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The Maharaja Sir Pratapsingh Gaekwad Trophy- Mumbai

By Raj-original | 25-Feb-2020

Only one class 3 and above race for the day.

I never play Maiden,or class 4 and 5 races. With plenty of time to concentrate on only one race thought will probe little on only class 3 race for the day.

Going by Horse itself,Age,Jockies,and previous performance,and track work  most horses get eliminated on their own. Except Namaqua ,which even though comes under above catgory it needs a glance bcz of sandesh.

But previous performance is not encouraging

1000 Mt is in everyone's copass. Draw no also plays role here. An whipless Jockie can be forgotten among veterans.

.The ones that remained were Headway, Hidden Gold and Copper queen.

Head way carries 60 kg ,HG 56.5 kg and promotee Copper queen 50 kg.

The difference is whooping 10 kg.

Headway track work is impressive and so also Copper queen.

The Jockies on these horses deserve attention.

The difference between Top rated and next rated horse is surprising. Which will not make Headway a winner according to a  theory which is  being floated  by  few here.

Nor numbers assigned to horse will make them winners or loosers according to some.

Further narrowing  based on timings ,Jockies and past performance Only Headway and Copper queen remains.

Again 10 kg  less and Neeraj riding for Shroff  

Makes COPPER QUEEN as my choice.

Your views please.

Post Your reply

30 Replies

Ruchi said ...

27-Feb-2020

Mr MUNEESH

Today also I could post sensibly in 6 th race to friends

SPANISH BEAUTY WON AND BLU MOON SECOND

6=SPANISH BEAUTY (606)-KNOTTY OAK (605)-BIG BOON (600)-SIDE WINDER (600)-BLUE MOON (600)
Analysis=A very close rated race. On detailing, KNOTTY OAK and BIG BOON both have been promoted ONE FULL CLASS UP.Such horses fail in 90 percent of times. so first i will eliminate these two. From balance, SIDE WINDER the speediest of the Lot has to be respected and is bound to place.BLUE MOON may find 1200 mts a bit short although horse has merit. my Final choice would be SPANISH BEAUTY DAYS BEST EACH WAY BET .If its more than EVENS for PLACE just back it.Today its a HANDICAPPERS CERTANITY. This horse has been running in 45-65 cateogary since last 6 outings. It has been running off the pace and finishing well to be close to the top four at the finish. last run in same class (DIVII) in race (138) it was carrying 59 kgs a finished a good fourth.on that run itself it is down by 4 kgs today. Today it is the best horse on HANDICAP and just cannot , i repeat just cannot miss the board. ITS GUARANTEE to PLACE can WIN.

Ruchi said ...

27-Feb-2020

MUNESH

I always talk and lost sensible posts ,there are some dimwits like yours truly can't help

Ruchi said ...

27-Feb-2020

THANK YOU MR NATRAJ and RAJU BHATIA

Munesh said ...

27-Feb-2020

Ruchi  Good Some times you make sense Congrats 

V Natraj Mtp said ...

26-Feb-2020

Thank u Mr Ruchi for tipping Headway !

Please keep posting such useful tips !!

Raju Bhatia said ...

26-Feb-2020

Ruchi......

Iread your write up on headway 

It was excellent 

I played headway after reading your write up 

Thank you so much

Naveen said ...

26-Feb-2020

Thanks SC Sharma sir for ur today tips....I  miss ur tips for a long time....Hope u post regularly or either you post one good bet of the day...Once again Thanku Sir...

Ajay Charakonda said ...

26-Feb-2020

@ SC sharma sir

 U r always king in racing sir

Srinivas said ...

26-Feb-2020

@ Raj-original sir

I loved the way you filter out horses. Out of 10  horses you filtered out 7 so easily. All the 3 horses you narrowed on came on board.

I would not have played copper queen for Place but for you. 

Txs

 

Suman Deep said ...

26-Feb-2020

wow! some one giving numbers and write up like this please stick up to this and show your talent it would be helpfull for punters @ruchi

Tiger said ...

