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By Godzilla | 01-Feb-2024A Card of 13 runners will participate in this years Derby. An analysis of the same:
1. CAPITOLIUM .. So far no eye catching performance by this horse although regular in participating. Hence one has to ignore.
2. CHRISTOFLE .. Doubt whether it can cope up with Mumbais straight with its style of running
3. CONSTABLE .. Joker in the pack.
4. DREAM ALLIANCE .. .Not expressed anything great so far, to win Indian Derby straightaway without toiling.
5. ENABLER .. Winner of Ruia Cup, courtesy Synthesis.
6. EXUMA .. Pace setter.
7. FIGHT ON .. Ignore.
8. GIANT KING .. A good horse. Should have participated in more Races to qualify for any chance.
9. SYNTHESIS .. Top class horse from USHA STUD. Won Deccan Derby in great style by a margin of more than 11 lengths, beating the likes of LIVERMORE, TRUTH and a bunch of good horses.
10. AMEERAH .. Beaten by JENDAYI ..in Indian Oaks by more than 9 lengths
11. JAMARI .. Won Bangalore Derby in record time. However, Madam Rich almost won the Race in this Race. Need to change its style of running and come from rear. A big doubt arises on its stamina.
12. JENDAYI .. Lightly Raced with no hopers in Indian Oaks. Hailed as the best horse. Doubt arises whether it can compete with Synthesis and win. A new foreign Jockey will be difficult to adopt in Mumbai Course and win, unless the horse is considered as too good.
13. MADAM RICH .. Not in Mumbais fast paced Race.
WINNER; SYNTHESIS
103 Replies
Chanakya said ...
06-Feb-2024Sudheer,
Your analysis is superb and very informative. I am sure that racegoers will benefit if you participate more often.
Prinit said ...
05-Feb-2024Mr Sudheer
The race unfolded exactly as you envisaged. Excellent analysis and imagination!! Congratulations!
Supernatural said ...
05-Feb-2024Sudheer sir thanks I was bit confused jendai beaten only medicore bunch, synthesis health issue, enabler Pune winner will not win India Derby jinix after reading your post i confidently backed ENABLER once thank you very much
Ranjan Sharma said ...
04-Feb-2024@Sudheer sir...the way you explained really deserves kudos ....your participation has really enriched us...and absolutely helped us in selecting the winner....congrats sir...please accept my respect and would request you to guide us in future as well.
Ramesh R said ...
04-Feb-2024It is not easy to single out the winner in Indian Derby. Those who selected Enabler as winner neads appreciation. Well done.
Vikram said ...
04-Feb-2024Hi folks
Thank you Sudheer bhai your analysis made me feel good to take the decision on enabler. Same as @ashokmysore @jocker single bets all this tips made my selection more confidence. Kudos to all cheers.
Ramesh R said ...
04-Feb-2024Jendayi, Synthesis, Jamari and Enabler are first four favorites for today's Indian Derby. Hence, I prefer a rank outsider to lift the Derby.
Ameerah
Giant King
Exuma
Christofle
My views only.
Common Man said ...
04-Feb-2024Multliverse run by ps chouhan from Draw no.1 yesterday watch replay
Shows how he rides JENDAYI FROM DRAW no.1 don't think beyond p.s chouhan n JENDAYI INDIAN DERBY 2024 WINNERS
Ramesh R said ...
04-Feb-2024Out of my experience, I never prefer first and second favorite to win Indian Derby. Rank outsiders or minimum 7 to 1 horses I prefer in Indian Derby. It has been Waterloo for so many champion horses which performed very well untill Indian Derby.
After so many years of experience I never won a single bet in Indian Derby. The shock waves Indian Derby results create have made me clueless.
Minimum bet and enjoy the event is my request to everyone.
My previous post has not appeared so I have posted another one.
I will give my views later.
Firoz Khan said ...
04-Feb-2024Hi all,
Madam rich v/s JENDAYI. VERY CLOSE CONTEST.
My choice only JENDAYI. first win Indian Derby and invitation cup. After going dubai World Cup.
From DUBAI.
Common Man said ...
04-Feb-2024EVERYONE WATCH MUTLIVERSE RIDE BY PS CHOUHAN ON DRAW.NO 1 YESTERDAY...SAME DRAW NO.1 JENDAYI IN DERBY WILL PS CHOUHAN LIFT THE DERBY DON'T THINK BEYOND JENDAYI
Vansh Ahuja said ...
04-Feb-2024Welcome Sudheer SIR,One request pl post whenever possible.
Vinay Kumar said ...
04-Feb-2024Stage is set for a 1, 2, 3 for P Shroff
Deep said ...
04-Feb-2024Finally the day has come...
Shroff has 4 runners which clearly shows he wants this derby at any cost..
Jendayi jamari the 2 good last race winners that also 2400 m....you just can't ignore.
But on such a big days a little miscalculation and someone else will grab the oppurtunity.
Enabler came from way behind to pip christofle on post...the power was very strong and if ridden off the pace enabler will sure be there at the post in last few seconds...
Ameerah is the one which can surprise cos he got checked at 400m in oaks run and then covered the diatance strongly to finsih 2nd...
