Bangalore 30-07-2022

My selections under Horse racing system are as under. 

Race 1 ANSALDO 

Out Of The Doldrums

Rules: 
1. Consider only last-start winners. 
2. The race came within the last 30 days. 
3. It finished out of the first three in each of its three previous races. 
4. It has run at least four times in total under the code of today's race (flat). 
5. There are no other qualifiers in the race.

Logic: 
There are many reasons for a horse suddenly hitting form following a period in the doldrums (new yard, low handicap mark, new trip, different tactics, headgear, setback etc). When this happens, the confidence it restores in the horse is often enough to spark a resurgence, even though it may only be a brief one. If the horse can run again shortly afterwards, it may retain its new-found form and repeat the recent win.

A taking winner last week, 1-2 ANSALDO is turned out again quickly under a 5.5kg penalty, which could be manageable for a horse on the up following a set back and has the best chance to score an encore under above logic of Horse racing system. 

Race 3 KENSINGTON COURT

Handicappers down in class

Rules:

1. System concentrates on handicap races only.

2. A qualifying runner must have the clear highest official rating in the race.

3. It must also have finished in the first four home on its last run.

4. Its last run must have been in a handicap of a higher class than today's race.

5. A qualifier's latest run must have been in the same type of event as today's.

Logic:

Whilst factors like track type, distance, ground etc are all important, class is the single most important consideration. Even if a horse is perfectly suited to today's track, distance and ground, it will not win if it is outclassed.

This system aims to locate handicappers who are not only clear highest rated in a race, but who have also proved themselves to be competitive at a higher level in recent times.

3-1 KENSINGTON COURT caught the eye when making late headway to finish third in upper grade over this C&D last time out. Now drops in class and can strike now as per above theory of Horse racing system. 

Race 6 AMRELI

Claiming jockeys in handicaps

Rules:

1. Concentrate only on handicap races.

2. Look for handicap races in which there is only one claiming jockey (a jockey claiming a weight allowance, which is noted after his/her name).

3. Bet to win on all qualifiers.

System applies to all handicap races.

Logic:

Trainers often use claiming jockeys in order to gain a weight advantage against the other runners in a handicap. When there are several claiming jockeys riding in a race, their weight advantages are compromised, but when there is only one runner with a claiming jockey, it has a weight advantage against the field.

6-1 AMRELI can bounce back to form following a below-par effort in Grade 3 company on her latest outing and her 4kg claim could give her a big advantage in this field as per above HRS logic. 

Regards