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Back to listsTo Make Money A Punter Needs Skill
By Chanakya Kaushik | 28-Jan-2020every game is a game of skill - no one can win without using best or better skill.
Making money from racing becomes more important because in this game players have no direct connection - relationship with the 'common' betting punter.
To win is not difficult but to make money from winning is very difficult and we need the skill to do that.
Many punters have reciprocated in agreement SSPP's inability to win from racing but they have never accepted that they don't have/ developed the skill to win.
Wat is the skill to ' make money from wins' ?
The components are
1) good and tested handicapping system,
2) correct interpretation of available data,
3) assessment of current form of your choice,
4) ignoring the connections intentions and luck
5) sticking to own method/selection/opinion/choice
I have followed these points and posted my tips/selections/choices on this forum from 29/12/19 to 22/1/20 for Bangalore and Mumbai racesw only and got a positive ROI.
The return is enough to enable a punter to live in peace ( not pieces)...
35 Replies
Chanakya said ...
01-Feb-2020@Golden Viper,
You are right- in every race course almost 70 to 80% people buy the race book before entering the race course...
I wonder - How can they win?
Most of them - if not all of them, are going to lose is - for- written by Brahma ...
Impossible to change the FACT...
@ Cruise_ Bangalore,
Pedigree analysis has become more complicated and difficult after S Roman has has dissiciated himself from his numbers...
Change with time a universal truth and therefore needs some changes in the valuation of pedigree by Roman numbers or some other methods...
Today 'S' 'P' are missing from first 2 or 3 generations but runners are still winning races at 2000m+ with faster time...
corrections, correct interpretations, changes are needed - who will do that ?
Do you have an answer?
' ..
Cruise_b'lore said ...
01-Feb-2020Hello Folks,
There is only one CONSTANT in a race horse and that is the bloodline ( pedigree ).
Rest all are VARIABLES be it the owner, trainer, rider, racing centre, odds, equipments, racing centres, shoes, and other factors. Punters tend to give more importance to the mentioned factors.
I am surprised that nione have considered bloodline to be supreme.
regds,
Cruise
Bharath Raj said ...
31-Jan-2020An example to my post earlier..
Div 1 & 2 in Delhi. Played Win/Place after 1st race.
Hancock race no.147 - 2nd
Master Becket race no.147 - 3rd Favorite 85PS.????
Chanakya said ...
31-Jan-2020@ all
My intention to give importance to skill is not to bring down any other approach to find a winner but is an advice to improve the - method/study/system a punter is/was using to find a winner to END UP WITH POSITIVE ROI.........
Every punter uses some 'method' to succeed in this game to make some money. Winning a race is NOT his aim - coming out from race course with PROFIT IS THE ONLY AIM...
I don't need any correlation or confirmation of previous paragraph...
Let us accept ONE TRUTH...
Most of the punters will lose everyday/everytime/everywhere...
only few punters will come out as winners -everyday/everytie/everywhere...
what does it mean?
The losers FAILED to develope the skill needed to WIN , while winners used knowledge/understanding/information(public) to improve their skill and BECOME WINNERS...
Chanakya said ...
31-Jan-2020@ Krish,
I agree with your points - there goes a 'mental war' between bookies and punter when odds move up as well as down. A punter needs the skill to 'decypher' the intention of the bookie who many times try to mislead by varying odds...
I don't bet on a favorite whose odds increase by more than 50% at the start of race ... also even if the odds go down if the favorite does not satisfy my system i ignore that favorite..
@ Bharat Raj,
You have given very sensible points but I don't agree that racing is 'roulette' which simply depends on luck but in racing skill gives a punter the 'winning edge' ....
@ Raja David P.,
thanks and I reiterate - skill only can make a punter win, nothing else - luck will never help in the long run...
@ Mak_ 95,
good points...
@ Ajay shah,
What was true in 1988-89 is stil true in 2020-2021...
@ DR Harun,
I don't think you are a doctor, but that is not the issue. I'll advice you not to make sweeping statements , especially on subjects/issues/ competitions where you are a failure...
My point is - if I am unable to win, why there are some, who are winning regularly? what do they have/know which I don't have/know must be analysed impartially. A winner must be having SOMETHING MORE ( knowledge/intelligence/skill/understanding) than the loser who lacks these qualities...
A perenial loser will blame everything/everyone except himself for his stupidity/mistakes/inability to expose his frustration and try, unsuccessfully, to belittle those few winners...
Golden Viper said ...
30-Jan-2020The statement you need skills and study in racing is very true and correct.
I do not know of other centers but in Delhi 80 % buy books before entering the course. How they manage. Back back down favs or eat favs[ colour gone bad] still over all losers.
Please make your own system but do study before hand.
