Ratings are deciding by the Handicapper or Steeards.

We are always comparing the timings that which horse is speedy on particular day.

Anyhow thanks to you

Hello Seetha Rama Rao, 

Trying to answer your question to the best of my abilities. 

Racegoers usually make a mistake by comparing raw timings, which can be fast, or slow, based on the track conditions, hence I use this method, where I compare the timing of a particular race with that of a higher rated horse that ran on the day. 

Golden Neil clocked 1:22:47 @ 55.5 kgs, and Nolan did 1:24:23 @ 59.5kgs, so at level wts, with G. Neil, that works out to 1:23:59, which is 7 lengths slower, so with G. Neil, rated 95, Nolan's notional rating works out to 81.

I'm not saying this works out every time, but at least for Mumbai it's pretty reliable, because we do not have varying conditions here, whereas at other centres, with rains during races at times, this does not work out that accurately. 

Dear Larry,

Please explain the timings

On 31.12.2023

Golden nail. 1400 m won  1.22.47. Rating 95

Fancy Nancy 1400m won. 1.24.06 rating. 34

In comparision. Golden nail is spedy

How to select 3rd in this bunch as a good horse to Fancy Nancy

@cinch

Glad you are doing well.

I will be waiting for you post everyday 

It's racing anything can happen. I value your selection and most other punters 

Keep doing your work and avoid negative comments . Punters should own their risk irrespective of whom they follow 

Recent 3 runs.

They are within 3 months

It is easy to locate the form.

1- milli or house of lords.

2-impunity- wild hammer.

3- chat- finch.

4-running star.

5-fashion icon-attained.

6-son of a gun.the protector.

7-chamonix.

1- miLLI -or house of lords

1.3 Galloping Ahead 

5.1 Nolan

6.1 Son of a Gun

7.3 Chamonix

Enjoy Racing, Take care  

Another point against SILVWR SPRING is last Pune season it started from class vb.

Point is when NOLAN,RED MERLOT,FIERY RED are racing in class 2,class 3 since past (4) seasons.

Don't expect a vb horse to come close to the above three in fact NOLAN and RED MERLOOT have reached a rating of 60 above,pure class (2) so on all that count.

SS in spite of Top rating for me it's not be considered in short list also.

Let's see what happens 

@Larry

Hedge a small part of your anticipated winnings on Son of A Gun, if your roll clicks till then, on BABY BAZOOKA, as she is due for a win.
Good Luck!

1). GALLOPING AHAEAD.

2). VERDANDI.Can turn da table.

3). CHAT.

4). AMADEO.

5).NOLAN- FIERY RED.

6). BABY BAZOOKA. Can upset.

7). CMX:=- HOME & DRY. KAMARIA. May go close.

May b iam wrong but AON OF A GUN & RUNNING STAR Lay bets for me.

DEAR PIKTS GOOD MORNING.

IAM FINE AND HEALTHY.

I STOPPED POSTING COZ I WAS ACCUSED BECOZ BACKING MY SELECTION HE BECAME A BANKCRUPT

 ANYWAYS MY SELECTIOMN FOR TODAY IS 

1ST RACE  GALLOPING AHEAD. WIN

BOMBARD IT.

GOOD LUCK.

Thanks for all the knowledgeable guys here.racing is a tough game.

Every body has his day.Hope it's mine today...

The selection is based on some working 

Yes Bhupin you did mention SILVER SPRING well my Dynamic ratings working is as under.

SILVWR SPRING (614)-FIEEY RED (604)- NOLAN (604)- RED MERLOT (604(

SILVWR SPRING is top in rating and a front runner.Front runners perform different at Short Pune course and long Mumbai straight.its easy at Pune but same type of front running flops at Mumbai.