All said and done
The fight will be between enabler jendayi while ameerah can surprise
All the best for derby day
Pepps said ...
04-Feb-2024Mr Sudheer,
Good analysis based on draw position. In last 50 years there have been 7 Derbys with 12 runners. Winning draw numbers in those years are 2 twice, 5 twice and 6 thrice. This is not my study. I am taking this from article of Major Saab before last year's Derby.
Sunson said ...
03-Feb-2024Enabler-Christoffle-Synthesis
(Forecast combination)
Jetfire..!* said ...
03-Feb-2024*Wht ever who ever has der own choices. For me Indian derby is going to win by Shroff n Dhunjibhoy - Vijay B Shirke going to win mark my words. CRISTOFLE-CONSTABLE-JAMARI-JENDAYI.
FINALLY----> JENDAYI~JAMARI~CRISTOFLE.
CRISTOFLE shud b da winner as per gamble.
SYNTHESIS & UNABLER both are gd n my fav horses but dis time shud not see da board.
My personal is >*JAMARI*< wll decide in da ring to fuck da bookies or else wll watch da race n enjoy.
Vikram said ...
03-Feb-2024Hi guys
Nobody is a king ???? in this flied, every horse in the Derby race has proven its capacity as per there runs. Now it comes to the jockeyship, handling the horse position and all. So it's anybody race. BTW in jockeyship and keeping the horse in winning position no body can be these 2 gentle men Suraj and Patel Trevor. So ultimately the tips given by @godzi @racebro @jitendra and others are refference to there perspective and experience. So what ever we Play just be cautious. Or else have been in hand enjoy the race.
As per my observation @godzi has given the best tips and analysis in a major events in past. So I request all of you to respect the decision of a person beyond that it's all in your hands to back which horse and it's racing bhai nobody can justify it. All the very best to all of us and may the best horse win.
Smiling Assassin 1986 said ...
03-Feb-2024Synthesis can't lift this tym..jamari win
Manju said ...
03-Feb-2024People who dont fancy ENABLER today are going to suffer by easy victory by yash narredu... COME ON RA YASH.... HANDS DOWN....
Sudheer said ...
03-Feb-2024Hi all,
It's natural to have diverse opinions in a race of the stature of Indian Derby.. Not following racing regularly these days but on paper it looks to be a competetive Derby and the horse which gets the best run will lift the Indian Derby this year.. So let's look at barrier draws and get an idea.. Irrespective of the barrier draw fighton, exuma, ameerah, constable, giant king and dream alliance are no hopers in the race. With half the field out of the picture let's see the chances
Jendayi is drawn in barrier 1 which is a negative for a horse which gets back and run on.. There's a chance of getting buried on the rails and it might have to come around the field to win. The chances of getting through from the inside would be hampered by no hopers which slowdown alarmingly from leading. So it's suicidal to wait for the passage to open on the rails.. In all possibilities it has to come to the outside and try to out run horses with better turn of foot than she has handled till now.. Looks like a herculean task for Jendayi given the circumstances of the race..
Synthesis has the perfect barrier 4 for the race and the good barrier gives the options for suraj to manoeuvre his mount as he likes. Ideally he would sit just off the pace behind the no hopers and the likes of christofle and jamari.. There's a very good chance of getting an economical run and at its best will have a fair shot at the prize.. The last start performance is below par and it wasn't pressed in the track work too.. We never know what's the level of fitness of the horse.. If the horse is for and well might well take the Derby but can't really back it with any confidence.. The sir Cecil situation all over again.. If it wins don't be surprised but I like my chances to take it on..
Jamari has barrier 6 and will get the perfect run too.. It likes to sit on the pace but from barrier 6 I don't think it would want to take on the speed battle up front.. It will get a good run but horses like giant king would make sure that jamari won't get the cozy run by injecting pace which is uncomfortable for the horse.. Its an onpacer and grinder with the pace in the race I doubt if it can sprint in the last 400.. Will be thereabouts but surely will find one or two better on the day..
Christofle is drawn 9, which isn't too bad but isn't favorable also.. From barrier 9 it's not so easy to find the rails if it is trapped wide then the chances of winning the Derby will be gone too.. It depends on the skill of Tom marquand to find the rail without using up the horse.. If it can find the rail or just sit one off the rail then there's a chance for this horse but the map is looking tricky will surely be vulnerable late in the race..
Enabler is drawn 10 which is perfect for a horse which looks to come from behind.. I absolutely hate yash narredu as a jockey but he just could not ask for a better position.. The chances of enabler will be better if the stablemate just go to the front and run like it's a mile race.. Inject pace and make it a true staying test.. With the barrier he can take care of Jendayi which will be on its inside and keep it in the pocket till he pushes the go button.. If both horses start to run at the same point enabler will beat Jendayi on any day.. The stablemate giant king is gonna take care of the on pacers by making them uncomfortable with the pace and setting a perfect tempo for Enabler to swoop them.. There are two things against this horse.. One is the jockey himself and the other is it's small size.. On paper it looks like a cake walk for this horse with all the favours in the world. Yash just have to stay out of non existent trouble and he would win the Derby with a leg in the air..