26-Feb-2020

What a run by HEADWAY! 

Congratulations to all who nominated and played. 

Congratulations to the owners, Trainer Mr S K Sundarji for 3 winners nd Jockey N Mackay.

Dear Ruchi,

Copper Queen is maiden in hadicap.

 

TIGER"....................................................

Ruchi said ...

26-Feb-2020

TIGER

COPPER QUEEN is not a maiden it's winner on debut at good odds with Yash 

Golden Viper said ...

26-Feb-2020

good response with logical thinking special thanks  to Ruchi   back to his orignal ways

Copper queen is a ruined horse by Pesii and will run in Cal monson.

 So it boils down to headway  and unsound Namaqua a small card bet on N""qua

Tiger said ...

26-Feb-2020

Winning 1200M in class-3 HEADWAY failed to perfomed with bottom weight as well as top weight. After several attempts, trainer final concluding that the top handicap is the main reason behind failure, trying with same hadicap but 200M less.

COPPER QUEEN who is still a maiden handicap trying with bottom weight for the first time. Tracking good, will go all out with good rider.

Trainer Mr D Todywalla is doing lots of experiments with HIDDEN GOLD's instruments which put question mark on his performance.

FINAL CONCLUSION:-

All 3 trainers are trying hard to win the race. If instrument change doesnt bother HG then he is the right choice for the trophy. Copper Queen is t next best bet.

 

TIGER".....................................................

Racebro said ...

26-Feb-2020

Sorry guys I am not discouraging anyone here, I did see the replay of race won by Hidden Gold beating Copper Queen. HG fell back after jostling at the start and CQ got a flyer and lead all the way, but the turn of foot shown by HD is tremendous coming wide and beating CQ. I feel the weight difference also can't do any good to CQ. As mentioned earlier I stick with my selection of Namaqua winning and HG for SHP. 
Finally decision is yours, All the best!

R.ramesh said ...

26-Feb-2020

Eventhough Headway is far better than others, Copper Queen is well placed on weights than Headway. 

Copper Queen should not find it difficult to snatch the race from Headway.

Larry said ...

26-Feb-2020

Hello Ruchi,

Nice writeup.

Am strong on Headway too, based on what's already written by you, also, I have my favourite theory to go by, that some learned people out here are scoffing at.

So let's wait and watch what happens, will it be the theory that rules, or is it just a mere benefit of about 10kgs that makes some other horse win. I'm sure you get what I mean.

Also, will this benefit of 10kgs make this animal last the distance, or, just like the previous few runs, will lead upto 800-900m, and then fizzle out.

 

 

100% said ...

26-Feb-2020

ONLY HEADWAY SIR

Ruchi said ...

26-Feb-2020

Looks like a healthy debate with No Slang on Planets etc, so if its a healthy debate then here are my thoughts. Purely My thoughts on this race.

This will be DASH FOR CASH type of a race with so manty front runners. we have seen 1000 mts dash but we can single out one or at best very speedy ones but here there are plenty.

For those wanting to know how the Dynamic ratings stand here they are

5=HEADWAY(658)-WILD FIRE(658)COPPER QUEEN(650)-HIDDEN GOLD(632)-RISING BRAVE (632)

Firstly about the most Hyped and fancied horses by two giants of HT.

a. COPPER QUEEN: In spite of Good Dynamic ratings,Its a 900 mts horse and due to the presence of IMPALA and WILD FIRE, who off late has started takeing a good jump. MY take is COPPER QUEEN will not be sighted.COPPER QUEEN likes to race freely out in front and today it has no chance to hit front. I repeat NO CHANCE to hit front as IMPALA and WILD FIRE and NANAQUA are much much speedier 

If CQ cannot go to front its OUT. It has no finishing speed and especially if you see its last run where HIDDEN GOLD and two aged GRAND FATHERS RISING BRAVE and MIGHTY WARRIOR almost thrashed it. 

COPPER QUEEN may struggle to come in first three today.