Also SS is short of run

So the other three are all evenly matched and i only hope it's my day today

Good luck all FIERY RED I hope does not disappoint me

Jitender what Bhupinder has said is 101% right.  The mistake you making is that you have already declared that race is between 

NOLAN

FIERY RED

RED MERLOT

Racing is not like this brother. In card it's 9 horses you have to check all horses.  I also feel number 2 is very safe betting because it have already done well in same class.  So please read full card properly because it's beneficial for all including you.  

@cinch .

Hope you are well and healthy.

Please post your one horse

DEAR ALL

Race no1# 3 Galloping Ahead( lay)

Race no2# 1 Eaton Square

Race no3# 3 Chat

Race no4# 6 Running Star

Race no5# 1 Nolan

Race no6# 1Son Of A Gun( Days Best)

Race no7# 3 Chamonix

Regards

Shayan

Thanks

•  
• R1. 3 GALLOPING AHEAD  [W]
• R2. 1. EATON SQUARE [W]
• R3.  2. FINCH [ Upset ]
• R4.  1. AMADEO [P]
• R5.  1. NOLAN [W/P]
• R5.  3. DARWIN [ Upset ]
• R6.  SKIP 
• R7. 3. CHAMONIX [W]

Go with Mishti !!!

Race 1: LIAM(5)- W, GALLOPING AHEAD(3)- Plc

Race 2: EATON SQUARE(1)

Race 3: SCARAMANGA(1)

Race 4: RUNNING STAR(6)

Race 5: SILVER SPRING(2)

Race 6: SON OF A GUN(1)

Race 7: CHAMONIX(3)

Mr. Jitender if calculation you giving  is not digestive because you are just seeing three horses n forgetting SILVER SPRING horde number 2 , who under AK47(AKSHAY) have already lerforned very well with much higher handy in same class.  I think it's not too late you please check all horses don't be in hurry. It takes high effort to earn money. So be wise in spending I also feel FIERY RED is no match in this high standard batch.  

Hello Jitu, 

Just putting across my observations about the 5th race. 

First and foremost, I remember, you'd once said that you consider the last three runs to check on a horse's potential, but today, you're comparing runs that are months apart, also, where the concerned horses merely ran on those days, so to say, making up the numbers, also, we're talking about different venues. 

The way I've read the race, I've taken into consideration the recent runs, and purely based on timing, at level weights and PNR reading, for me, Nolan comes across about 4 lengths superior to Red Merlot and Fiery Red, and if I were to compare the timing with higher class horses that ran on the respectice days, Nolan's timing can be compared to Golden Neil, rated 92, with Nolan just about 7 lengths inferior to G. Neil, also, Red Merlot compares to It's My Time, rated 69, with Red Merlot about 2 lengths inferior, wheras Fiery Red fails to even beat Opus Dei's time, who's rated just 49, so for me, I don't think Fiery Red can beat the other two, but mind you, these are just my observations, and in no way am I trying to be mean, like Acharya, who goes about saying Fiery Red will not even finish in the top five, I don't make such statements just to ridicule someone, if I have to say something I do so based on my studies. 

I'm all out today for a 4-horse roll on Eaton Square-Scaramanga-Nolan-Son of a Gun, 

and respecting your judgement will take another 3-way roll ignoring Nolan, so that if he loses I don't lose, but at least make a small profit. 

All the best to you, and all HT members. 

1  9  Sweet Emotion/ 5  Liam

2  1  Eaton Square

3  3  Chat

5  1  Nolan

6  2  Cellini

7  4  Kamaria

son of agun

MY SELECTIONS

R NO-1-H NO-3-GALLOPING AHEAD

5year old gelding,in his first run in MUM after interference he finish late 5th over 1200mts,now running with top rider & carry 3kg less,impressive winner in BAN by 4ls,one handy track work.

R NO-2-H NO-2-IMPUNITY

Maiden 4year old fily,in last run easy 4th over mile trip in class four now demoted & running with same rider over extended trip,very well prepared.

R NO-3-H NO-1-SCARAMANGA

Twice notable winner in PUNE over 1400 & 1600mts in class four,in last two run late easy 2nd & 3rd,impressive track work.