Madam rich is the extreme outside of runners which has a chance.. With that barrier, it has to follow enabler in the run I doubt any horse can beat enabler coming from behind..
It's a very much competetive Derby but the running of the race points towards ENABLER as the winner..
I didn't think I would tip yashs mount ever in a Derby but more than his own mount he would be benefitted greatly from having a stablemate in the race.. In the first 200m if you see giant king leading, it's almost certain that ENABLER wins the Derby..
Rockstar said ...
03-Feb-2024Indian derby goes to CHRISTOFLE
Stryker said ...
03-Feb-2024All beat sir I was about to go all on Suraj,
Thanks for the content..
All the best every one hope the best horse win this race
Malik said ...
03-Feb-2024I will go with GOD JEE SIR
win or loss
Abhishek Poman said ...
03-Feb-2024I personally think the race should be between jamari and synthesis...on pedigree synthesis holds the best chance to wrap up the Indian Derby ...
Ramesh R said ...
03-Feb-2024R R Ruia cup winner will fail to lift Indian Derby.
Pune Derby winner will not lift Indian Derby. Pune Derby winner will fade away after Pune Derby.
A year long well performed horse loses in Indian Derby.
First favourite and Second favourite in Indian Derby doesn't win Indian Derby.
Favourite has won I D only on few occasions. It has been Waterloo for many champion horses on number of occasions.
Only Rashid Byramji had some success in I D. Master Trainer Shroff also has limited success in I D.
After so many years of experience I never won a single bet in I D.
I am not a superstitious person in nature but this particular event I have no answer.
I am eagerly waiting to see who is the giant killer.
Vijay Krishna 005 said ...
03-Feb-2024< All India > 2400m Record Timings
Mar 01, 2020 Mysore
Adjudicate (YS Srinath) 2:26.97
(Indian Turf Invitation Cup)
S.k.sagar said ...
03-Feb-2024My views are as under:
1) Jamari`s Performance while winning the Bangalore Derby in coarse record timing of 2m 28.2s was worth a Time Form Rating of 118 which is an All India Record over 2400m. The long term Track Index Multiplier – for Timing Adjustment - for Bangalore race track is about 0.985.This is because the 400m rising straight is covered twice in a 2400m race in Bangalore. Adjusted Timing is worked out as 2m 26.0s. For more on the subject of evaluation of Time Form Ratings, refer the section on `TIME FORM` in my new book `TIME TO IMAGINE` published recently. However, it is uncertain how the travel from Bangalore to Mumbai and the short time gap between the Bangalore Derby and Indian Derby ( just 9 days) will effect her performance. I expect the winning Timing to be about 2m 27s if the going is good, and if it’s a fast run race which is to be expected in such a strong line up. So, Jamari can afford to be slower by 1 second from her best performance
2) Madam Rich is equally good and could have beaten Jamari with a slightly better riding. Her Time Form Rating is improving with each run. She also has to contend with the same problem as Jamari ie Travelling and the short time gap between the two derbies. Between the two I prefer Madam Rich.
3) Enabler`s Performance while winning the Ruia Cup was worth a TFR of 111. It has not run beyond 2000m, but there is nothing wrong with the Pedigree. It should get the distance, and if it can perform even as per 111 TFR it will have a good chance, and there is no reason to believe why it can`t improve on that. It may also be noted that he has beaten Jamari when the two met last time ie in the Pune Derby.
4) Christoffle also has the same rating as Enabler, he was just a neck behind Enabler in the Ruia Cup over 2000m and not more than half a length behind Enabler the Indian 2000 guineas won by Synthesis. He has also not raced beyond 2000m, but as in case of Enabler there is no reason to believe why he cannot get the derby distance and even do better than Enabler.
5) Synthesis has the potential to win, but he is inconsistent and that`s a big problem. If he can last the distance and run at his best - which has to be much better than any of his earlier runs – he can win, otherwise he may not even be in the frame.
6) Jendayi is unbeaten and so her potential is unknown. She is also a course and distance winner. But she has to improve by at least 2.5 seconds over her last performance, which is difficult but not impossible.
In the final analysis I expect the winner to be any of the first four, ie Jamari, Madam Rich, Enabler, and Christoffle. My choice is Enabler, but I think MADAM RICH is likely to be available at good odds and hence a very good value bet. In any case an all 24 combinations with these four in the exacta pool looks interesting to me.
Jitendra said ...
03-Feb-2024Considering the way Yash rode NEW DIMENSION today,guys this guy will not win the derby he is fit only to ride at Chennai..
No judgement nothing...ENABLER also I am ruling out so
JAMARI- JENDAYI- MADAM RICH ,the one two three any which wY ..others will be miles away
Vikas said ...
03-Feb-2024Godzilla
You didn't read my views carefully
I wrote Enabler Jendayi Jamari & Christofle are on mumbai training track within last 5 days from the Derby Day (as reported by indiarace track work) You can check it from the site
You check when Synthesis had last track work on which date & reported on which site
What I had wrtten are my views for me Synthesis has no winning chance on 4th Feb 2024 in the Indian Derby
If anybody fancy Synthesis as winner of Indian Derby on 4 th Feb 2024 they can play As I wrote earlier may the best horse on that particular day win the Indian Derby
Pepps said ...
