


Race Type: STAKES    Distance: 1 1/4M    Surface: Dirt - Sloppy
Purse: $3,000,000    
Replay 
Bet    Winning Numbers    Payoff
$0.20 PICK SIX    4/2,8/3/7/12/20    $271,869.82
$0.50 PICK FIVE    2,8/3/7/12/20    $72,317.60
$2 PICK FOUR    3/7/12/20    $45,302.60
$2 PICK THREE    7/12/20    $2,555.20
$2 DOUBLE    12/20    $242.80
$2 EXACTA    20-13    $3,009.60
$2 TRIFECTA    20-13-8    $22,950.60
$0.50 TRIFECTA    20-13-8    $5,737.65
$2 SUPERFECTA    20-13-8-5    $102,800.20
$1 SUPERFECTA    20-13-8-5    $51,400.10
$2 EXACT 5    20-13-8-5-16    $1,088,371.80
Winning Trainer: William Mott
Winning Owner: Mrs. J. V. Shields, Jr., E. J. M. McFadden, Jr. and LNJ Foxwoods
Scratches
#11 Haikal, #12 Omaha Beach

Abbas J said ...

On : 05-05-2019 12:38 am

Hello all, Here is the results from Churchill downs Kentucky from Race 6, 7 & 8

with payouts :

Race 6 - Humana Distaff S. - FIN - Post Time: 1:12 pm
#    Horse    Jockey    $2 WIN    $2 PLACE    $2 SHOW
3    Mia Mischief    Ricardo Santana, Jr.    $25.00    $7.00    $4.20
7    Marley`s Freedom    Mike Smith    
$3.00    $2.60
5    Amy`s Challenge    Alex Canchari    

$3.40
2    Spiced Perfection    Javier Castellano    


Race Type: STAKES    Distance: 7F    Surface: Dirt - Fast
Purse: $500,000    
Replay 
Bet    Winning Numbers    Payoff
$2 PICK THREE    5/5/3    $2,258.00
$2 DOUBLE    5/3    $170.60
$2 EXACTA    3-7    $66.00
$2 TRIFECTA    3-7-5    $282.20
$0.50 TRIFECTA    3-7-5    $70.55
$2 SUPERFECTA    3-7-5-2    $616.20
$1 SUPERFECTA    3-7-5-2    $308.10
Winning Trainer: Steven Asmussen
Winning Owner: L. William and Corinne Heiligbrodt, Heider Family Stables, LLC [
Race 7 - Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile S. - FIN - Post Time: 1:54 pm
#    Horse    Jockey    $2 WIN    $2 PLACE    $2 SHOW
4    Beau Recall [IRE]    Irad Ortiz, Jr.    $23.00    $11.60    $6.80
8    Got Stormy    Tyler Gaffalione    
$11.80    $7.20
5    Daddy Is a Legend    Manuel Franco    

$4.00
9    Environs [GB]    Jose Ortiz    


Race Type: STAKES    Distance: 1M    Surface: Turf - Firm
Purse: $400,000    
Replay 
Bet    Winning Numbers    Payoff
$2 PICK THREE    5/3/4    $3,112.00
$2 DOUBLE    3/4    $278.80
$2 EXACTA    4-8    $290.40
$2 TRIFECTA    4-8-5    $1,733.20
$0.50 TRIFECTA    4-8-5    $433.30
$1 SUPERFECTA    4-8-5-9    $5,391.90
Winning Trainer: Brad Cox
Winning Owner: Slam Dunk Racing [Nick Cosato] and Medallion Racing [Phillip She
Race 8 - Churchill Downs S. Presented By Twinspires.com - FIN - Post Time: 2:44 pm
#    Horse    Jockey    $2 WIN    $2 PLACE    $2 SHOW
8    Mitole    Ricardo Santana, Jr.    $6.40    $4.60    $3.60
4    Bobby`s Wicked One    Miguel Mena    
$7.80    $5.40
6    Promises Fulfilled    Luis Saez    

$4.80
1    Do Share    Irad Ortiz, Jr.    


Race Type: STAKES    Distance: 7F    Surface: Dirt - Fast
Purse: $500,000    
Replay 
Bet    Winning Numbers    Payoff
$0.50 PICK FIVE    5/5/3/4/2,8    $34,453.30
$2 PICK FOUR    5/3/4/2,8    $12,621.20
$2 PICK THREE    3/4/8    $1,291.00
$2 DOUBLE    4/8    $94.60
$2 EXACTA    8-4    $54.00
$2 TRIFECTA    8-4-6    $256.00
$0.50 TRIFECTA    8-4-6    $64.00
$2 SUPERFECTA    8-4-6-1    $1,398.60
$1 SUPERFECTA    8-4-6-1    $699.30
Winning Trainer: Steven Asmussen
Winning Owner: L. William and Corinne Heiligbrodt

Ravi Gowande said ...

On : 04-05-2019 07:45 pm

Maximum Security is my First Choice

War of Will can Place

Ravi Gowande

Pedigreestar

Suresh said ...

On : 04-05-2019 05:59 pm

Roadster at 7-1 is a good bet.

ace1 said ...

On : 04-05-2019 02:56 pm

Race should be between:

 

TACITUS
GAME WINNER
PLUS QUE PARFAIT
WAR OF WILL

Nilesh said ...

On : 04-05-2019 11:03 am

Tacitus

GT said ...

On : 04-05-2019 12:22 am

Code of Honor all way...

Amit Kumar said ...

On : 03-05-2019 10:00 pm

True but, how can we bet from India? I don't think USA laws allow to bet from India..

VIN I said ...

On : 03-05-2019 05:20 pm

KENTUCKY DERBY 

H.NO. 8 TACITUS 

According to me this Horse ll Win????