R NO-4-H NO-6-RUNNING STAR

3year old maiden race,failed favorite over 1200mts now running over extended trip with same inform jockey,that run advantage for her,pleasing track work with notable winner DASH.

R NO-5-H NO-8-FIERY RED

In last PUNE season hot favorite speedy notable winner over 1400mts in 3year old maiden race,ignore his run in class three,in last run after interference he finish close late 3rd by 1.5ls over 1000mts with 55kg,now running over extended trip with same jockey & carry only haf kg extra,working extremely good on track.SHOULD WIN.

R NO-6-H NO-1-SON OF A GUN

Ignore last run in term race,failed favorite in same class where he finish close 2nd to CELLINI,today weight advantage,impressive track work.

R NO-7-H NO-3-CHAMONIX

IN ROUSING FORM.

DAYS BEST BET R NO-5-H NO-8-FIERY RED

DOUBLE R NO-2-H NO-2-IMPUNITY TO R NO-6-H NO-1-SON OF A GUN

BEST OF LUCK...

5th race DARWIN 

7th race KAMARIA

Race No. 1-5 win srinath 

MUMBAI: 21/1

R1 - 3 GALLOPING AHEAD 

R2 - 5 VERDANDI 

R3 - 2 FINCH 

R4 - 6 RUNNING STAR 

R5 - 1 NOLAN - 4 RED MERLOT 

R6 - 1 SON OF A GUN 

R7 - 3 CHAMONIX 

5th race : DARWIN

MUMBAI 21st JANUARY SELECTION 

Race no 1 9 SWEET EMOTION 8 HOUSE OF LORDS 

Race no 2 4 WILD HAMMER 2 IMPUNITY 

Race no 3 3 CHAT 1 SCARAMANGA 

Race no 4 3 GAMBINO 4 MARCUS 

Race no 5 9 FASHION ICON 2 SILVER SPRING 

Race no 6 4 AMAZONIA 2 CELLINI

Race no 7 4 KAMARIA 3 CHAMONIX 

STAY SAFE PLAY SAFE HAPPY PUNTING

Race (5) is quite intresting. It is quite intresting when same horses run against each other. it helps to come to some concrete conclusions.

At pune in race (25).. NOLAN (54.5) came second, RED MERLOT carrying (54) came 5th and FIERY RED (49) came 7th.

The distances.... NOLAN beat RED MERLOT by 1 length and FIERY RED by 2.5 lengths. 

In race (61)

NOLAN (53) finished second last, RED MERLOT (54.5) finished 9th and FIERY RED (47.5) finished 5th.

FIERY RED as a common horse beat RED MERLOT by 6 lengths and NOLAN by 15 lengths when it was carrying 5.5 kgs less than NOLAN and 6.5 kgs less than RED MERLOT.

On comapring the above two results... we can safely conclude that both FIERY RED and RED MERLOT will for sure finiash ahead of NOLAN

FIERY RED in its first year as a 3yr old has run two very bold races over 7F., means it is capable of stretching beyong 6F, whilst RED MERLOT is a pure 6F expert and NOLAN well its the most un relaible sort and never runs two races alike. Also NOLAN is the first favourite today and that trainer , First favourite ... its any bodys guess.

FOR ME FIERY RED CONTINUES STRONGLY as the horse to beta a CERTAIN PICK UP MONEY .. AT ANY ODDS

2-2 Impunity 

3-4 Alpha domino 

4-1 Amadeo 

7-4 Kamaria 

All eachay bets 

My preferences are

1) 5 LIAM or 7 TYRONE BLACK 

2) 3 ZARAFAT or 4 WILD HAMMER 

3) 3 CHAT 

4) 1 AMADEO or 6 RUNNING STAR 

5) 4 RED MARLOT or 8 FEIRY RED 

6) 1 SUN OF A GUN or 5 BABY BAZOOKA 

7) 3 CHAMONIX 

All the best 

Good morning friends

1-2 Nairobi ( will run a forward race today)