03-Feb-2024Mr Vijay Krishna
Jockey Pandu Khade holds record for most Derby rides (27). P S Chouhan has been beaten on three favourites (Myrtlewood, Miracle and King's Ransom).
Destiny said ...
03-Feb-2024Dear Godzilla Bro... I like the Enabler horse. But you're a genius so I'm going to follow synthesis on derby...
Vijay Krishna 005 said ...
03-Feb-2024PS Chouhan, the veteran jockey and president of Jockey Association of India, has never won the Indian Derby, but has ridden in this race record number of times... in recent times.. he rode for P Shroff on King's Ransom, was placed 2nd.. and Miracle placed 4th.. both were Favourites.. please consider this.. thank you
Godzilla said ...
03-Feb-2024Vikas
Synthesis was given a 1800 mtrs track. Please see properly track workouts.
Ashmys said ...
03-Feb-2024Jamari the indian derby winner
Goodbets said ...
02-Feb-2024PSC on Jendayi for derby, guess that should end the debate... even a horse with 2 or 3 legs will have a better chance than Jendayi... by no means I am demeaning the horse ability but PSC just doesn't know how to deliver when it matters the most... not sure why Pesi picks him on such big stage despite letting him down on multiple occasions..
Arun Boxy. said ...
02-Feb-2024My choice for Indian Derby only JENDAYI. Bangalore derby jamari was very easy to predict as a winner pessi will win this Derby with JENDAYI ridden by PS CHOUHAN. INDIAN derby Indian jockey. Last year there was a rumour ps chouhan will retire after kings ransom win. God Zilla sir you predicted super natural for last year and synthesis for Indian Derby this year may be name starting from alphabet S. May be ps chouhan will retire.or A(MIRRA) sunderji-saqlain S will Stop him for 2025. Good luck everyone JENDAYI.
Vimochan said ...
02-Feb-2024It is going to the nerradus derby
So I will go with one and only best jokey of india Suraj . So Synthesis clear WIN
M. D. Khanna said ...
02-Feb-2024@Mumbai Derby results are always unpredictable, beyond imagination out of 12 Horses 10 are competitive, especially where PC shroff horses are in fray, Hot favourites will bite the dust
Vikas said ...
02-Feb-2024According to me this year's Indian Derby is wide open with 5 horses has very good chance to win the Coveted Trophy They are
1.Enabler 2. Jendayi 3.Christofle 4.Jamari & Madam Rich
The above mentioned horses has finished their last race (1st Or very close 2nd) in smart timings
Except Madam Rich the remaining four horses had their last spurt within 5 days of the big event on mumbai trial track
Enabler Jendayi & Jamari are having their final spurts with their respective jockeys which is a big plus for their chances of winning
Christofle had final spurt by Krtish Bhagat as Tom is not available till toady
As far as DI & CD is concerd Enabler Jendayi Chritofle & Madam Rich are better stayers
Synthesis is not on the trial track (as per indiarace track work report) so he has no winning chance according to me
For me it will be close finish May the best horse on that day win
Madhu D C said ...
02-Feb-2024Two horse race
JENDAYI vs JAMARI followed by Enabler
Ramesh R said ...
02-Feb-2024Everybody will go silent after Indian Derby result. Mostly, it has been shocking and shivering results at the end. Favourite will never oblige. Minimum 7 to 1 horse will win. Be careful my dear punters.
Godzilla said ...
02-Feb-2024Larry
What all points you have written in mind , I have tilted in fav of Synthesis.
However, it's a very tough job to pick a winner. One shd not trust Vet report on Synthesis. It may be probably justification for its Ruias Cup defeat.
Common Man said ...
02-Feb-2024Some saying,....... synthesis WIN
Some saying,........ jendayi WIN
Some saying,.........Christofle WIN
Some saying,.......... Madam rich WIN
Some saying,..........Enabler WIN
Some saying,.......... Jamari WIN
Y left remaining 7 horses, give them also for WIN SO MUCH CONFUSION UFFF
Robert said ...
02-Feb-2024Jendayi will be ridden by P.S. Chouhan.
Mostly I always see the horse ability than who is sitting on it. But sometimes jockey timing and keeping in the position is very very important. PSC is good jockey, but he has made poor judgements in the past particularly in big races. He almost lost the oaks with immortality when he kept her way too back entering the straight and was not given the ride by the owner in the derby instead was given to Suraj after a huge drama ( coz Suraj was suspended by BTC stewards for his dubious riding on salazzar) and eventually immortality won the derby.
I wanna know whoever decided to back jendayi would still back after knowing PSC will be the jockey???? Please give your inputs
Trance said ...
02-Feb-2024Le harve's last crop Christofle is one horse race , the running style suggests it will make amends on longer distance no other horse will touch his tale, synthesis picked up stone in last race is good shp bet ,Jamari may pick third spot ahead of enabler.
good luck play CHRISTOFLE each way bet .
Pepps said ...
02-Feb-2024@ Larry
Unfortunately I am not from Mumbai.
Two points which you may be interested in.
