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Selections Under Horse Racing Systerms Pune 13/10/19

By Dharmesh | 13-Oct-2019

Selections under Horse racing system 

2-3 MYSTIC BAY 

Beaten favourites after a rest

Rules:

Bet any horse that was a beaten favourite in its last race, provided that it has a had a break of more than 30 days since then, and also provided that it has previously won over today's distance.

Ignore any race in which there is more than one qualifier.

Logic:

Having been expected to win on its last outing, but failing to do so, a horse that may not have given its true running has now been rested with a view to gaining compensation in a carefully chosen and suitable event, and  when fit and ready to do so.

This is often a more suitable strategy than rushing a horse into attempting to gain quick compensation when conditions may not be ideal.

The qualifying criteria of at least one previous distance win should restrict the number of bets to an acceptable level, whilst also ensuring that today's trip is suitable.

MYSTIC BAY resumes  after more than two months rest and rightly falls under above logic and can make amends for his last failure as a favourite in Bangalore. 

4-1 CLARK KENT 

Recent winners

Rules:

On any day, choose the horse which has the least number of days since its last win.

If there is more than one qualifier in the same race, the race will be ignored.

Logic:

Horses which are in top form are often likely to follow up a recent win. They are sometimes entered again quickly to avoid big penalties from the handicapper. They are often horses that thrive on quick reappearances, and once they hit form are difficult to stop whilst in the same mood.

CLARK KENT held on gamely last start over C&D twenty days ago and looks good to repeat as per above theory. 

5-8 HEADWAY 

Course/distance/jockey combinations

Rules:

1. Identify all previous course/distance winners running today. 

2. Select only those winners that have been partnered by at least one previous success by today's rider.

3. Ignore any race in which there is more than one qualifier.

Logic:

When a horse/rider partnership is familiar with a particular track, they already know what is required and how it should be achieved. This applies even more so when the partnership has already scored over today's course and distance.

These potent combinations are often underestimated in the betting markets, going off at bigger prices than they should be on many occasions.

HEADWAY is yet to lose on Pune track with CS Jodha in saddle and can rack up a hattrick under above logic. 

Regards 

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3 Replies

Anoasku said ...

15-Oct-2019

Off course Iron age should have been favourite despite weight. If I had been the would have played handsome amount. 

Dharmesh''s selections doesn't fail often' as I have observed over the years. Hope he is doing good. Thanks

Cee Kay said ...

14-Oct-2019

So your last logic, would also apply to Iron Age, not lost on Pune track as yet.

Anoasku said ...

13-Oct-2019

@Dharmesh'

Some interesting analysis, even I try 1st method often. Keep going????