Study the last 2 run race videos
Watch the horse wt.any thing above 12 kgs shows neglect by the trainer .specially so if the horse is already on top wt.
See the horse coat must be shining and not dull
Other points have been well covered by many.Make racing a game to enjoy.
Chanakya Kaushik said ...
29-Jan-2020@ Vinay Gowda - handicapping - correct hndicapping works truely and consistntly from classI to class VB2...
It has worked in olden days and still works today...
@ Jimmy Karanjia,
You are an old timer and therfore I'll give a mild reminder that the points you have raised are very valid and true but do not help a punter...
Chanakya said ...
29-Jan-2020@ Anil Xk,
I do not advocate that a punter should play all races of the day...
But I do play all races of the day because my system - ENABLES me to do that !
What I want to say- rather convey is that to win from races you have to 'develope' a system to find a winner and use a strategy to make your betting 'pay' - means come out with profit, NOT everyday; but after every week or every month or every season or year ..........
Squanderer was a great horse - perhaps best Indian horse ever run on the Indian turf. He won President of India gold cup at Hyderabad - perhaps within a week after suffering from fever..
Ask RR BYramjee - he was the trainer...
He was sent to the stud but NO ONE GAVE HIM A MARE...
He lived happily thereafter....
R.ramesh said ...
29-Jan-2020I agree with Godzilla but like to add one or two. Skip 2 years old and 3 years old races and can bet on selected Terms races.
Chanakya Kaushik said ...
29-Jan-2020@ Faizan - winning from races needs skillto spot winner or place-getter, not any guesswork...
srinivas - by betting on all races and sometimes on 3 runners in the same race I've won more than 50 points(= Rs.1,00,000 plus) from 29/12/19 to 22/1/20. The proof is available in this site and selections are available in tips threads...
L Laxman,- "laying' the favorite is an art - your friend may have learned it
@ K Koti - yes an average punter can not win by betting on all races of the day he has to create a betting strategy to achieve that..
.
Dr Harun said ...
29-Jan-2020You can never make money in racing,if at all anyone claims he is lying through his teeth.Per se in gambling you at best may break even but to end plus is impossible.Be it Racing which is the worst one,in cricket i have seen blokes who lost big thanks to catch or catches going down or a misfield 4 which cost them a lambi bet,i have seen the same guy lose when a penalty was muffed and when a free kick hit the cross bar and bounced outside the line.Had all those bets gone through he would have ended huge plus but infact ended big minus.The rule is it never favours the punter come what may,i have seen the guy suffer and get hurt
Jimmy Karanjia said ...
29-Jan-2020Godzilla,
I do not completely agree with you. Class II races are very tricky and usually have outsiders as winners. If you see historically in western Insia Class II races are usually the scond last leg of Jackpots where an upset reduces the winning tickets significantly, Hence ectremely unpredictable.
Class I races are very difficult and usually no horse wins consecutive races the wins are distributed among the connections on a round robin bases. Unless you have horse like Oasis Star and Ruffina who can be backed with conviction whenever they run.
Regards,
Jimmy
Chanakya said ...
29-Jan-2020Thanks, Prinit
Santosh - join Prakash gosavi's class
Ajoy Shah said ...
29-Jan-2020Favorites.
Only way you can truly win overall is concentrating only on Favorites.Either Play or Eat them. Because you r concerned with only 1 horse in a large field so max.probability is always in your favor. The bookmaker 's real job is to balance the book and make a percentage of the book amount.Thats all.
You need to fix an amount u want to make in a day, maybe it 1000 or 10000 as per your capacity.And be very very Disciplined about this factor. Now u play the favorites till u win the amount u decided or eat the favorite till such time. Either way by the first 3-4 races u will reach your destination. Leave. Don't wait feeling that u know a certain winner in the other race and getting tempted. Trouble Is the greed.
Such a person I knew way back in 1987-88 and that time all he would want is 500 a day. And he was successful.
Mak_95 said ...
29-Jan-2020I have following observation
1. Lower class and Baccha race eat on money fav.
2. Higher class avoid fav above 1.5 odds.
3.Follow back down horeses.
4. Study owner/traineer/Jockey's performance on favourite.
5. Play place on your choice if win odds are above 2.
6. Don't be implusive, be within limit. Avoid heavy betting to make loss good
Raja David P. said ...
29-Jan-2020beloved brother, well said, what ever you mentioned in your comment I will try to follow, hope and pray who ever agree with your advice will be gain profit.Thank you with regards,
L. Shyam Sunddar said ...
29-Jan-20202nd Favorite for place will be a better choice ausually. In Place we have 3 choices to get money but win we have minimum chances. If we are not able to select the horses for place, then why go for racing.
Ajoy Shah said ...
29-Jan-2020@Jimmy
U r right. If we break up racing results it boils down to 2 things.