Madam Rich ran blinder in Bangalore but I have noticed horses who finish spectacularly dont always do it next time out. On other hand, many front runners who give up close home do betternext start.
Jendayi was ridden by Murphy last two times. He is not coming. Marquand who is coming is not riding Jendayi. Murphy had ridden Christofle last time. Is it Murphy's feedback that Christofle is better than Jendayi.
Will know on Sunday. All the best.
Godspeed said ...
02-Feb-2024@Jeetender Kumar
2019 : You are correct as StarSuperior was 3rd Favourte available at 8/1. SirCecil was even and Adjudicate was 3.75
2020 :The winner Warhammer was the first fav at 3/1, Juliette was 4/1 at most times
2021 : The winner Immortality was 2nd fav at 3.75 odds, ForestFlame was fav here drifting between 2/1 and 3/1. Lagarde 3rd fav
2022 : The winner Zuccarelli was 2nd fav at 3/1, Miracle was even
2023 : you are correct as both 1st & 2nd fav King'sRansom and Supernatural didnt win
Raj-original said ...
02-Feb-2024Too much discussion has gone to this race long before acceptance and long before Jockies were announced.
To cut short and arrive at winner it can only be JENDAY.It can cover last 10L in 3secs or less.
PSC can win and retire happily.
Don't be carried away by anyone 's words here . Do your homework. I did mine .
For Jamari and Madam rich followers:
Mumbai weather is not like Bangalore.
For Synthesis followers: Pray for miracle!!!
High Definition said ...
02-Feb-2024Hi All,
Jendayi won't place, if you see her oaks run she was searching for ground till 1600mtrs. Either she was not fit or something was done to her. Her paddock looks were also not great.
If her looks and fitness remains the same she will run out of board.
This year been 50th year for Usha stud they would like to win the Derby.
Synthesis ran a very good mock race before the last race striding long, but ran a bad race and was reported blood vessel, after blood vessel how fit the horse will be will come to know after race.
Enabler clocked best time.
Jamari record time in Bangalore, recent history suggest Bangalore horse have won more Mumbai Derby.
I will stick to jamari and enabler to fight it out in Mumbai Derby. Will final select post paddock look.
All the best
Jp said ...
02-Feb-2024After a long time Mallesh has got a good horse in Enabler. Ruia run suggested that he will relish the longer trip better. He was finishing on with more on hand. Jamari's and Madam Rich are running the same distance within a week. Jamari's is better off than Madam due to the stable which has proved to win within a short period in Zuccareli in Bangalore and Mumbai. Madam ran a hell of a race in Bangalore with too much pampered jockey who is just like any other Jockeys in India. Now it is going to be ridden by F.Norton. The trainer doesn't inspire me for big races that too within a week.
Synthesis is out of the equation and is running to get better odds for Enabler. Narredu group is firing on all cylinders and they have won many derbies this season with the senior cousin on top. They would very much like to put the junior cousin on the Indian classic record and this is their best chance. Though the junior won the Invitation at Mumbai on Quasar which was marred by disturbances by the public and the Narredus couldn't enjoy the win in the right environment and in a pleasant manner. The presentation was done inside I think.
One final word of caution, Narredus are known for being too bookies friendly. So Synthesis can bring a surprise.
Firoz Khan said ...
02-Feb-2024Hi all,
JENDAYI lift the INDIAN DERBY.
Very well breed. Upcoming super star in Indian race. NEXT SOME CLASIC WON A STYLE. Unbeatable in Indian racing. GOING this DUBAI WORLDCUP.
SO guys play win only @any odds. and enjoy Derby day.
Firoz khan from DUBAI .
M. D. Khanna said ...
02-Feb-2024@H1 Capitolium W drawn, no osin Murphy on Shroff Horses
Racebro said ...
02-Feb-202412 JANDAYI - By GLENEAGLES ( Won 8 races out of 10 runs, mainly distances upto mile, winning 4 G1 races) who is, unbeaten 4 of 4 might become the best horse in India if it wins the Derby. Last win came from last to first winning by 9L over 2400m in Oaks clocking 2:29:80. I see the only danger coming from 2 CHRISTOFLE by LE HAVRE 7 Runs 4 Wins, 1 2nd and 2 3rds. Last run was the only one over 2000m a Nk 2nd to Enabler clocking 2:00:00 LE HAVRE record ( 3 Runs 2Wins, G1 Winner over 2000M in France). Therefore 2400m will suit.
My order of preference:
JANDAYI - WIN
CHRISTOFLE - SHP
ENABLER - PLACE
JAMARI - 4th
Raj-original said ...
02-Feb-2024An highly biased review. Just bcz he had advocated Synthesis long back for derby he is sticking to it pulling down the chances of others.
The race is strictly between Jendayi and Enabler.
If Synthesis touched board it's a miracle in waiting.
Mr Abd said ...
02-Feb-2024Derby winner
ENABLER. Easy win . Extra 400 meters travel advantage . ENABLER .
Gsk Goud said ...
02-Feb-2024The HPSL Indian Derby (Gr.1). 7th race 5win 12pls ALL THE BEST FRIENDS
Harish@555 said ...
