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How To Spot A Winner

By Ashok Deb Chowdhury | 19-Apr-2024

Hi HT friends,

I eagerly follow HT, but rarely post a view....as because there is a holiday going on ...so why not get involved into a serious discussion on "spotting a winner"..... which is surely our bread and butter.

To start with I provide one very important point (obviously according to my point of view)...

A horse who in his last run finished in the wrong end (6th, 7th, 8th or beyond).....but within six or less lengths from the winner...(It doesn't matter whether he was a front runner and dropped back afterwards or was in dead last and improved thereafter or mantain more or less the same spot).... In all probability will be a winner or at least will "pay"....

So let's continue.....

Post Your reply

5 Replies

Prem said ...

22-Apr-2024

@ Abbas j , thank you sir but still I didn't get exact what it means glanders if possible pls brief it

Thank you

Abbas J said ...

22-Apr-2024

@ Prem Glanders is one of the oldest known diseases of horses. Once prevalent worldwide, glanders control programs successfully eradicated the disease from North America, Western Europe, Japan and Australia, but it is endemic in parts of the Middle East, Asia, Africa and Central and South America.

Prem said ...

19-Apr-2024

Hi every one  

Yesterday I asked a question about glanders outbreak in horses that is it means can any one explain

Abbas J said ...

19-Apr-2024

Some more explanation or details of my previously posted reply.
Does the horse look at ease in its surroundings?

A horse that is on edge or sweating could be exerting too much energy before the race, so it’s important to recognise if it’s relaxed or not before placing a bet on its chances.
Does your horse ‘look well in its coat’?

Is its coat shiny? Are its eyes bright? These are all signs of good health, so they’re a good indication of how race-ready a horse is when it is making its way around the Parade Ring.


Is it a good walker?

While strong walking is no guarantee of a fast gallop, many racegoers like to look for a horse with an athletic walk that covers the ground easily and a proud stance that shows it is ready to race.


Does the horse look fit and athletic?

It should not be carrying too much ‘condition’, i.e. extra weight. This can be a sign that it is not at full fitness yet, so it’s probably not a good bet with the bookmakers.


Does it have good muscle definition?

The horse you choose should have well-toned muscles and a well-developed rump and hind legs. These are the horses’ engine, but be sure to bear in mind the differences between Flat and Jumps racehorses; the former are usually leaner than the latter because they need pace over power, whilst Jumps horses need stronger legs to clear the obstacles.


Are there any lucky charms or superstitions?

Experienced paddock watchers may have a personal liking for different equine traits; some swear by big ears as being a sign of a willing horse or, when the going is soft, they may look for horses with big hooves. Whilst none of these things is a failsafe way of finding a winner, visiting the Parade Ring is a chance to get up close to the runners before the race to choose your own lucky charm.

Abbas J said ...

19-Apr-2024

Picking a Winner by Eye

1.Does the horse look at ease in its surroundings? ...
2. Does your horse 'look well in its coat'? ...
3. Is it a good walker? ...
4. Does the horse look fit and athletic? ...
5. Does it have good muscle definition? ...
 6. Are there any lucky charms or superstitions? Besides above this , there is other senario . if a horse finished in the top three in its last two or three races, then it has a good chance of doing it again or winning the race. But you have to make sure that those races are recent, or the information will be irrelevant

Good Luck everyone.