Potential -of Horse
Intention- of various connections.
The first we can study and burn the candle light. The second we can never know. And today it is the Intentions which are more prominent than potential.
Bharathraj said ...
29-Jan-2020Hi
I am not heavy punter , I play in my limits. Thought of sharing few points which help in finding winner/place
1. Connections - here the jockey and the trainer combination for a try.
2. Division races ( 2 & 1 ) - mostly after division 2 , we can probably find winners from the same lot. I have played many winner like this. Nowadays ... Club also framing div1 first , don't know the reasons.
3. Horse finishing & Distance - a important point to notice here.. If a horse finishing from last and place or 4th for 1200/1400..will with all probability win an extended race. Recent: Showgirl (see its 2 previous runs)
4. Aged vs youngsters - if an aged animal racing against youngster ... See the class of the previous win for older.. If above the current class.. Sure to place ... Mostly the youngsters need experience.
5. Eaten when fav - Mostly a loosing would redeem its failure earlier ... If it lost a race due to in..or sl.
All the above plays an important factors ...if your "LUCK" favours and the intentions from the trainers is to go for it.
Play responsibly...Horse racing is a animated roulette..
Raj
Krish said ...
29-Jan-2020In horse racing world there are 2 kinds of people. 1 horse players(many) are trying to win by placing bets. 2 book makers(few) are the one who accept bets and their main object is to see that horse should not win. Always tussel is going on between these 2 kind people. By studing past performance, handicap, speed rating, PNR reading, jockeys etc.etc.each and every one's focus moved towards first or second favorites. This is what bookies wanted and waiting for temparing the race by all kind of tactis. In this HT flatform many thinks that rising odds means that horse has no winning chance thats what they schooled like that way. For these reasons one should practice any other method of winner picking. It may be numerology, astrology or any other system of winner picking. At the end one should be in profit. One high priced winner is far better than 10 low priced favorites.
Vinay.gowda said ...
29-Jan-2020Punters should concentrate mainly on terms race where the real racing takes place.
Godzilla said ...
29-Jan-2020Hey,
the best way to bet in horse racing is play only class 2 and above, choose one race per day. The more you play the more you loose
or eat favourite place all the time. Double till you win. It will always be below 80p you will get good returns
Jimmy Karanjia said ...
29-Jan-2020To make Money, a Punter needs to find a good job and start working seriously. Whatever skill you have or develop, you will never......and I mean never make money in racing. The biggest of owners have got destroyed so what are punters?
Yes, you can do handicapping, speed rating, horse form, trach work etc., but limit your betting to one or two horses in a day, whatever the odds. This way you will minimize your losses, and sometimes even make money. If you play all races, I can guarantee you will only make big holes in your pocket. Your money ultimately is in the hands of three factors -
1) Owners and connections intentions
2) Jockey's intentions
3) Horses intent to win
You can do nothing about the above 3, the first two points lets not talk about, on the third point you do not know what a horse is feeling, whether he is in the mood to win, he is going through a set back, whether he is unwell on that particular race day, whether there is some internal bleeding resulting in breaking of a blood vessel after the race, whether his sugar or insulin levels are normal and so on so forth.
End of the day, see the horse in the paddock and take your call, but bottom line, play only one or two horses in a day.
Cheers and Be Safe
Jimmy
Vinay.gowda said ...
29-Jan-20201.Handicapping - rarely works in class5 i.e to 10-20%, in class4 20-30%, and so on.
Anil Xk said ...
29-Jan-2020Dear Chanakya,
Any match to be tackled with plan.As per your write up , you are very seriously doing it. The win ability is mainly depends on final decision, as the investment is own hard earned money.When ever I played more than three races I lost money, but when ever played a single horse , some time in the penultimate race mostly won , but greed make us to do bet on more races.
Some people ,just believing that race is adjustment, really not.
Every improvement and non performance of runners to be explained by trainer in writing and vocally.
And horses are not machines , they also have problems, which to be identified by trainer in time.
An example , Smart chieftain is run always in company with priceless ally..because he is fond with that friend.
The great horse squanderer moved to hyd for race with out his companion, he suddenly lost interest in feed. Magical horseman Rashid byramji, understood it and flown his companion horse and make him happy.Thesevare some small instances of horse mind.
So same is applied to trainer owner also
Race is purely science till last 20 Meyers where luck start to turn tables.
I remember horse called Axe owned by Shivappa and trained by cuts running as tote hot favourite in Bangalore summer, it leads by five lengths and going to win , but in last 50 m point it's leg locked in rat hole and lost all pace, finished a tame third, I invested heavily on tote for win lost miserably...after that never bet 5 digit amount on any horse.