02-Feb-2024To clarify fav winning in derby since 2019
2019- sir cecil opend even went upto 1.6 odds even offerd plce 45pisa
Sir ceicl was fav,followed by adjudicate 2nd fav 5/1 and star superior 9/1(won)
2020- war hammer(won) in closing was fav 3.5 odds even jullite was same odds offerd and too fav
2021- 3 sided odds. all trio was fav finally immortality was closed 3.5 and fav
Immortality 4/1(won) fav
Lagarde-4/1
Forestflame4/1
2022- miracle even money
Zuccereli -2/1 2nd fav(won)
Star is born 6/1 3rd fav
2023- kings ransome was 1.75 odds jointly with supernatural 3/1. and mirra 3rd fav (won) once you go black 7/1
Tis year 2024it's going to be very tricky
Jendayi-2.5
Enabler3/1
Synthesis 3/1
Chirstople -4/1
Jamari -2/1
Madam rich 4/1
My guess tis will be probably odds
Because it's very difficult to pic winner among these anybodys race
Larry said ...
02-Feb-2024(Had posted this on another old thread, and since it's not showing up there, posting this here again.)
Dear Pepps, thought I'd say a quick "Hello."
Truly impressed by your writeups on this thread, in fact, after a long time do I see something sensible on this forum, because otherwise folks out here post their choices with vague write-ups about everything else other than the horse concerned.
I quite ascribe to what you have stated about Synthesis, and I was waiting to post on similar lines, but you sort of stole the words from my keyboard, may I say so, but, be it in terms of the average field rating of Jendayi, as compared to Synthesis, or the pedigree pointing to longer distances, I'd observed that too, except for those names of past winners you mentioned.
No doubt Jendayi had quite average fields to run against, and maybe it was just her good fortune that the field wasn't tough, and that she's truly good, but that would unfold on Sunday as to how good she really is.
Moving on to Synthesis, thanks for the names of the horses, from Synthesis' lineage that have won several classics, just makes me all the more confident about backing Synthesis without any fear, because I look at pedigree numbers and the lineage, and the way I look at a long distance race is quite different, and till date it has paid me rich dividends.
People usually look at the sire, but for longer distances I look at the dam, because my research tells me that for longer distances the horse needs big lungs, an attribute that comes from the dam, not the sire, and ever since, I've always been looking for longer distance numbers on the dam side, and this has paid me rich dividends, the last one being El Greco (Damsire:Multidimensional) which was at a lucrative 25/1 odds.
When a horse wins a classic everyone raves about the sire, not the dam, but my observations tell me that the best of sire, if he has no support from the dam's side invariably fails. For example, many horses with Multidimensional as sire have lost prestigious races in the past, and the ones that have won, if one were to check, it's the dam who was probably actually responsible for the win, and he mostly had Razeen as the damsire; that combination (Sire:Multidimensional Damsire:Razeen) has won most of the classic and graded races.
Now what I mentioned above is a matter of debate, and till now I doubted if anyone on this forum might be able to shed any more light on this, the only person who I feel might be able to do so is Major Nargolkar, who writes on Indiarace about classsic races, but he's too huge a personality to be responding to my query, because I'm sure he might not be reading HT topics, but after reading yours posts I feel that with your knowledge you might be able to chat with me on this topic.
Continuing about Synthesis, if you check on the dam side he has Multidimensional as damsire and Razeen as grand damsire, now that's a heady combination, and may I be bold enough to state over here, Synthesis will ultimately turn out to be an all time great in the very near future.
As you mentioned in the last para, there's just this trifle issue about soreness in the last run, and I hope he has fully recovered from it, and if he has he will surely donkey lick this opposition, like he did in the Hyderabad Derby, where superior horses like Truth and Livermore, currently rated about 85 could not even see Synthesis' tail clearly as he flashed past the winning post.
Just a small request, Pepps, please do post regularly because I'll have someone's writeups to refer to after a long time, and decide on my final choices, and if you're from Bombay I'd love to share a cup of coffee with you over the Derby weekend, also, someone on this thread offered 50:1 on Synthesis, if you too are from here, please do meet me and accept a small bet from me, if you truly mean it, and are confident about what you say, rather than posting just for the heck of it.
Stone Cold said ...
02-Feb-2024Good morning friends.
After a long time they have kept a very interesting Derby this time very competitive and anything can happen in this race.
Literally all horse have proven themselves but unfortunately only one will take the prize
My small analysis.
Jamari: after super storm won the banglore Derby in eight days won the Indian Derby this was seen again by zucarelli and war hammer.but unfortunately all were colt and gelded though jamari broke the track record she's a filly after all we can't put all the load on her.but she can run a forward race
Synthesis: returned lame last time I think this horse needs some time to cover up back again.
Enabler: fastest moving horse but struggled to beat cristofe last time.
Cristofe: moved really well last time but lost on post so can't calculate this horse properly.
Jendayi: till date did nothing wrong so far course and distance winner with preparation time winner of graded race as well as distance and with osin Murphy in saddle who rode it twice last time I think this is the horse to be beaten.
But at the end u never know.
If jendayi not winning I think the race can go to upset.