Next (b)  NAMAQUA:  Another 850 or 900 mts horse same logic as above,its quite speedy may pace with the the two NLAGADS horse but last 150 mts will drop dead.

Eye should be on late rushers and there are three who have proved to "FLY" off the opace,HIDDEN GOLD-HEADWAY-RISING BRAVE. This race will see the above three at the finish.

Now just a glance at HEADWAYS form.RACE (126) was given a easy run as Stable horses KILDARE/DANDI were fancied. Just see the Body language of the rider. HARD HELD in last 200 mts in spite of being in fighting line a sure sign of "NOT ON JOB"

Race (47) , over 1200 mts HEADWAY shot to front and at the distance post was 3 lengths clear . that means horse has speed as it overtook the very speedy EN SABAH NUR and SHIVALIK QUEEN and shot away only to weaken last part. today 200 mts less to GO.

RACE (16) well  what to say It was in 3rd or 4th position and ACCELERATED to even beat SILVER FLAMES. SILVER FLAMES reeled out two races after that and now in CLASS I.

RACE (57) at PUNE, short pune straight.Yet it could beat front runners including LESREL (   reeled off 3 races at KOL and second to MULTITUDE by a nk)after coming off the pace.

IF CURRENT FORM IS THE KEY HEADWAY WILL TROUNCE THIS FIELD.HIDDEN GOLD and RISING BRAVE will easily beat the rest.

Again wish to mention this is pure my view and ALL THE VERY BEST TO COPPER QUEEN and NAMAQUA 

 

Srikanto Chakravarty said ...

26-Feb-2020

HEADWAY SHOULD ROMP HOME

C1000 said ...

26-Feb-2020

Hidden Gold win, Rising Brave Place

Decent Punter said ...

26-Feb-2020

Go for it Raj Original.

On two points (good speed & feather weight ), makes a very good bet at pretty decent odds.

Racebro said ...

26-Feb-2020

Here is my analysis and decision is yours.

HEADWAY - Never travelled the distance of 1000m. I doubt the speed for this short trip. Trainer knows it well. Last win came in August 2019.

HIDDEN GOLD - Won its last two races over 1000m in lower class, last run beat Copper Queen by 1L with 2Kg difference. Now with 6Kg difference CQ is placed better than HG. Rising Brave and Turmeric Tower were behind, therefore out.

IMPALA - Has the speed. Almost the timings are same as HG.

NAMAQUA - By Mayson. Very Speedy. Was 2nd in Pune behind Dandi March clocking 57 and 1200m clocking 1:9 and recent one was 7th in Mumbai clocking 59:41 which is better than HG and CQ.

I am going to back well and huge. The odds seems to be good which shows 7/1. Those who play safe can go for a Place bet.

ALL THE BEST!

 

Deepak said ...

26-Feb-2020

Welcome back sharmajii sir

Ashok Bhojraj Chawla said ...

26-Feb-2020

RISING BRAVE ,. Can upset  

Consultant said ...

26-Feb-2020

Copper queen doesn't have a chance in this set. 

Race is purely between Namaqua and Headway.

Regards 

Consultant 

S C Sharma said ...

26-Feb-2020

In this race no 1 Headway leaned and carried outward at start last time by stablemate Dandi March and the race won by another stablemate Kildare which was strongly fancied and backed. So, Headway’s that run is to be best ignored. Today running with Blk on and may give different account of himself. No 8 Copper Queens chances are also not ruled out as she likes front running and this trip is best suited to her more so on this attractive weight. No 2 Hidden Gold won two races impressively but running on 4kg worst terms in compare to no 8 Copper Queen which makes his chances little more difficult. Finally my choice is no 1 Headway and next best no 8 Copper Queen.

Daya said ...

26-Feb-2020

Dont ignore HIDDEN GOLD with David Egan.

Shrini Reddy said ...

26-Feb-2020

Rising Brave should be the DarkUn

Rethvik said ...

25-Feb-2020

HIDDEN  GOLD will easily win the race