Because our life is fully outside, playing huge amounts and living under severe pressure is no value.Judt invest wisely...if can't take a decision on particular card just have two round's of your favourite drinks and enjoy.
Clever said ...
28-Jan-2020Faizan Patel
I very much agree with your 4th point. Punters loose bcoz they want to play all races till they last penny in their pocket.i always wait for the kill don't I say win on all race days but on whole aim a winner. I back my selected horses 1 or 2 that's it suppose my 1st horse wins I collect my WINNING and out.
King Koti said ...
28-Jan-2020At the end of the day,the punter wants to be in profit.No matter how big he win but he doesn't want to be in loss.
As far as the selection goes,we(most of the punters) go with certain horses in mind to play inside and suddenly changes the mind due to number of factors like information,odds changing,seeing the public playing favourite etc.
The punter cannot win if he plays every race.As far as eating concerns the small punters like me cannot eat every favourite,if two favourites win consecutively then we are doomed for the day.
The only way a punter can win is to have sound capital and smart brain.He should know when to back the favourite and lay the favourite.The punter should keep a winning limit in his mind like suppose if i am in profit of 5000 i will just stop betting and watch the game.If i lose 5000 in the first starting races i walk away.It will take some time to get this habit but its definitely worth it.
I see many experts give their tips in every race for the day,but i dont know if they play every race or they just give their tips.I mainly follow dharmesh ji and i request him to give his best bet not days best but the best where a punter can earn either be win or place and it ahould me atleast 60p and above.
And i would request all the expert tipsters to give the lay bets also,so one can eat the horses,either it be win or place.
Thank you.
King Koti said ...
28-Jan-2020At the end of the day,the punter wants to be in profit.No matter how big he win but he doesn't want to be in loss.
As far as the selection goes,we(most of the punters) go with certain horses in mind to play inside and suddenly changes the mind due to number of factors like information,odds changing,seeing the public playing favourite etc.
The punter cannot win if he plays every race.As far as eating concerns the small punters like me cannot eat every favourite,if two favourites win consecutively then we are doomed for the day.
The only way a punter can win is to have sound capital and smart brain.He should know when to back the favourite and lay the favourite.The punter should keep a winning limit in his mind like suppose if i am in profit of 5000 i will just stop betting and watch the game.If i lose 5000 in the first starting races i walk away.It will take some time to get this habit but its definitely worth it.
I see many experts give their tips in every race for the day,but i dont know if they play every race or they just give their tips.I mainly follow dharmesh ji and i request him to give his best bet not days best but the best where a punter can earn either be win or place and it ahould me atleast 60p and above.
And i would request all the expert tipsters to give the lay bets also,so one can eat the horses,either it be win or place.
Thank you.
Venu said ...
28-Jan-2020A punter wins and loses everyday. Most important is Financial planning. He should evaluate his choices and bet accordingly.
Lucky Laxman said ...
28-Jan-2020One of my friend doesn't know about racing but he made money.... 5 years back he entered and within a span of 2 years lost more than 15 lakhs by playing only favourites... Then after 2 years started eating the favourites and recovered his entire loss and has earned more than 10 lakhs till date.... Even today he doesn't know what is handicapping. Now he is mainly concentrating on racing only...
Vinay.gowda said ...
28-Jan-2020Key points.
1. PNR reading, Weight, Distance.Class.Timing.
Don't consider the below things.
Odds, owner double, trainer double, Jockey double, doosra,teesra, pet distance, ran with ........,
Srinivas said ...
28-Jan-2020Betting in each and every race, sometimes on 3 different horses in a race, will take you nowhere. Grief is guaranteed !!!
Faizan Patel said ...
28-Jan-2020Hi all, please read it carefully and give you're valuable reply. I have only 3 year of experience in horse racing. I don't have much experience but when I am conclude center wise result I found one thing.
1-Banglore :- in first race play favorite place 90% come, if not then in second race it come surly, and cover you're money which is lose in first race, but remember if you earn in first race please out from racecourse. Note you can see result.
2- Kolkata - same story but only in first race. You can see the result of these 2019-2020 seesion all favorite come in place even 95% won. Note you can see results.
3- Hyderabad - same as Kolkata. Note you can see result.
4- Mumbai /Pune :- Attention on second favorite plce. Play one race earn money out from racecourse
5- Wait for odd (means if the horse back play ) and special play trainer magn Singh horse.
6-Madras /Ooty- eat any favorite and come out from Racecourse
7- Mysore Waiting for odd if backing play and out else eat favorite.
These are my experience. Finally iam telling only thing play only one race in a day back or lay.
Thank you. please comment on my post.
Santosh Gowda said ...
28-Jan-2020Let me learn good and tested handicapping from u??
Prinit said ...
28-Jan-2020Congratulations Chanakya! May you enjoy such success forever!
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