Long time there is no upset in Indian Derby hope it happens this time
Play safe and be safe guy's take care
Saidas Kher said ...
02-Feb-2024@Majir Sukhvinder sir, Let the card come will definitely try to give my best. Thank you
Jitendra said ...
02-Feb-2024There is a reference to the dam lineage of SYNTHESIS.....YANA.
There are several YANA duds loitering in class A and sone yet to win a race.
There is a lot of difference winning a 2000 and then the additional 400 nts.The whole gambit changes a smashing winner in 2000 there are umpteen examples which have struggled over 2400.
The very fact that SYNTHESIS beat TRUTH.a nedicre sort who struggled even in Kolkata derby and finished third.
SYNTHESIS it's last run itself proves that it will be a ALSO RAN in the derby.In ruia ENABLER- CHRISTOPHE - CAPITOLIUM beat it by 5.5 lengths,no body what ever be the training nethid can improve 5 lengths
The very fact that SYNTHESIS could not beat a dud like CAPITOLIUM prices that it will be not sighted.
At best it will finish 4 th.
The ones in the fight over the last 400 mts will be .
JENDAYI- JAMARI- MADAM RICH- ENABLER..JENDAYI- will win and others will fill the frame.
Major Sukhvinder -delhi said ...
02-Feb-2024Hello Mr. Saidss Kher almost all have given their choices for Indian Derby. Kindly you also post your choice.
King Kong said ...
02-Feb-2024Derby is better to be left ,P.Shroff has 5 horses ???? running and the ???? magician will do the trick ????
Wayne said ...
01-Feb-2024The Indian Derby is between Jamari and Jendayi
Alleyezonme said ...
01-Feb-2024Synthesis must beat 4 horses to win it's a tall ask would go with Jendayi or Enabler
Dilip Abd said ...
01-Feb-2024Enabler vs dream alliance
In deeby
Just Horse Tips said ...
01-Feb-2024Christofle in the hands of Tom marquand will lift Indian Derby .
Jendayi is short of experience..
Jamari in period of 8 days .. might give a fight. Enabler will be in the finish.
As per the rating.. I like the above 3 horses to fight it out.
Manju said ...
01-Feb-2024@godzi.... Madam rich should finish atleast 3rd if the race is fast... U r misleading people... Fast race will favour madam rich... And enabler was picking up in the last strides of ruia gold cup... So nobody can beat enabler...
All Is Well said ...
01-Feb-2024Madam Rich will beat this bunch of all Dons. let's see last year Antony raj with Mirra & Now Saqlain with Madam Rich
Ksrao said ...
01-Feb-2024'INDIAN DERBY'
t's Jamari vs Synthesis former having the slight edge to win the prestigious Indian derby, a tough fight is expected in between the above two only. Jenday will not come into picture at all
Puneet Sharma said ...
01-Feb-2024Godzilla I am shocked to see synthesis as winner by you. No way. He is good at Mysore Hyderabad Ooty Chennai not Mumbai.... He won't be able to stand... I am confident....
Jitender Fan said ...
01-Feb-2024@Godzilla your reading about Synthesis I won't question but your reading about AMEERAH is questionable. You saying he lost by 9lengths , I agree, if you watch that race again you will see that these two horses came out from neibhouring draws(4-5)....At last bend if you look JENDAYI took run from outside n AMEERAH was trying to challenge him from railings but he got stuck and had to check his mount. If Saqlain had moved well than finishing would have been different. Please check.
A.k.!! Pune said ...
01-Feb-2024Godzyy sir.!! you are great at your selections bt on derby there no one beat JENDAYI only a tough competitor would be ENABLER and JAMARI .!
THANK YOU
Jeetender Kumar said ...
01-Feb-2024Mr. Warhammer n Mr peeps in 2020 JULIETTE was favourite
In 2021 IMMORTALITY was not favourite as books were fever so exact record no one got.
Vimal ( Chennai ) said ...
01-Feb-2024Godzilla sir great analysis I'm following you for more than 3 years in this forum mostly your selection won't fail i hope this time also they wins and make you proud
I also like synthesis as A mehra will fight for honours I know jamari won't be winning the Derby and jendayi as you said races with week contenders but Christofle is Considered to be best horse when he Champaigned in banglore and Shroff for some reason it is running style as not changed and I know and believe Shroff is a Talented professional who will give a shock so I strongly suggest Christofle for each way chance rather going behind favs check the owners of Christofle!! The race is for the owners not the public
All the best
Vimal from Chennai
Mam said ...
01-Feb-2024Synthesis win
Jendy place
Larry Punter said ...
01-Feb-2024Godzy take my words Synthesis will be beaten by Jendayi ....not in Mumbai this time but when ever they run... This is final.... This time JENDAYI at any cost.... Synthesis I bet no way....
Manoj said ...
01-Feb-2024Godzilla lots of aspects you missing.
Synthesis after Deccan Derby have ran twice n his performance was sub standard. The bunch synthesis beat was having Hyderabad horses but in Mumbai he is going to have Ammerah JANDAYI Jamari... Do you think it's as easy as you described.... I doubt....
Warhammer said ...
01-Feb-2024Hey Jeetender kumar
Immortality was the favorite in the Indian Derby on March 28, 2021 and won
Aldo Stones said ...