2-2 impunity ( looks like a winner)

3-3 chat (one horse race days' best)

4-1 amadeo (though mare won just one race banglore guinness. nice preparation)

5-1 Nolan ( should canter home one horse race)

6-1 son of a gun ( looks easy winner)

7- 1 golden Kingdom ( open race but rider declaration with good odds is mouth watering worth taking chances)

All the best guy's take care stay blessed 

Today Mumbai is good for eating rather than playing best horse which will not betray you both place n win bet is race no 5 horse no 8 FIERY RED. At any cost he won't be in first 5. Enjoy eating n fill your pocket 

Race no-2 horse no 1 EATON SQUARE....looks like made up race....

Race no-3 horse no 1 SCARAMANGA... .will clear all the scars today....

Race no-6 horse no -1 SON OF A GUN.. SHOULD strike it's all bullets loaded....

R6: Son of a Gun the favourite. Need to win . But there is the tartar in Baby Bazooka. Has tremendous finishing speed. Ran an impressive second to Market King with this same jockey at 49 kgs. Had a good trial over 1400 M last time. If tried it can win hands down.  A gamble worth taking.

today card can fancy punters who plays 1 petti plaing for  favorites for 1st and 2nd as per bookies and totes.

How ever todays race is not interesting just posting my views

1.  3 galloping head has good chance to win can go each way shouod be on board

2. dead race can be either  4 and 1  (wild hammer vs  eaton square

4  1 scaramanga  srinath only race for win

5  6 running star   if yash rides well or 1 amadeo doing good in track

6   1 son of a gun i like the name  2 cellin can be threat

7   3 chamonix 

over all not good if bookies want to change they can change the favorites not hiiting the board in few of the races.

Play safe go home safe

Zarafat.... Chat.... Fashion icon

1-9.  3

2-4.  1

3-3.  1

4-1.  6

5-8.  7

6-2.  1

7-3.  2

Daysbest 6-2

Double 3-3. 5-8

Lay 5-1

1. HOUSE OF LORDS (8)

    GALLOPING AHEAD (3)

2. EATON SQUARE (1)

     IMPUNITY (2) 

3. SCARAMANGA (1)

     ALPHA DOMINO (4)

4. RUNNING STAR (6)

    GAMBINO (3)

5. DARWIN (3) 

    RED MAERLOT (4)

6. SON OF A GUN (1) 

    CELLINI (2)

7. KAMARIA (4) 

    CHAMONIX (3) 

In 3yrs old race go for horse no:1 adhirajsingh jodha trained ridden by trevor Patel It will be a clear cut one horse race

1. GALLOPING AHEAD had a lung opener this season, jumped out badly, TP on board should get it. HOUSE OF LORDS can finish in top 3.

2. EATON SQUARE bred to stay, should shed the maiden tag in style with a good apprentice.

3. SCARAMANGA to get the better of CHAT

4. AMADEO belongs to a classy family, excellently bred, might be the best baby in Adhirajsingh's yard for this season.

5. FASHION ICON going well on weights taking 3.5off with the apprentice, should go well and spring a surprise, an each way prospect. 

6. SON OF A GUN speedy type, should reverse the verdict with CELLINI

7. CHAMONIX armchair ride for PS

Cheers! Happy Racing!

