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What Is A Merited Horse

By Sps | 16-Sep-2019

Dear Respected H T. Members

With due respect I ask a hard & difficult question from all knowladged Members.

How can We define a horse is merited in a particular race card?

To make my point clear I refer 1st. Selection of India Race, Original Vel & Bol.In addition to this there are Selections from different news papers and also from Bloggers of good repute like Dharmesh, SC Sharma, Sharat Sharma etc.

If We select 1st selection of 10 different sources, We will give minimum 3 to 4 horses MERITED  acording to the individual TIPSTER.

Any One out of these 3 or 4 Selection mostly wins. In few races none of these Selection wins and a hidden merited horse wins. For Example yesterday Pune Race 5 Hidden Merited Horse # 4 of SHROFF won and odds on fav.# 6 with Trevor became Second. If I have picked up this horse based on Sharat Sharma blog, what is my fault. When majority of punters were abusing Trevor for pulling the horse, I could not dare to tell angry mob that a horse of hidden merit has won.

When an Individual play a horse for WIN according to him it is the most merited horse in the lot. 

Dear Friends, There is a miscommunication & misconception that odds on horse in a buntch is the most merited horse too. If it is so then any novice can mint money. In fact because of this misconception many big punteres are on road. I too have lost several times when I could not judge a hidden merited horse and misunderstood the odds on horse as most merited horse.

Dear friend, when ever an odds on horse looses please don't conclude that race was a predecided race. Please study the reason and hidden merit of the Winner. This will benefit you in a big way in future.

I don't deny that in one or two upset races, we cannot justify the result. Swallow it like a bitter pill. 

In horse race betting Merit Finding is the only task. Betting & thereafter profit or loss is secondary. Every One is having money to bet and Every One is Wise after the race.

If a person wants to continue, he has to learn a method of Selection, which is not easy. Otherwise Mr. Raghavan is correct. Play minimum which you can afford to loose without heart feeling. At last a million dollar question can we make profit by playing POOL tickets like FRP, TNP, EXP. My personal reply is a big NO. Forget Treble & Jackpot.

With Regards to all my Seniors & Well Wishes to Youngsters.

 

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2 Replies

Sps said ...

19-Sep-2019

Dear SUN

Thank You for your detailed reply

One point is clear:-

A horse tipped by majority becomes favourite and if it is tipped by majority in media and ridden by top jockey becomes odds on favourite. Definitely that horse has merit based on current  appearance, but can loose to a horse having hidden better Merit.

Hope more puntures and tipsters will give their opinion. Point is important for survival in the race course.

Regards.

Sun said ...

18-Sep-2019

@SPS

It is surprising to see that there are no replies to your post.You have a raised a very challenging question "what is a merited horse" Simplest answer is "the horse which won the race" except in case of Rank Outsiders with no form to go by Win a race.

Each tipster who Tips genuinely feels that his selected horse is the Merited Horse.One may fail because of so many factors not known to him.

I really wonder how some tipsters are in a position to analyse and select horses.Each tipsters may have his own method but one based on Hardcore Calculations is recommended because you can then bet with confidence.

Some may analyse a race based on Jockey on the horse,some by Pedigree&Distance Suitability,some others by Trainer's strategy study,some by Timing Analysis and some by Ratings Analysis.Like the saying All Roads Lead to Rome many Choices boile down to 2 to 3 horses and whichever horse is tipped by majority becomes a Favourite not necessarily merited horse.

Golden Rule is In a Handicap Race there are min 2 horses with equal chances.In few Terms Races the Terms of Race may give Undisputed Advantage to a particular horse.

19th September Mysore Races has a classic race so people who go by Jockey may tip Thailand ridden by Trevor but is it a Merited Horse no one can claim because it a 1000G race and 3 year olds are known to improve in a short time.Contrast this with another race RNO 4 which is a 12 horse race but how many real contenders are there?Scope for manipulation.Even best Tipsters can go wrong even if the horse was the Merited Horse.