01-Feb-2024CHRISTOFLE/SYNTHESIS - WIN
JENDAYI/ENABLER- SHP
JAMARI/JENDAYI - THP
CAPITOLIUM - UPSET PLACE
CONSTABLE REPLACED AS PACE SETTER BY CAPITOLIUM.
CHRISTOFLE MY PERSONAL CHOICE.
Pessi Sir knows the potential of the horse Christofle and he won't let the owners always go for lower odds. Well prepared horse, matured newly and would be placed 8/1 easily because last time the horse did not responded though the race was designed for Murphy. Better luck this time.
Rahul Gambhir said ...
01-Feb-2024Synthesis did allow Enabler to win hence just like many centres in recent past, their positions would be reversed. Pesi has always been lucky with filies so his contingent of 4 comes down to the J and J. Jendayi is lightly raced and Pesi didn't risk taking it to any other centre to avoid any mishaps. Jamari won the BLR derby in record timing although Madam Rich was coming at it. But that was a different day and a different race, she's proved her capabilities. As per reliable sources Jamari is to be ridden by Trevor and Jendayi by PS Chauhan. I feel Chauhan is well past his prime so I tilt towards Jamari (Big Trevor Fan). Jamari has to fight Synthesis (Suraj is having a dream run in Classics). I would still go with Pesi to deliver as he is the only trainer in India who even the Narredu family would find difficult to overcome. So JAMARI would give The Dhunjiboys, Pesi and Trevor a day to cherish.
11:11 said ...
01-Feb-2024$$$$$$ JAMARI $$$$$$$
Sentinel said ...
01-Feb-2024Enabler will win the Indian Derby, barring accidents. In a true and fairly run race Enabler will win. No question, no worries.
Mannu said ...
01-Feb-2024THE ONLY HORSE FOR INDIAN DURBY IS JAMARI
Sprint Star said ...
01-Feb-2024Tom Marquand is going to win Indian Derby on 4th February 2024.
Horseshoe said ...
01-Feb-2024PS takes the ride on Jendayi. Tom on Christoffle. I don't think Christoffle will say. Free flowing long strides of Jendayi a feast to the eyes
Horseshoe said ...
01-Feb-2024PS takes the ride on Jendayi. Tom on Christoffle. I don't think Christoffle will say. Free flowing long strides of Jendayi a feast to the eyes
Horseshoe said ...
01-Feb-2024PS takes the ride on Jendayi. Tom on Christoffle. I don't Christoffle will say. Free flowing long strides of Jendayi a feast to the eyes
Zulu said ...
01-Feb-2024Brother jitender kumar war hammer was field favourite wen it won Mumbai derby so also desert god 2nd favourite and also star is born....2nd favourite.... Jacqueline market favourite....and so on ....have won brother
Chutzpah said ...
01-Feb-2024The only concern is odds bookies can't dare to offer more than 70 paisa
Chutzpah said ...
01-Feb-2024Forget any analysis Jendayi don't need to sweat single drop
Only One said ...
01-Feb-2024Godzi Sir you are right.
If Synthesis ran a poor race last time, then why Connection running here.
They could have taken chance in Hyd Derby or Bangalore Derby ..he could have won.
Why Mumbai derby ??
Pepps said ...
01-Feb-2024Mr. Jeetender Kumar
2019 winner Star Superior was 8/1; not favourite
2020 winner War Hammer 3/1 clear favourite in books
2021 winner Immortality clear favourite on Tote. (No official bookmakers on course)
Devil said ...
01-Feb-2024@godzilla you are correct
SYNTHESIS is the horse to beat
Ishan Mehta said ...
01-Feb-2024@ Godzilla are you sure about synthesis... This horse is beaten red n blue by CHRISTOFLE n CAPITOLIUM and you expecting it will be able to beat JENDAYI....Honestly Godzilla it's day dream.... You gave all 13 horses details but in end you stood with wrong horse. Anyway let's see what's odds comes. Still JENDAYI unbeatable
Narender ---pune said ...
01-Feb-2024Jenadyi will win by 9-10 lengths
Recheck Godzilla sir.
Akash Rajput said ...
01-Feb-2024JENDAYI ......For me he is deserving winner......
Suman Dutta said ...
01-Feb-2024Godzilla no way
JENDAYI. JENDAYI. JENDAYI. JENDAYI
Nothing else.... I can guarantee..... Suraj place I doubt
Jeetender Kumar said ...
01-Feb-2024@ Godzy your selection as SYNTHESIS for winner on ground that he have been winner of Deccan Derby in October. I hope it stand up-to your expectations but Please don't forget that since 2019 till 2023 Indian Derby have never been favourite. I mean both 1st n 2nd favourite not won
Win Legend said ...
01-Feb-2024Jendayi All the Way.....
Rahul71 said ...
01-Feb-2024@Godzilla.....some Original is offering 50-1 odds on Synthesis..in another thread...can take advantage
Dancing Dynamite said ...
01-Feb-2024@ Godzilla,
Analysis is a prequel to conclusion. In your case, when the outcome of the analysis was already decided, the analysis holds no value.
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