5-9 good thing

Dear Jitender, Very much impressed of your both the selections and also for early posting Good Luck 

1. Liam

2. Impunity

3. Scaramanga

4. Amadeo

5. Wild Thing

6. Baby Bazooka

7. Chamonix 

Good Luck Happy Punting 

1 -  8 W/P 

2  - 2 W

3  1 W

4  - 6 W

5  -  1 W

6  - 1 w

Good luck 

Race 1: LIAM(5)- W, GALLOPING AHEAD(3)- Plc

Race 2: EATON SQUARE(1)

Race 3: SCARAMANGA(1)

Race 4: RUNNING STAR(6)

Race 5: SILVER SPRING(2)

Race 6: SON OF A GUN(1)

Race 7: CHAMONIX(3)

Selections Eachway

1-2 Nairobi

2-1 Eaton Square

3-1 Scaramanga

4-6 Running Star

5-2 Silver Spring

6-3 The Protector

7-3 Chamonix

1. LIAM.! Looks good can win
2. IMPUNITY.! Easy going
3. SCARAMANGA .! can win
4. ESCONIDO.! Plc
5. RED MERLOT.! Can win
6. THE PROTECTOR.! Looks good Can win .!!! 

Hi

Selections

R1 horse 5 Liam

Long overdue for a win, can score. 

R2 horse 1 Eaton Square

Third to Exuma earlier, can be there

R3 horse 1 Scarsmanga

Late 3rd last time, that run should hold him in good stead. 

R4  horse 6 Running Star

The benefit of a run can hold her in good stead

R5 horse 7 Attained

Ignore last few runs, in with a chance. 

R6 horse 1 Son of a Gun

In with. A chance in this set. 

R7 horse 3 Chamonix

Best stayer of the lot. Should win. 

Cheers

The Joker

EATON SQUARE - SCARAMANGA - AMADEO - NOLAN - SON OF A GUN

Chances of the JP pool reading 1-1-1-1-1 is quite a realistic possibility. 

Eaton Square, (Dam:Xisca), I wonder why such an excellent long distance pedigree horse is still a maiden, today is it's best chance, with no competition in sight, and if it fails today, it's time for the owners to send it over to some beach for joyrides for kids. 

If there's another horse that can make it, is a choice that would be scoffed at, because she's done absolutely nothing up until now, but she's running over 2000 for the first time, who knows, might just decide to put her best feet forward today, and I say that because she's half sister to Botero. 

3rd race, SCARAMANGA might just be niggled for a while by Chat, but that's about it, Chat will have to play the bridesmaid's role today, good for place and SHP. 

4th race, Running Star has a run advantage, but well bred AMADEO might be the one to prevail here. 

5th race, NOLAN'S last run was excellent, also, using Dharmesh Sir's theory, originated by Glen O'Brien, we see a developing jockey and horse relationship here, R Ajinkya brought the horse to be noticed the last time, and today, would go one step further. 

6th race, SON OF A GUN chosen because of another theory, don't know if it's Glen O'Brien's, or somebody else's, and the theory is, back any horse which has a sole claimer in the race. 

I'd definitely be punching 10 JP tickets reading 1-1-1-1-1.

2-3 ZAFARAT 

3-4 ALPHA DOMINO 

4-1 AMADEO 

5-1 NOLAN 

6-1 SON OF GUN 

7-4 KAMARIA

all good place thank you.

One solid each way bet for the day FIERY RED.....It has been racing in 40-65 with 56 kgs tommorrow it's just thrown in on handicap.Last time it had a very easy run , tommorrow it will be seriously ON and at 4/1 win and 12/10 place it is worth a bet.Balance and play such that even if it places you return home in profit.

It's Dynamic Ratings is super

Backing each and every race and in fact tipping in each and every race and day end by theory of probability two or Max three win in eight  races and the whole world showers accolades,but what of the (5) bets that went West.

Any way that's a different topic altogether.

Cllini will beat son of a gun

61 son of gun ????cannot win

                    MUMBAI 

RACE 1= MILLI(6) Each Way. Keep an eye on HOUSE OF LORDS(8).

RACE 2=IMPUNITY(2) Safe place. Better skip this race. 

RACE 3= ALPHA DOMINO(4) Well placed at this handy. Each way

RACE 4= ESCONIDO(5) Worth Each way. 

RACE 5=SILVER SPRING(2) Looking Good bet for place.

RACE 6= SON OF A GUN(1) Looking like winner. 

RACE 7=CHAMONIX(3) Easy winner